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Chiefs-Raiders Week 16 predictions from Arrowhead Pride

Let’s see what everyone thinks about Monday’s Christmas Day game between Kansas City and Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Raiders v Kansas City Chiefs Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images

Before the Kansas City Chiefs’ Week 15 game against the New England Patriots, everyone on Arrowhead Pride’s contributor panel picked the Chiefs to win, but they were evenly split over whether it would be an easy victory or a blowout. That led to an aggregate prediction for a 24-11 Kansas City victory that was 12 points removed from the team’s 27-17 win. (Pete Sweeney, Matt Stagner and Stephen Serda led the group with individual predictions that had only eight points of error). 43% of our readers correctly predicted the Chiefs would win with a margin between eight and 13 points.

In Week 16, the Chiefs face the Las Vegas Raiders on GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by 10.5 points.

Let’s see what the staff — and our readers — think about the matchup.

Nate Christensen (@natech32)

The Raiders have been competent since firing Josh McDaniels — but I don’t feel they have the formula for beating Kansas City. I don’t see them replicating the success they found early in the last game — and I think the Chiefs get a bounce-back after losing two straight at home. Kansas City has too much talent on defense to once again have issues with the Las Vegas offense.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 10

John Dixon (@Arrowheadphones)

I’m usually the guy who predicts a close game between division rivals — but this time, I’m not going to do that. As we learned when these two teams met in Week 12, the Chiefs are quite capable of administering a two-touchdown defeat on Las Vegas. I can think of no reason why it shouldn’t happen again.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 10

Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp)

The last time I attended a Christmas Day game at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City handled a division rival with style. 2016’s 33-10 win over the Denver Broncos was highlighted by an 80-yard touchdown by Travis Kelce and a touchdown pass by defensive tackle Dontari Poe. We may not see those kinds of fireworks, but I think we’ll see a similar energy from the Chiefs. The defense will play loose, the offense will have fun and Kansas City will get a Christmas victory.

Chiefs 31, Raiders 14

Rocky Magaña (@RockyMagana)

The Raiders are riding high after the biggest blowout in franchise history — but dropping 63 points has its drawbacks. When the Miami Dolphins embarrassed the Denver Broncos 70-20 earlier this season, they followed it up with a 48-20 loss to the Buffalo Bills. The football gods don’t always respect the victors after they embarrass a foe on the gridiron; they often humble teams with a victory hangover. Still, this is a must-win game for both teams. The Chiefs are trying to stay in the hunt for the first overall seed in the playoffs — and on the Raiders, head coach Antonio Pierce and quarterback Aiden O’Connell are both playing for their jobs. I expect Kansas City to roll on Christmas Day.

Chiefs 30, Raiders 10

Jared Sapp (@TrumanChief)

Time will tell who the Raiders are — the team that put up 63 points on a short week or the team that managed only three points across the previous six quarters with a bye week sprinkled in. Even as the team’s playoff hopes have dwindled, Las Vegas is clearly playing for interim head coach Antonio Pierce; expect the Chiefs to get the Raiders’ best shot. But the limitations of quarterback Aiden O’Connell will show as he faces the same defense for the second time in a month. Kansas City will manage to replicate what they were able to do in the desert last month: play turnover-free ball leading to a comfortable win. I predict a garbage-time Las Vegas score will keep the Chiefs from covering the spread.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 20

Stephen Serda (@StephenSerda)

The Raiders are well rested — and coming off a 63-point outburst against the Los Angeles Chargers. The last time these two teams played, the Las Vegas offense looked surprisingly competent — at least in the first quarter. I think it’s safe to say the Chiefs will get the Raiders’ best shot — but that’s not to say their best shot is good enough to beat the Chiefs. At the end of the day, I believe Kansas City’s defense will have more success than in the first matchup — and the offense will manage to be productive enough to get a win. The Chiefs are playing for a lot down the stretch, so I expect to see that kind of urgency on Monday.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 13

Matt Stagner (@stagdsp)

Anything can happen in division games! That's the cliché that comes to mind for every AFC West opponent. With this year’s Raiders, it might be more accurate: their last two games were a 63-20 win and a 3-0 loss. The Chiefs need to focus on their own execution far more than any game-planning for Las Vegas. They'll want to get some more clarity on their offensive contributors — while also trying to put together a cleaner game that gives them more confidence heading into the playoffs. I think they’ll get that done by means of a solid (and varied) running game — and no turnovers.

Chiefs 31, Raiders 14

Pete Sweeney (@pgsween)

It’s Christmas at Arrowhead. I think the Raiders already got their offensive outburst out of their system against a reeling Chargers team in Week 15. Despite that, Kansas City has Patrick Mahomes — and the Raiders are still fielding a rookie. Richie James makes an impact, Kansas City’s offense has no turnovers and minimal penalties — and the fans in red go home happy.

Chiefs 30, Raiders 13

Prop bets (from Pete Sweeney)

Head on over to DraftKings Sportsbook and take... Travis Kelce to get to 1,000 yards (76) and in the end zone (he loves a big game):

  • Kelce over yardage
  • Kelce anytime touchdown


Which team wins Raiders (6-8) at Chiefs (9-5)?

This poll is closed

  • 23%
    Chiefs in a blowout (14 or more points)
    (202 votes)
  • 45%
    Chiefs in an easy win (8-13 points)
    (396 votes)
  • 25%
    Chiefs in a close game (7 or fewer points)
    (225 votes)
  • 3%
    Raiders in a close game
    (28 votes)
  • 0%
    Raiders in an easy win
    (7 votes)
  • 1%
    Raiders in a blowout
    (10 votes)
868 votes total Vote Now

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