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Welcome to game day! The Kansas City Chiefs will host Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. The game can be seen at noon (Arrowhead Time) on FOX. The Chiefs are 7-point favorites in the game after winning four in a row.

The Chiefs have proven in three and a half years under Andy Reid that these are the games they win. They usually beat who they should (outside of a Tennessee-like game once a year). This is a game they should win as 7-point favorites in front of their home crowd.

The Chiefs defense is on a roll. If they win, it’s probably the defense they’ll ride to victory. The Chiefs are terrific at creating turnovers on defense (22) and avoiding them on offense (8). That’s a tough combination, even when you consider how boring the Chiefs are. Plus-16 is the best turnover differential in the league.

Spencer Ware should have a good day. He can run on the Bucs defense. If the Chiefs can get a healthy lead in the first half, they can ride Spencer Ware against the 25th ranked run defense. The Chiefs themselves are a better rushing team than the stats indicate (27th).

I’m predicting a Chiefs win. I don’t usually predict the Chiefs to win by more than one score because most games in the NFL are close but this feels like a solid win for the good guys.

Nuts and bolts

Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Game time: Sunday, November 20, 12 p.m. (Arrowhead Time)

TV channel: FOX (Do I get the game?)

Online streaming: NFL Game Pass / NFL mobile app from Verizon

Radio: 101.1 The Fox (Mitch Holthus and Len Dawson) | Full listings

Spanish radio: KCZZ 1480 AM (Tico Sports)

Matchup history: Chiefs lead 3-2 at Arrowhead

Odds: Chiefs are 7-point favorites

Prediction: Chiefs win 30-16

Announcers: Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Laura Okmin (sideline)

Enemy blog: Bucs Nation

Twitter: @ArrowheadPride

Facebook: Please like us!

Chiefs 2016 schedule

Week 1: Chargers 27 Chiefs 33

Week 2: Chiefs 12 Texans 19

Week 3 Jets 3 Chiefs 24

Week 4 Chiefs 14 Steelers 43

Week 5: Bye

Week 6 Chiefs 26 Raiders 10

Week 7 Saints 21 Chiefs 27

Week 8 Chiefs 30 Colts 14

Week 9 Jaguars 14 Chiefs 19

Week 10 Chiefs 20 Panthers 17

Week 11, 11/20, 12pm: Bucs (fox)

Week 12, 11/27, 325: at Broncos (cbs)

Week 13, 12/4, 12pm: at Falcons (cbs)

Week 14, 12/8, 725pm: Raiders (nbc - Thurs night)

Week 15, 12/18, 12pm: Titans (cbs)

Week 16, 12/25, 730pm: Broncos (nbc - Xmas night)

Week 17, 1/1, 325pm: at Chargers (cbs)