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NFL picks Week 1: Predicting Chiefs vs. Titans and all other games

Finally, the NFL is back. What a glorious day.

Don McPeak-USA TODAY Sports

With the 2014 NFL season upon us, we here at Arrowhead Pride are going to continue the tradition of picking each game, both straight up and against the spread being counted.

I, Matt Verderame, will pick all the games and bring great shame to the site with brutal oversights and haphazard notions that will undoubtedly lead to a losing record against the spread. This is why I don't go to Vegas, ever. The rest of the Arrowhead Pride crew, led by the Blogfather, will pick the Chiefs games along with me.

Here's to another great season, and another playoff berth.

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

Matt Verderame: Chiefs 24, Titans 13

Kansas City's offense is going to work around the offensive line, thanks to Andy Reid's playcalling ability. Reid will utilize quick throws and plenty of Jamaal Charles to work around the massive issue. Against teams with better pass-rushers, the Chiefs will be in serious trouble. However, the Titans are bringing Derrick Morgan and Shaun Phillips off the edge.

Tennessee does not have a ton of offensive weapons. Kendall Wright is a legitimate receiver and Nate Washington needs to be accounted for, but outside of that it's slim pickings. The Titans also have a shaky right tackle in Michael Oher, something Justin Houston should be taking advantage of. Jake Locker has never played in Arrowhead before, another key advantage.

Clay Wendler: Titans 27, Chiefs 13

Justin Hunter enjoys a career day and Dexter McCluster is booed by 70,000 after catching a 5-yard pass and puffing his chest out. AP begins breaking down 2015 QB Prospects Monday morning.

Craig Stout: Chiefs 13, Titans 10

Defense looks good enough against a sub par offense. Offense struggles without Bowe and with a limited playbook in preparation for Week 2 at Denver.

Matt Conner: Chiefs 21, Titans 17

Too much impact level talent to lose a game like this, but it's easy to forget how good the Titans looked before Locker got hurt last year. So think it'll be closer than we like at Arrowhead.

Seth Keysor: Chiefs 31, Titans 17

The Chiefs' offense gets everyone's hopes up for at least one week against a Titans defense that isn't special, while the defense does JUST well enough to make the optimists happy and JUST poorly enough to make the pessimists worry. Pandemonium ensues at Arrowhead when Ryan Succop hits a 55-yard field goal and Cairo Santos misses a 40-yarder.

Joel Thorman: Chiefs 19, Titans 10

KC will win with a great defense and a special teams touchdown. Sounds familiar.


Predicting the rest of them ...

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

Seattle is a tough place to play any week. With the unveiling of the team's first Super Bowl banner coupled with the season-opener, the Packers could not be walking into a tougher spot. Aaron Rodgers will make some throws and Eddie Lacy will keep the Seattle defense honest, but Marshawn Lynch will be the star come the fourth quarter.

Pick: Seahawks 23, Packers 20

New England Patriots (-5) at Miami Dolphins

Miami is not equipped to deal with New England. The Patriots are going to have a field day throwing to Rob Gronkowski with ease while mixing in Brandon LaFell and Julian Edelman. The Dolphins will have a tough time moving the ball with Darrelle Revis locking down Mike Wallace.

Pick: Patriots 31, Dolphins 16

New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans is never a good road team, but this might as well be a home date considering it's inside the Georgia Dome. The Saints have too many weapons for the Falcons to deal with. Atlanta will put up points with Roddy White and Julio Jones starring, but they are no match for the high-powered Saints attack.

Pick: Saints 34, Falcons 24

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-5.5)

This game should be decided by the first team to gain a first down. Neither offense is going to light the world on fire, but you have to like the home team with Rex Ryan scheming against the rookie, Derek Carr. Ryan will confuse Carr and force turnovers, giving Geno Smith a short field.

Pick: Jets 19, Raiders 13

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-1)

This is the best matchup of the week. These are two good teams battling for an early advantage in the AFC North and with the Ravens at home, they have a slight advantage. Ray Rice is out for hitting his then-fiancee, so Baltimore will rely on Bernard Pierce. A good battle to watch with be Lardarius Webb against A.J. Green. This one will go to the wire.

