Does the Chiefs offense peak at the end of the year under Andy Reid?

Sometimes when you’re reading something you can’t believe - often in the comments section here on AP - you wonder, is that actually true? I ran across one of those recently:

The Chiefs offense seems like it peaks at the end of the season under Andy Reid. I expect the Chiefs offense to peak this year as well.

Armed with this statement, and a little free time, I quickly went to work.

Data From 2013 to Present

I went back and looked at the Chiefs scores from games since Reid arrived in Kansas City. I graphed each season and applied a trend line to the points scored.

According to points scored, the Chiefs offense peaked at the end of the year in 2013, bottomed out at the end of the year in 2014, remained stagnant through 2015, and appears to be remaining stagnant in 2016.

I also built the same graphs for yards.

The Chiefs offense peaked at the end of the season in 2013, bottomed out in 2014 and 2015, and appear to be bottoming out in 2016.

As it turns out ...

The Chiefs offense under Andy Reid does not peak at the end of the season, according to the data. 2013 appears to be the exception to the rule. You could read that data to suggest that Reid’s offenses get slightly worse at the end of the season.

So, it’s not really true that they peak.