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On Monday, Pro Football Focus analyst Steve Palazzolo released a first-round mock draft that he labeled as being “through the lens of what I would do rather than predicting the first round.” As you would expect from a PFF writer, many of his picks lined up fairly closely with the site’s Big Board — but some of them did not. The first four of the six first-round cornerbacks were within a few spots of the site’s overall rankings — but with the 25th pick, he had the Buffalo Bills take the 49th-ranked Roger McCreary of Auburn. Then at 30th, he had the Kansas City Chiefs come back in line with PFF’s Big Board.
30. Kansas City Chiefs: CB Kaiir Elam, Florida
Big Board Rank: 31
While Elam is coming off the worst year of his college career, he had excellent production early on. He has the size and movement skills to play one-on-one on the outside, making him a great option to help replace free agent Charvarius Ward.
Here, Palazzolo is following the recent trend among national mock drafts, having Kansas City take a defensive back in the first round to replace a free-agent player he expects will be leaving town. In a mock we covered in Arrowheadlines on Saturday, CBS Sports analyst Tom Fornelli made a similar move, taking Michigan safety Daxton Hill to replace Tyrann Mathieu. Assuming there is an equal chance that both players will leave, a first-round replacement for Mathieu might make more sense, since Kansas City’s cupboard is a little less bare at corner than it is at safety. But as Fornelli put it, “I’ll probably have Daxton Hill to the Chiefs in every mock I do until I know what the future of Tyrann Mathieu holds.”
National Mock Draft Picks
Pos | Name | School | Pct |
S | Daxton Hill | Michigan | 26% |
CB | Kaiir Elam | Florida | 13% |
EDGE | George Karlaftis | Purdue | 13% |
S | Jalen Pitre | Baylor | 9% |
WR | Jahan Dotson | Penn State | 9% |
CB | Kyler Gordon | Washington | 4% |
CB | Roger McCreary | Auburn | 4% |
DE | Cameron Thomas | San Diego State | 4% |
EDGE | Jermaine Johnson II | Florida State | 4% |
DE | DeMarvin Leal | Texas A&M | 4% |
WR | Jameson Williams | Alabama | 4% |
OL | Bernhard Raimann | Central Michigan | 4% |
National Mock Draft Positions
Position | Pct |
Defensive back | 57% |
Edge rusher | 26% |
Wide receiver | 13% |
Offensive line | 4% |
Tight end | 0% |
Running back | 0% |
Defensive tackle | 0% |
Linebacker | 0% |
Poll
Which of these Chiefs’ free-agent defensive backs is most likely to be elsewhere in 2022?
This poll is closed
-
27%
Tyrann Mathieu
-
35%
Charvarius Ward
-
12%
Neither of them
-
24%
Both of them
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