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Let’s Argue: The Chiefs will still win the Super Bowl

Our Mark Gunnels takes on all your hot takes, wacky predictions and unpopular opinions.

Kansas City Chiefs Victory Parade Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images

Welcome to this week’s edition of Let’s Argue, a recurring series that looks at hot takes, unpopular opinions, wacky predictions and more from Kansas City Chiefs fans.

The ‘Arrowhead Invitational’ is in danger — but it can be done.

The only thing the Chiefs know is hosting AFC Championship games. Well... that’s been the case since Patrick Mahomes became the team’s starting quarterback in 2018.

Kansas City currently holds the AFC’s third postseason seed; the Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens hold the top two spots. The Jacksonville Jaguars are tied with the Chiefs at 8-4, but Kansas City owns the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The Chiefs also have a head-to-head tiebreaker over Miami — and a conference record tiebreaker over Baltimore.

So while Kansas City doesn’t technically control its own destiny, there’s a good chance the team will end up with the No. 1 seed — as long as it wins the next five games. With that, the team would only need the Dolphins and Ravens to each lose at least one more game — and since they play each other in Week 17, one of those is guaranteed.

Outside of that matchup, Miami still has to play the Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills. Meanwhile, Baltimore has matchups against the Los Angeles Rams, Jacksonville Jaguars and the San Francisco 49ers.

So it’s easy to see why some are calling Sunday’s game against the Buffalo Bills the biggest regular-season game of Mahomes’ career.

Eric Bieniemy was more important than we realized

When it was first announced that Kansas City’s longtime offensive coordinator had accepted the same position for the Washington Commanders, the consensus in Chiefs Kingdom was that the Chiefs would be fine.

I mean... after all, head coach Andy Reid is the one who is really running the show, right?

That may still ring true — but unless you think replacing JuJu Smith-Schuster with rookie Rashee Rice is some kind of massive overhaul, it’s hard to explain why the Chiefs’ offense has fallen off the face of the Earth. You have to look at the components that have changed since last year — and Bieniemy is one of them.

Sure... Bieniemy isn’t the one who is running routes and catching passes — but there is something to be said for his no-nonsense mentality. He didn’t care about being Mahomes’ buddy. Instead, he cared about the process — and sticking to the fundamentals. He held his players accountable.

This isn’t to say the current coaching staff doesn’t do the same thing. It’s just that with Bieniemy, it was visible. On multiple occasions, he was even seen giving Mahomes an earful on the sideline, for crying out loud.

None of this will matter, however, if the team hosts the Lombardi trophy after Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas.

The Chiefs will probably still win the Super Bowl

Speaking of winning the Super Bowl...

It’s refreshing to see some positivity in with all the bad vibes we’re getting in the Kingdom right now.

Now... do I agree?

Right now, I simply can’t. The defense has been carrying the Chiefs all season — and losing safety Bryan Cook does hurt. Luckily, it appears his injury won’t be season-ending. Meanwhile, Drue Tranquill will most likely be back for Week 15’s game against the New England Patriots.

Nonetheless, it ultimately comes down to the Kansas City offense. In January, will Mahomes and his receivers be on the same page enough to stack some wins?

There is one thing that does give me confidence: the AFC is watered down. Aaron Rodgers is out — and so are Joe Burrow and Deshaun Watson. If the Chiefs can beat the Bills on Sunday, there’s a great chance that Josh Allen won’t be in the playoffs, either.

That leaves the Dolphins, Ravens and Jaguars. Kansas City has already beaten two of them — and it appears Baltimore will be without All-Pro tight end Mark Andrews for the remainder of the season.

So the Chiefs shouldn’t fear any AFC team — but if they get to the big game on February 11, they’ll have to step up. Assuming it’s the 49ers, Cowboys or Philadelphia Eagles are the opponent, I’d bet that the NFC champion will be favored over Kansas City.

The Chiefs will miss the playoffs

This is the Kingdom’s dark side.

I can’t believe I’m about to do this, but here we go: the Chiefs have a two-game lead over the second-place Denver Broncos — but it’s really three games since Kansas City owns the division-record tiebreaker.

So after the Bills game, the Chiefs play the Patriots, Las Vegas Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers. They will be favorites in all of those games. So even if they lose to Buffalo on Sunday, finishing with a 12-5 record is still well within reach.

Meanwhile, the Broncos already have six losses — and they still have to play the Chargers twice, the Detroit Lions and the Raiders — on the road.

All of this means there’s zero chance the Chiefs will miss the playoffs.


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