2. 50/50 Club
Could Patrick Mahomes become the first quarterback in NFL history with two 50-touchdown seasons … and do it in just his first two years as a starter? It seems hard to imagine him topping his 2018 output, with Kareem Hunt gone for good and Tyreek Hill possibly gone for quite some time via suspension, but would you really bet against him? The behind-the-back and no-look passes will get us out of our seats and his potential seems limitless.
Kansas City Chiefs: LB Anthony Hitchens
Hitchens, who played in a 4-3 base with the Cowboys, is proving to be a player the defense can lean on during the learning process. He’ll likely be a player the defense leans on early and often once the regular season finally arrives as well.
(EFP: 9.4, PPR: 7.2)
There’s been some concern reflected in Damien Williams’ ADP that Hyde might eat heavily into his workload, and specifically around the end zone. I’d bet against that. Hyde has been our least efficient running back over the past two seasons, falling 71.0 fantasy points short of his expectation. He’s been especially bad near the end zone, falling 7.3 touchdowns shy of his expectation (ranks worst over this span). As I’ve argued this offseason, I’m betting on a big fantasy year in 2019 from Williams. Though, note (from our Hunt blurb), his volume might not be as good as Hunt’s production has implied.
1. Patrick Mahomes
Fifty touchdowns and 5,000 passing yards in his first season as a starter plus an MVP award and an AFC Championship Game appearance? No brainer pick.
2017: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
Drafted: Round 1, No. 10 overall.
Versatile Saints running back Alvin Kamara is the steal of this class, becoming a megastar after being picked at No. 67 (in Round 3). Browns pass rusher Myles Garrett (No. 1 overall) can play. Jets safety Jamal Adams (No. 6 overall) is terrific. Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson (No. 12 overall) has a knack.
Mahomes, meanwhile, sat on the bench behind Alex Smith for most of his rookie season -- and yet, he’s the top player of this class, and it’s not even close. Mahomes’ MVP campaign of 2018 was an all-timer. He threw for 50 touchdown passes against just 12 picks and over 5,000 yards while leading the Chiefs to the AFC West title, falling short of the Super Bowl because of an offsides call (thanks, Dee Ford). Mahomes is amazing, and he hasn’t even gotten started. His talent and smarts are off the charts. And with his flair and improvisational skills (no-look passes, anyone?), Mahomes has become the greatest show in all of sports.
2019 SEASON PROJECTION
The Chiefs 2019 season may look a lot like their 2018 season. Their neutral win percentage projects over 16 games to a similar record. Their current odds to win Super Bowl 54 are 6/1, 14.3%. Based on simulations they are a good bet to win the Super Bowl with a 16.7% chance. They are also a good bet to win the conference with a 27% chance at 3/1, 25%.
Around the league
“Nobody’s done what he’s done in his first three years,” Jordan said. “More receptions? Who’s had more in his first three years. His catch rate speaks for itself.”
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback, who trashed a plethora of QBs last offseason, recently joined The Adam Schefter Podcast and was jokingly asked to give a breakdown of signal callers he’ll face in 2019.
”You want to do this again, huh?” Ramsey responded. “I’m not going to do this again but, we do play some good quarterbacks this year, of course, but probably the quarterback I’m most excited for is Nick Foles. I don’t have to play against him, of course. He is my teammate. He is a great teammate, the few interactions we’ve had has been great. Great man, great player as well. He has nothing to prove to anybody. He’s a Super Bowl champion, Super Bowl MVP. So, I hope he comes out here and he plays free and knows he has the support of everybody.”
The No. 1 draft pick has impressed his new team this offseason—and they haven’t even seen him in live situations. Also, new Jets GM Joe Douglas on the 2019 Eagles, why everyone’s closely watching 49ers rookie Nick Bosa and more.
“Everything is going good. I’m happy about that,” Cox said, via NJ.com ”Just taking it day-by-day. The goal is to be ready for training camp. Just taking it day-by-day. Doctors got a schedule, and I’m following what they’re doing. Everything is going good so far.”
Blake Bortles can’t keep a starting job in 2019, but he could’ve been MVP in 1969.
A federal judge has approved a settlement calling for the NFL’s Rams to pay up to $24 million to personal seat license holders in St. Louis.
U.S. District Judge Stephen Limbaugh Jr. approved the settlement Monday.
Several St. Louis PSL holders filed a class-action lawsuit after the team moved to Los Angeles in January 2016. Thousands of fans in St. Louis had purchased PSLs that were good for 30 seasons, which was the length of the lease at the domed stadium where the Rams played in St. Louis. Ramsowner Stan Kroenke took the team to California after 21 seasons.
In case you missed it at Arrowhead Pride
The league intends to conduct multiple interviews, during which Hill will have legal representation.
In his weekly installment of Stagner Things, Matt takes a look at the hopes (and fears) we should have for the defensive front seven
The latest yearly report from Emory University doesn’t give Chiefs fans much love
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