Naturally the loss to the Raiders reduced the Chiefs chances of making the playoffs, but they still go into Arrowhead on Sunday with a 64% chance of making the dance. If you click on the "Division" button, you'll see what we already know: a loss to the Broncos all but eliminate any chance the Chiefs will win the division. Be sure to scroll down and read about the outliers in the 50,000 simulations the 538 geeks run to come up with these probabilities. None of it is likely to happen... but oh, man! A five win team hosting a 12 win team in the playoffs? Wow.