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Chiefs-Eagles Week 11 predictions from Arrowhead Pride

Let’s see what AP staffers (and readers) think about Monday’s game between Kansas City and Philadelphia.

NFL: FEB 12 Super Bowl LVII - Eagles vs Chiefs Photo by Adam Bow/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

For the Week 9 game against the Miami Dolphins, two Arrowhead Pride contributors picked against the Kansas City Chiefs. While it was the first time in 2023 that this had happened, the staff was 100% united in its belief that it would be a close game — which was reflected in our combined prediction of a 29-27 Kansas City victory. The Chiefs won 21-14, which made Pete Sweeney‘s 26-20 prediction closest to the mark. Our readers were a little less confident in a Kansas City victory. One in three thought the Chiefs would lose — but no matter who won, more than two-thirds thought it would be a close game.

In Week 11, the Chiefs face the Philadelphia Eagles at Arrowhead Stadium. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Kansas City is favored by three points.

Let’s see what the staff — and our readers — think about the matchup.

Nate Christensen (@natech32)

First, I’d like to say that no matter the result of Monday’s game, it won’t alter the way I feel about both the Chiefs and Eagles; I will still have confidence in both teams’ ability to make a postseason run. That being said, I feel good about Kansas City’s chances in this matchup. Following a bye, Andy Reid is one of the best coaches of all time — and I think the Chiefs offense will look crisp. The Eagles will have counters, but I think Kansas City will find a way to win a classic game.

Chiefs 30, Eagles 27

John Dixon (@Arrowheadphones)

I’ve spent most of the week thinking I’d predict a three-point Kansas City win — but at the moment of truth, I’m stretching out a little bit. The Eagles are no pushover; it’s going to be a hard-fought game. But in the end, the Chiefs’ defense will lead the way.

Chiefs 27, Eagles 20

Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp)

As spoiled Chiefs fans, there aren’t many regular-season games that really give us that “big-game feeling” — but this “Monday Night Football” matchup with the Eagles is getting it done. I believe we are in for a show. Both offenses will be rested — and will have a dialed-in game plan; I envision both sides finding success through the air. I see a quarterback duel unfolding — one in which the reigning league MVP will outdo the ascending Jalen Hurts just enough to win.

Chiefs 31, Eagles 30

Rocky Magaña (@RockyMagana)

From a matchup perspective, this might be the last good game on the Chiefs' schedule. Injuries around the league have decimated franchises we expected to have good seasons. So Monday night's game might not be just a Super Bowl LVII rematch (and a Kelce brothers family reunion). It might also be a Super Bowl LVIII preview. L’Jarius Sneed will have another tough assignment — the Eagles’ A.J. Brown — while the defensive line will focus on playing containment on Jalen Hurts so the blitz can get home. But regardless of how well the Kansas City defense plays, the Eagles are going to find a way to score — so to win this game, the Chiefs will have to put points on the board. At this moment, I’m not sure Kansas City is up to the task — but I simply refuse to pick the Chiefs to lose.

Chiefs 34, Eagles 31

Jared Sapp (@TrumanChief)

We’ve reached the point of the season where overall health plays an important role in deciding a game. In Week 9, the Eagles were able to extend their NFC East lead with a victory against the Dallas Cowboys — but it was a costly one: middle linebacker Nakobe Dean and tight end Dallas Goedert were both lost to injury. In a matchup of the league’s best teams, losing two starters reduces the Eagles’ margin for error. Andy Reid’s success coming out of a bye week is well-documented. Expect to see some new wrinkles on an offense that has underwhelmed to this point. Steve Spagnuolo’s crew will have its work cut out for it against Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith — but in Week 9, Philadelphia showed some offensive vulnerabilities; the Cowboys held the Eagles to less than 300 yards. The Chiefs won’t accomplish that feat, but the league’s most surprising defense will deliver a couple of key stops en route to a victory.

Chiefs 34, Eagles 27

Stephen Serda (@StephenSerda)

There’s been way too much time to think about the outcome of this game for me to feel confident in accurately predicting it. I truly believe these are the two best teams in football. Both are coming off a bye week with something to prove. I think that means we’re (once again) in for an incredible football game. I have to believe that Andy Reid coming off a bye week will be a big factor — one that will help get the offense moving in the right direction. I’ve put my faith in the Chiefs' secondary all season — and they continue to step up to the task. I believe it can find a way to slow A.J. Brown and the Eagles’ offense. I think it will be a close game — but I’m going to put my faith in Kansas City’s elite defense.

