NFL picks, Week 9: Chiefs don't inspire any confidence against Chargers

Before the season started I was on 610 Sports with Danny Parkins who noticed that I often picked the Kansas City Chiefs to win. He asked if I would pick the Chiefs to win every week and I guessed that I probably would on at least 12-13 occasions.

That was back when we thought the Chiefs were going to be good. Ah, the good old days. Remember then?

These days, I'm back to reality. I know the Chiefs aren't very good so I have to pick against them on Thursday night against the San Diego Chargers.

My official pick for the game: 31-10, Chargers.

The Chargers are 8-point underdogs, according to the NFL odds. That sounds about right -- it opened at seven points. Brady Quinn, Matt Cassel...it's all about the same to oddsmakers.

Here's what I wrote about it in my picks column at SBNation.com:

Everyone should know this stat by now: the Chiefs haven't had a lead in regulation this season. They won one game -- beating the Saints in overtime -- but haven't led in a game. That's the first time since 1940 that a team has gone through its first seven games without a lead. So, yeah, don't expect to see that change this week. The Chargers should win in a rout.

Heck, even if the Chiefs were good, I'd think twice about picking them in this game. They've lost four in a row in San Diego. A couple of those games have been multi-touchdown blowouts. Why, exactly, will this game be any different?

The rest of my picks over at SB Nation includes the Broncos beating the Bengals and the Raiders dropping a home game to the Buccaneers.

The computer models have this a 23.8-9.7 game in favor of San Diego.

A few people at CBS Sports like the Chiefs: Clark Judge, Jason La Canfora, Josh Katzowitz and Ryan Wilson.

Yahoo! Sports is all San Diego in their weekly picks.

Anyone picking the Chiefs?