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The best-case draft scenario for the Chiefs

Last week, we identified the worst-case scenario. Life is better for the Chiefs this week.

NFL: AFC Championship Game-Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Last Friday on the Arrowhead Pride Laboratory, we gave you the worst-case scenario mock draft for the Chiefs; this week, we’ll give you a realistic best-case scenario.

Before we get into the picks, some of the high-level things that help the Chiefs get good value to fall to them: a running back going off the board, five cornerbacks in the first round, two interior offensive linemen off the board, six wide receivers come off (players like Kadarius Toney and Elijah Moore who are more slot type players would be ideal).

We were able to come up with more than 30 players in the ideal scenario, which is a good thing — it means all those scenarios don’t need to happen for the Chiefs to find good value. We tried to be realistic with expectations still — we aren’t mocking Kyle Trask in the first round.

Here’s what we came up with:

TRADE BACK TO 38. EDGE Jayson Oweh, Penn State

NCAA Football: Idaho at Penn State Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports

The best case for the Chiefs is someone wanting to come up in the first round at 31. In this scenario, the Chiefs trade out of pick 31 with the Cincinnati Bengals for 38 and 111 — getting an extra top-120 selection. The Bengals move up to grab Texas offensive tackle Samuel Cosmi after going with wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase with their first pick. Cosmi was considered by us at 31 but also doesn’t have the arm length that Andy Reid has historically preferred.

Oweh is 257 pounds — three off the density Steve Spagnuolo prefers but loaded with immense potential. Oweh didn’t have sack production last year but was still a disruptive player for the Nittany Lions. His best football is ahead of him — his athletic profile very often translates to success at the EDGE position. He’s a good value at pick 38 and gives Brett Veach a chance at a blue-chip player.

63. Offensive tackle Stone Forsythe, Florida

NCAA Football: Georgia at Florida Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

It’s hard to see a scenario where the Chiefs will get a tackle that can start from day one at pick 31 or beyond. I think (and this is a guess) a veteran tackle is still in the works so that they aren’t relying on a rookie to jump in and protect Mahomes’ blind side immediately if he’s not ready.

Forsythe is a capable pass protector with a quality athletic profile for a man his size. He checks the boxes from a size and length perspective. He has a chance to be a day-one starter — although you wouldn’t build your entire plan around that happening.

94. Center Kendrick Green, Illinois

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: DEC 05 Iowa at Illinois Photo by James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Green is a high-quality athlete along the interior who has excellent movement skills. While he has the guard experience, he’s likely a better fit in Kansas City at the center position. He’s not a road grader but an effective player in space and can get his body in a good position with his feet and explosion. He should develop nicely along the interior and could be a solution at center long term for the Chiefs.

111. (Pick acquired from Cincinnati) Linebacker Derrick Barnes, Purdue

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: JAN 30 Senior Bowl Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Barnes helped himself during the pre-draft process immensely. He tested excellent for a player his size and showed a more diverse skill set at the Reese’s Senior Bowl. Barnes has experience rushing the passer and as an off-ball. He covered extremely well in Mobile and has the potential to become a MIKE for the Chiefs in the future.

There’s a role for him in year one as a SAM, but the upside is so much more.

136. Safety Shaun Wade, Ohio State

Rutgers v Ohio State

You read that right. Safety. Wade got a lot of buzz last year as a potential first-round pick, but his 2020 tape was not kind to his draft stock — especially seeing more opportunities outside. He’s fallen hard this year, but that does not mean he is valueless.

Wade is a better fit as a safety/slot player and in that role Wade could be valuable. His tape is better inside, and he’s a physical, willing tackler with good instincts from the slot. A slot safety role is a good fit for him, and at this point, it would not be a surprise to see him fall this far.

144. Wide receiver Simi Fehoko, Stanford

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: DEC 19 Stanford at UCLA Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

A big, physical athletic profile to bet on. Fehoko tested through the roof at 6’4, 222 pounds — running a 4.44 in the 40-yard dash and an excellent 6.78 3-cone. He’s a player that wins above the rim and down the field — skills that would be fun to integrate into this offense at the “X” receiver spot. An older prospect who will be 24 during his rookie year, Fehoko may not get the same consideration as a younger prospect — but the Chiefs can take advantage by grabbing him in the fourth round. Fehoko is a linear player, but the Chiefs can certainly work with that in this offense.


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