Chiefs 27, Eagles 24

Matt Stagner (@stagdsp)

Before the season began, I marked this game down as a Kansas City loss. The Kelce Bowl rematch won’t be the same as Super Bowl LVII, but both teams are once again looking like contenders. The Eagles have added more dawgs to their defense — and also have enough offensive weapons to make this a long day for the Chiefs. The home team has also built a stellar defense with playmakers at all three levels. So this game comes down to whether the Kansas City offense can show up and do what it is capable of doing. It’s primetime — at home — and the rest of the AFC’s elite teams lost over the weekend. It’s a golden opportunity for Andy Reid to dial up an “A” game coming out of the bye, getting the offense back on track and putting on another show for the nation to enjoy.

Chiefs 31, Eagles 21

Pete Sweeney (@pgsween)

It’s fun that halfway through the season, the NFL’s two best teams are facing off in what you could consider a midseason Super Bowl (in addition to it being an actual Super Bowl rematch). The two teams are slightly different than they were the last time they played — but there are still enough players left on both squads that on the Philadelphia side, it has an authentic revenge-game feel. For the Chiefs, this will be a perfect measuring stick to see if they can do it again against the NFL’s best — and I think these teams stack up well. In a game that comes down to the fourth quarter, I think Kansas City proves it's the better team by pulling ahead with a Patrick Mahomes touchdown drive.

Chiefs 27, Eagles 23

Prop bets (from Pete Sweeney)

Head on over to DraftKings Sportsbook and take...

  • Rashee Rice anytime TD (+240)
  • Chiefs moneyline (-148)

Here are our picks for all of the Week 11 games. Be sure to cast your vote, too.

Arrowhead Pride readers pick



Which team wins Eagles (8-1) at Chiefs (7-2)?

This poll is closed

  • 4%
    Chiefs in a blowout (14 or more points)
    (34 votes)
  • 12%
    Chiefs in an easy win (8-13 points)
    (98 votes)
  • 59%
    Chiefs in a close game (7 or fewer points)
    (487 votes)
  • 17%
    Eagles in a close game
    (143 votes)
  • 5%
    Eagles in an easy win
    (41 votes)
  • 1%
    Eagles in a blowout
    (13 votes)
816 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Bears (3-7) at Lions (7-2)?

This poll is closed

  • 5%
    (15 votes)
  • 94%
    (278 votes)
293 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Cardinals (2-8) at Texans (5-4)?

This poll is closed

  • 11%
    (35 votes)
  • 88%
    (259 votes)
294 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Cowboys (6-3) at Panthers (1-8)?

This poll is closed

  • 96%
    (280 votes)
  • 3%
    (10 votes)
290 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Giants (2-8) at Commanders (4-6)?

This poll is closed

  • 2%
    (8 votes)
  • 97%
    (277 votes)
285 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Titans (3-6) at Jaguars (6-3)?

This poll is closed

  • 10%
    (29 votes)
  • 89%
    (257 votes)
286 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Steelers (6-3) at Browns (6-3)?

This poll is closed

  • 53%
    (156 votes)
  • 46%
    (133 votes)
289 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Raiders (5-5) at Dolphins (6-3)?

This poll is closed

  • 9%
    (27 votes)
  • 90%
    (265 votes)
292 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Chargers (4-5) at Packers (3-6)?

This poll is closed

  • 73%
    (218 votes)
  • 26%
    (78 votes)
296 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Buccaneers (4-5) at 49ers (6-3)?

This poll is closed

  • 6%
    (19 votes)
  • 93%
    (275 votes)
294 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Jets (4-5) at Bills (5-5)?

This poll is closed

  • 25%
    (74 votes)
  • 74%
    (218 votes)
292 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Seahawks (6-3) at Rams (3-6)?

This poll is closed

  • 82%
    (237 votes)
  • 17%
    (52 votes)
289 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Vikings (6-4) at Broncos (4-5)?

This poll is closed

  • 67%
    (204 votes)
  • 32%
    (97 votes)
301 votes total Vote Now


Which team wins Bengals (5-4) at Ravens (7-3)?

This poll is closed

  • 38%
    (55 votes)
  • 61%
    (89 votes)
144 votes total Vote Now

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