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The Chiefs’ 2018 betting odds still scare me

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The Las Vegas over/under currently sits at 8.5 wins

NFL: AFC Wild Card-Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
Andy Reid doesn’t give a damn about betting odds.
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

One of the more interesting things about the upcoming Kansas City Chiefs season is just how unpredictable it could be. There are so many preseason question marks, and that makes it a bit different than the previous five years during the Alex Smith era.

  • How will Patrick Mahomes handle the hype?
  • How will Sammy Watkins gel in the offense?
  • Who will win the second running back job?
  • Will Reggie Ragland and Anthony Hitchens improve the run defense?
  • Do the Chiefs have enough good cornerbacks?

I could go on all day.

The reason I bring up all this uncertainty is because there is one entity out there that cannot afford to be uncertain.

And that’s Vegas, baby.

ESPN provided a full betting outlook for each of the 32 NFL teams on Thursday, and here’s what the website said when it came to the Kansas City Chiefs:

Kansas City Chiefs

O/U wins: 8.5

Super Bowl: 20-1

Conference: 10-1

Division: 5-2

The Chiefs started 5-0 last season before stumbling down the stretch and eventually blowing an 18-point lead at home in their playoff loss to Tennessee. Despite three straight double-digit win seasons, expectations are lower for Kansas City, which currently has a win total of 8.5. Fading Andy Reid might not be a smart idea, as the Chiefs have gone over their win total in all five of his seasons as the team’s head coach.

Oh yeah. We got some betting jargon.

For those unfamiliar, fading means to bet against, and the article urges not to bet against Andy Reid’s Chiefs, who always go over. But even with that advice, the fact that the 8.5 total has not really wavered scares me.

My gut tells me the over/under should be 9.5, or, in other words (for you bettors out there), I’d hammer* the over-8.5 bet.

Yes, more betting jargon.

*Bet heavily on.

I hope for the sake of Chiefs fans, I’m right.