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This isn't much of a surprise but Prediction Machine, which simulates the NFL season 50,000 times, has the San Diego Chargers winning the AFC West with an 11-5 record. (It's actually 11.1 wins, but we rounded.) The Kansas City Chiefs come in second in the division with this simulation going 7-9.
The Vegas over/under on the Chiefs is seven wins so that sounds about right.
Here are the games the Chiefs have a better than 50 percent chance of winning: Buffalo Bills, Minnesota Vikings, at Oakland Raiders, Miami Dolphins, Denver Broncos, Raiders and at Broncos.
And the games the Chiefs are predicted to lose: at Detroit Lions, at Chargers, at Indianapolis Colts, Chargers, at New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, at Chicago Bears, at New York Jets and Green Bay Packers.
Yeah, it's just a prediction but it's interesting nonetheless.
Prediction Machine's most likely Super Bowl has the Packers beating the....Chargers! Indeed, San Diego in the Super Bowl. That would be disappointing for us Chiefs fans, especially after last year.