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Chiefs vs Jaguars: Game and score predictions

The Week 5 picks are in.

Once again, the Arrowhead Pride staff went a perfect 12 for 12 picking the Chiefs to defeat the Broncos in Denver. We’re too cool.

Let’s start this week with the FanPulse predictions:

FanPulse is a survey of fans across the NFL powered by SurveyMonkey. Each week, we send 32 polls to 100-plus plugged-in fans from each team.

Arrowhead Pride FanPulse predicts the Chiefs to win by 6
Big Cat Country FanPulse predicts the Jaguars to win by 2

You can sign up for AP FanPulse here to take the weekly survey.

Using FanPulse a little deeper, we can see the Jaguars fans’ level of confidence with the direction their organization is going into Week 5:

And let’s check on the Chiefs for good measure:

We have two teams with high approval ratings from their fans heading into this game. It should be a great contest.

Now let’s move on to the staff predictions:

Shawn Barber, Chiefs 17-14

This week’s Prediction comes from Philadelphia at the Men’s All Out or All In conference.

Keys to the Game

1. Make the Jaguars offense one-dimensional, keep Blake Bortles on the move. He is a completely different quarterback out of the pocket.

2. Defensive improvement at the point of attack and an emphasis on finishing the plays. Wrap up on contact and have a ball-hawk mentality on creating turnovers.

3. Chiefs offense needs to understand the importance of running the ball and utilizing Travis Kelce or slot receivers to force Jaguars safeties into coverage. The Jaguars’ only weakness is at that position, so the Chiefs offense must find ways to isolate that position throughout the game.

This will be a tight game that comes down to the kicking game and our coverage teams must be at there best. The Chiefs will kick a late field goal to win the game.

Aaron Borgmann, Chiefs 24-17

The first regular-season game I ever worked for the Chiefs was against the Jaguars. It started off with a safety against us then we poured it on and never looked back. This game will be similar and although injuries on both sides may make an impact, the home team will move to 5-0 as expected with little trouble. Notice how one team is doing a lot of the talking and it isn’t the one from this town? Usually, that doesn’t end well for them. This game will be close, but the big-time players will make big-time plays and the Chiefs just have more of them.

John Dixon, Chiefs 30-24

The national pundits are breathlessly awaiting the moment when Patrick Mahomes will fail against a solid defense. They’re not wrong to think this could happen, because history strongly suggests this can occur with a young quarterback. However, history also includes the 2013 Chiefs, who were perceived early in the season as a historically stingy defense — but as it turned out, they had simply played well against a string of less-than-stellar teams. Even if the Jaguars defense doesn’t eventually prove to be similar to the 2013 Chiefs defense, after watching Mahomes play on the road against an amped-up (and effectively managed) Broncos defense, I’m not going to pick against him at home.

Matt Lane, Chiefs 24-23

This isn’t the first test the Chiefs will have faced this year but it’s certainly the first real test after seeing the first quarter of the year. The Chargers continue to be the Chargers and the Steelers look like a mediocre football team at best through four weeks making this game quite possibly the first playoff caliber team the Chiefs are facing.

The Jaguars offense is as inconsistent as the Chiefs tackling which creates a matchup of a very movable force against a completely stopped object. Normally Leonard Fournette being out for the Jaguars ends up being a good thing but for this particular matchup, it’s a big loss, as he would prove to be quite the force to tackle for KC. Blake Bortles can have big games, especially if he relies on his legs, but the Chiefs EDGE players should be able to pressure him and force him into mistakes often.

The Chiefs offense against the Jags defense may be the marquee matchup of the year and quite honestly it’s going to be a slugfest. The Jags are good at pretty much every level and every position on defense and are really going to challenge an OL that has been very good for most of the year. Like the Denver game, a lot of the Chiefs offensive success is going to come down to WRs actually beating tight coverage and if Sammy Watkins isn’t on the field, that’s a much taller task as we saw last week.

The game is bound to be a close one and Jacksonville is the kind of team built to slow the Chiefs down, but on the legs of Kareem and some late play magic form “Showtime” Mahomes again.

