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Chiefs-Patriots Week 15 predictions from Arrowhead Pride

Let’s see what AP staffers (and readers) think about Sunday’s game between Kansas City and New England.

Kansas City Chiefs v New England Patriots Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

Before the Kansas City Chiefs hosted the Buffalo Bills in Week 14, our Arrowhead Pride panel was deadlocked. Half picked the Chiefs to win, while the rest picked the Bills. Everyone agreed, however, that the game would be close. Because those who picked Buffalo were predicting somewhat larger point spreads, our aggregate prediction was for the Bills to leave town with a 24-23 victory — which was pretty close to the 20-17 final. It was one of the better group predictions of the season. Stephen Serda’s prediction of a 21-17 Bills victory was the closest pick we’ve seen in 2023; it had just two points of error. Just 46% of our readers thought Buffalo would win — but interestingly, almost one in five thought it would be an easy win for the Bills.

In Week 15, the (8-5) Chiefs are on the road to play the (3-10) New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by eight points.

Let’s see what the staff — and our readers — think about the matchup.

Nate Christensen (@natech32)

I don’t think this game will be fun; playing any game at Foxborough in December is a challenge. Even if head coach Bill Belichick is over the hill, he can still craft a stingy defense that likely will make Travis Kelce’s day very difficult. I expect the offense to continue to struggle. Fortunately, the Patriots’ offense is drastically worse. I think the Chiefs take opportunities on short fields and come away with a comfortable — yet unspectacular — win.

Chiefs 20, Patriots 3

John Dixon (@Arrowheadphones)

Some folks will be very disappointed unless Kansas City leaves Foxborough with a four-touchdown win. But in recent games, the Patriots’ defense has been very stingy — so we probably shouldn’t expect this to be a get-right opportunity for the Chiefs’ offense. We probably can, however, count on Kansas City’s defense to limit New England’s scoring. While this isn’t likely to be a game that will change many opinions about the team, it should provide the Chiefs with what they need most: a win.

Chiefs 20, Patriots 10

Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp)

This will be perceived as the beginning of a Chiefs’ turnaround. I believe the Patriots’ stout run defense will force the Chiefs to play through the air, and the pass-catching group will put together an encouraging performance. On top of that, the Chiefs’ defense will return to form, suffocating the lowly New England offense.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 11

Rocky Magaña (@RockyMagana)

This could be the Fool's Gold game of the year. If the Chiefs’ offense looks good, there will be very little to take from this game; this just isn’t the same Patriots team we’re used to seeing. It is an utter mess on both sides of the ball — especially on offense. This could very well be the final year of Belichick’s tenure in New England. If the Chiefs want to prove they are a serious contender for the AFC title, they need to come out and score 35+ points and win by three touchdowns. I don’t think they’ll quite get there.

Chiefs 24, Patriots 6

Jared Sapp (@TrumanChief)

In the Mahomes era, the Chiefs have never lost three in a row — and I don’t think they will now. The Patriots put up big numbers against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 14, but the body of this season’s work suggests that they will not be able to do so in two consecutive games. While I predict the Chiefs will win, I think it will be an ugly affair. Kansas City will be limited on the ground, forcing it to rely on an underwhelming passing attack. Even if the team gets back in the win column, I don’t expect this game will make me feel significantly better about the Chiefs than I do now.

Chiefs 24, Patriots 10

Stephen Serda (@StephenSerda)

There’s really no reason to over-complicate this matchup. While the Patriots still have a strong defense, their offense shouldn’t present any kind of challenge for Kansas City’s defense. Isiah Pacheco missing his second straight game is a bit of a concern. but the Patriots’ defense has been strongest at slowing ground attacks. This game should be all about the Kansas City defense getting back to form while the offense tries to get the passing game worked out. I hope we see a dominant performance on Sunday — but either way, it should be a Chiefs win.

Chiefs 24, Patriots 13

Matt Stagner (@stagdsp)

Assuming that things aren’t going to get worse (yes, I'm aware of the jinx risk inherent in this sentence), this should be a game where the Chiefs assert themselves against a presumably inferior opponent. The Patriots, though, have been remarkably inconsistent this season; it's a little tough to know what to expect from them. It looks like they have revived Ezekiel Elliott, so the tackling will have to be better than it was last Sunday. Otherwise, this will be a solid matchup for Kansas City.

Chiefs 31, Patriots 21

Pete Sweeney (@pgsween)

Every week, I continue to say something about the Chiefs really being fine — that their greatest adversary might be themselves. Perhaps this is finally the week in which the Kansas City offense puts together a clean game — as the defense takes care of a banged-up New England offense. Head coach Bill Belichick and his Patriots will attempt to muck the game up — but in the end, the Chiefs are a better team.

Chiefs 27, Patriots 13

Prop bets (from Pete Sweeney)

Head on over to DraftKings Sportsbook and take... the Rashee Rice overs.

  • Rice over 55.5 receiving yards (-115)
  • Rice over 5.5 receptions (-110)
  • Rice anytime touchdown (+750)


Which team wins Chiefs (8-5) at Patriots (3-10)?

This poll is closed

  • 21%
    Chiefs in a blowout (14 or more points)
    (104 votes)
  • 42%
    Chiefs in an easy win (8-13 points)
    (207 votes)
  • 25%
    Chiefs in a close game (7 or fewer points)
    (124 votes)
  • 7%
    Patriots in a close game
    (38 votes)
  • 1%
    Patriots in an easy win
    (5 votes)
  • 0%
    Patriots in a blowout
    (4 votes)
482 votes total Vote Now

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