Pick: Ravens 24, Bengals 20

Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles (-12)

The Jaguars are not going to be an easy out. They are a much improved team and Gus Bradley can coach, but this is a tough spot. Philadelphia can do a bevy of things on offense, with LeSean McCoy and Nick Foles leading the charge. The Eagles are a sleeper pick by many to go to the Super Bowl, and this is their first step towards that.

Pick: Eagles 30, Jaguars 20

Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears (-7.5)

The Bears are going to score a ton of points behind Matt Forte, Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall. Problem is, they will give up a ton of points as well. Luckily for Marc Trestman and the boys, the Bills are woefully inept on offense. EJ Manuel is going to have a tough time lighting up any defense, especially with his lack of a supporting cast.

Pick: Bears 27, Bills 10

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)

The Steelers are a hard team to figure. Between Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Le'Veon Bell and Heath Miller, this team should put up points. The calling card for decades in Pittsburgh has been defense, but that unit looks bereft of talent. Still, the Browns are going to have a difficult time pulling off an upset without Josh Gordon.

Pick: Steelers 23, Browns 17

Washington at Houston Texans (-2.5)

Two new head coaches clash with Bill O'Brien and Jay Gruden. O'Brien has the better roster, highlighted by a dynamic duo in J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney. The main problem on the Texans is quarterback where Ryan Fitzpatrick will throw a litany of back-breaking picks. Robert Griffin needs to step up, otherwise Kirk Cousins will be taking snaps soon. Washington lacks playmakers on defense and will rely on the offense to put up points.

Pick: Texans 20, Washington 17

Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams (-3)

Adrian Peterson is a beast, but he's facing a great front seven in the Rams. Robert Quinn and Chris Long are dominant, and rookie Aaron Donald looks legit. St. Louis is going to be competitive with Shaun Hill. Hill can really throw the ball, but he is prone to mistakes. He'll lean on Zac Stacy and Tre Mason to lead the way.

Pick: Rams 20, Vikings 16

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

Everybody is selling stock on the Panthers because of their lack of receivers. Does anybody else remember that Cam Newton is a duel-threat, along with backs like Jonathan Stewart, DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert. They also have a great defense. On the other side is a very talented Buccaneers team with a good coach and a renewed spirit. Should be a fun one.

Pick: Buccaneers 20, Panthers 17

San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) at Dallas Cowboys

The 49ers have all kinds of problems on defense with Ray McDonald facing suspension, Aldon Smith already suspended, and NaVorro Bowman and Glenn Dorsey out with injuries. Even so, San Francisco will muster enough offense against Dallas' pathetic defense to carry the day.

Pick: 49ers 30, Cowboys 27

Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-9)

This is going to be the most entertaining game of the weekend. Indianapolis is going to move the ball at will against the Broncos secondary, despite prognosticators deeming the Broncos as a much-improved defense team (they aren't). Meanwhile, Peyton Manning will roll downfield all night, even without Wes Welker. This will come down to the final possession.

Pick: Broncos 38, Colts 34

New York Giants at Detroit Lions (-5.5)

The Giants are going to be better than expected. The major question is whether the team can get used to Ben McAdoo's new offensive scheme. The Lions are a team with great weaponry but a lack of solid defenders in the back seven. The corners are a major concern, along with a mediocre group of linebackers.

Pick: Giants 24, Lions 21 *PICK OF THE WEEK*

San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals (-3)

The finale of Week 1 will feature two teams aiming for a postseason berth. Philip Rivers will have a chore, trying to pick apart Patrick Peterson and Antonio Cromartie. Carson Palmer is facing a bad defense, although he has a habit of making defenses look better. It will be tight throughout and likely come down to who makes the big play, or the big mistake.

Pick: Cardinals 28, Chargers 27

Straight up: 0-0
Against the spread: 0-0

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