Gary McKenzie, Jaguars 27-24

I pick the Chiefs to win most of the time, but for some reason, I have the feeling the ball will bounce the Jaguars’ way on Sunday.

I think Mahomes will play decently, but the Jaguars elite secondary is able to pick him off for the first time in 2018. Even with Leonard Fournette out, I don’t think the Chiefs will be able to stop the Jaguars from running the ball however much they want to.

Matt Stagner, Chiefs 35-31

This could be another ugly game. The Chiefs might be in the rain, struggling to throw the ball against the No. 1 passing defense in the league. I expect turnovers, blown plays and a back-and-forth score all afternoon. The short week and tough opponent concern me. I could easily argue that the Chiefs will lose... but that’s not me. I don’t bet against Ma-homies.

Craig Stout, Jaguars 24-17

While a *stacked* Jaguars defense against a *stacked* Chiefs offense should answer a lot of the early questions about each team this season, the game-determining battle will come on the other side of the ball. The Jaguars should be able to move the ball readily against a porous Chiefs run defense, and they won’t be afraid to run the ball 35-plus times to get the job done. Blake Bortles will keep plays alive with his legs and target the underneath receivers in space, an area the Chiefs coverage unit hasn’t defended particularly well. Mahomes tries to overcome the deficit in limited snaps, but he finally turns the ball over while pushing for the comeback victory.

Kent Swanson, Jaguars 24-23

I have been going back and forth on my feelings about this game. Winning in this league isn’t easy. Winning four in a row, including three on the road, is a fantastic start for Patrick Mahomes and company.

The Chiefs are a day short on preparation with the primetime game on Monday. The Jaguars defense is lights out, and Mahomes is facing his hands down toughest test to date. The Chiefs defense plays better, but the Jaguars get a special teams touchdown that ultimately nets them a win.

Pete Sweeney, Chiefs 24-17

For the first time all season, we saw a team slow down the Kansas City Chiefs offense Monday night, but with nearly everyone having an off night, Patrick Mahomes found a way to push his team through. Mahomes hasn’t seen anything like the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this season—they are elite at every level—but what he showed me Monday night is that may not matter. In this matchup of the league’s best defense against the league’s best offense, I look for the Jaguars to try to slow this thing down, but Mahomes is too much for them in the end regardless of that plan.

Joel Thorman, Chiefs 33-28

33 is a lot of points for a team going against arguably the best defense in the league but the Chiefs have too many weapons to hold them down. The legend of Patrick Mahomes continues.

Aly Trost, Chiefs 31-21

With Patrick Mahomes, there seems to be no shortage on surprises and skill. He’s given us no reason to go against him, therefore, I’m predicting a second Arrowhead victory for the Chiefs on Sunday. Hill will quiet Ramsey with his speed, despite the press, and Kansas City will close out Week 5 with their fifth straight win.

Dane Van Why, Jaguars 21-16

This is it, everyone. Every year I’ve been following this team, they have a game where we are left wondering what just happened. How about 2015 Week 5 against the Bears? Or 2016’s losses against the Bucs AND the Titans at home. And don’t get me started on the Bills game from just last season. Weird games like this seem to happen yearly for Kansas City. While this is a different team with a different quarterback, I still have the same strange feeling going into this game. I think the Jaguars defense will be too much for a Chiefs offense coming off of a short week and a hard-fought battle against Denver.

As promised, here are the standings. There’s a log-jam of contributors who are tied at the top.

Contributor Rankings

Contributor Record
Contributor Record
Shawn Barber 4-0
Aaron Borgmann 4-0
Matt Lane 4-0
Gary McKenzie 4-0
Matt Stagner 4-0
Craig Stout 4-0
Kent Swanson 4-0
Joel Thorman 4-0
Dane Van Why 4-0
John Dixon 3-1
Aly Trost 3-1
Pete Sweeney 2-2

This week eight out of 12 of the Arrowhead Pride contributors picked the Chiefs. Who are you picking?


Who wins Sunday in Kansas City?

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