Even including the Kareem Hunt signing, the NFL news has been extremely slow since the Super Bowl. That is the part that makes the offseason so long. Reminder, we have football from May through February every year and yet the offseason feels like a drag sometimes.
Thus, writers have been coming out of the woodworks with their mock drafts, at least the first round drafts. While players like Nick Bosa and Josh Allen are constantly at the top, picks get a little crazy as the first round goes on. The picks 20-32 are almost always changing, dependent on a player's arm length or their junior high sack total it seems. But, a small constant has been present; the Chiefs picking a defensive player. For reference, here are ten Kansas City first round picks in mock drafts.
DraftSite - CB Byron Murphy
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller) - CB Deandre Baker
NFL.com (Chad Reuter) - EDGE Jachai Polite (sorry, but a defensive player named Polite does not strike fear, but his sack total is very nice)
NFL.com (Lance Zierlein) - CB Deandre Baker
NFL.com (Bucky Brooks) - CB Deandre Baker
NFL.com (Daniel Jeremiah) - CB Byron Murphy
NBC Sports (Ben Standig) - DE Dre'Mont Jones
SB Nation (Dan Kadar) - CB Amani Oruwariye
Mockout (Mickey McKeon) - CB Trayvon Mullen (McKeon includes an alt pick of S Nasir Adderley)
WalterFootball.com (Walter) DL Dexter Lawrence
All ten are defensive, and I could not find a mock draft with Kansas City going offense on the pick. Eight out of the ten are secondary, with two on the line.
Three out of the ten picks have Baker available for the Chiefs to pick, But I do not see this being the case as there are several defense needy teams (Colts, Raiders, Eagles to name a few) picking right before Kansas City. I think that players that Kansas City REALLY needs to draft, like Greedy Williams, Baker, and Murphy, will not be available that late in the first round. While the Chiefs could package picks together to move up a few spots for secondary help, that may not be best. Depending on who falls where, I would take a solid look at offensive players, specifically offensive line.
While the secondary and defense as a whole are the most glaring need for Kansas City, why use a pick on a player that is an obvious reach? For instance, I think Oruwariye is a solid player, but certainly not first-round material. Williams, Baker and Murphy are the only CBs I think deserving (pre-combine) of a first round pick. We will see what players start to rise and fall after the combine. That goes for both sides of the ball.
Now, after a pick like Johnathan Baldwin, I am not a fan of drafting wide receivers in the first round. No running backs this year deserve a look at the Chief's first round position, and we already know quarterback is locked down. That leaves tight ends and offensive line. Travis Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the game, if not the best. But, there are tight end prospects that are first-round caliber this year, such as T.J. Hockenson, Irv Smith Jr., and Noah Fant. A player like Hockenson especially could compliment Kelce and hide the lack of Chiefs' depth at wide receiver.
As always, there are several great offensive line prospects going off the board in the first round. A panicking GM or some trades could cause some to fall down the board. For example, Kansas State's own Dalton Risner is everywhere from a top ten selection to the third (!!!) round. I think he is certainly a first round pick and would be a steal at 29th overall. For him, he could slot in next to Mitchell Schwartz and maybe become his successor, as Schwartz becomes a free agent in two years. For certain prospects, this could be a similar story.
If a better prospect falls, watch him to replace Eric Fisher. Fisher ranked 24th in the league among left tackles, according to PFF. And the man has the fourth highest cap hit on the Chiefs' books. Does he deserve top dollar? His position says yes but his performance at the position says no. So, Kansas City could draft his replacement and save some money by doing so. All in the name of Mahommes.
All of these are big ifs. If the right player is or isn't available. If someone trades up or down during the draft. If someone runs fast or slow at the combine. That is why this is all speculation. Any reporter or writer or analyst will not know for sure. Most front offices don't even know.But, I feel the Chiefs would be doing themselves a disservice by not looking at the offensive side of the ball when picking on April 25th.