Our pals over at Blogging The Boys had a great post idea: What if teams had listened to Mel Kiper and Todd McShay the past seven years when it comes to the NFL Draft?
We got the data and went back and looked at how Kiper and McShay picked for each team compared to what the actual pick was by the Chiefs.
In 2010 and 2013, both Kiper and McShay got the pick right: Berry in 2010 and Fisher in 2013.
It’s much harder to predict when you’re picking later in the draft. Last year, Kiper and McShay both predicted defensive tackles - just different ones than Chris Jones, who went in the second and not the first round.
In 2011, they thought the Chiefs would take an offensive tackle. They took WR Jon Baldwin instead. In 2012, they thought the Chiefs would take a safety (even with Berry? I barely remember this). The Chiefs took Dontari Poe instead. 2014 was all over the place with a receiver and a guard predicted - the Chiefs took a pass rusher (Dee Ford) instead.
The verdict: The Chiefs did better than Kiper and McShay. I would take Nate Solder over Jon Baldwin in 2011 but that’s about the only pick that was unquestionably better than the Chiefs.
Check out the results...
2010
Kiper: Eric Berry
McShay: Eric Berry
Actual: Eric Berry
2011
Kiper: OT Gabe Carimi
McShay: OT Nate Solder
Actual: WR Jon Baldwin
2012
Kiper: S Mark Barron
McShay: S Mark Barron
Actual: NT Dontari Poe
2013
Kiper: OT Eric Fisher
McShay: OT Eric Fisher
Actual: OT Eric Fisher
2014
Kiper: WR Marqise Lee
McShay: G Xavier Su'a-Filo
Actual: LB Dee Ford
2015
Kiper: WR Breshad Perriman
McShay: C Cameron Erving
Actual: CB Marcus Peters
2016
Kiper: DT Robert Nkemdiche
McShay: DT Vernon Butler
Actual: DT Chris Jones