clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Comparing NFL Draft Results: Arrowhead Pride Mock Draft Vs. Real Thing

New, comments
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 28:  Taxi cabs drive down the Avenue of the Americas past the Radio City Music Hall marquee, site of the 2011 NFL Draft, on April 28, 2011 in New York City.  (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 28: Taxi cabs drive down the Avenue of the Americas past the Radio City Music Hall marquee, site of the 2011 NFL Draft, on April 28, 2011 in New York City. (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
Getty Images

The 2011 Arrowhead Mock Draft may end up going down as the most accurate AP community mock draft in the event's short three-year history. 

I went back and compared the first round results of the actual 2011 NFL Draft and compared it to the results of the first round of the 2011 Arrowhead Pride Mock Draft. Unlike in years past, the reaches actually weren't too bad. And as another sign of the mock draft's increasing accuracy, the value picks weren't that crazy of a value in most cases, meaning the AP mock draft selectors did a pretty good job overall.

As we always do, we have to give props to those mock draft selectors who nailed their picks: Dirty South Chiefs Fan called WR A.J. Green to the Bengals at the No. 4 spot and Matt_Grbac got the pick right, Phil Taylor at No. 21, but not the team. That's not really fair though since we didn't have trades he wasn't able to account for the Chiefs' moving back.

Ben S also deserves some credit with his first round pick for the Baltimore Ravens. He got the player right and if it wasn't for the Ravens missing their chance at the No. 26 pick, he would not have been off by one draft slot in our results. 

After the jump, I've compared the results of the first rounds of both the real and AP mock draft and dropped them into a sortable table. I've also pulled out the best value picks and the biggest reaches. 

Check it out and let us know your thoughts. A second round comparison will be coming soon. 

Top 5 Best Value Picks

  • bradelli58 (J.J. Watt @ No. 30);
  • Aesthetist (Adrian Clayborn @ No. 32);
  • scottchief (Danny Watkins @ No. 31);
  • OnlyKCFanNVA (Nate Solder @ No. 23); and,
  • IamtheGreatest (Marcell Dareus @ No. 9).

Top 5 Biggest Reaches

  • craig in calgary (Da'Quan Bowers @ No. 2);
  • The Other Patrick Allen (Justin Houston @ No. 24);
  • yerganflurgan (Mark Ingram @ No. 15);
  • averagegatsby (Muhammad Wilkerson @ No. 17);
  • ejr58 (Prince Akumara @ No. 8); and,
  • averagegatsby (Akeem Ayers @ No. 28).

 

 

The results of the 2011 Arrowhead Pride Mock Draft vs. the real results.  Click the header of a column to sort it:

 

Position Player AP Draft Slot Real Draft Slot Difference Selector
QB Blaine Gabbert 1 10 -9 ChiefsFans90s
DE Da'Quan Bowers 2 51 -49 craig in calgary
QB Cam Newton 3 1 2 Arrowdread
WR A.J. Green 4 4 0 Dirth South Chiefs Fan
OLB Von Miller 5 2 3 tmurawsk
DT Nick Fairley 6 13 -7 H2E
CB Patrick Peterson 7 5 2 ANSTQB
CB Prince Amukamara 8 19 -11 ejr58
DL Marcell Dareus 9 3 6 IamtheGreatest
WR Julio Jones 10 6 4 nmchief
DE Aldon Smith 11 7 4 FalconMF27
OT Tyron Smith 12 9 3 Raven Hawk
OT Anthony Castonzo 13 22 -9 Matt Hays
DT Corey Liuget 14 18 -4 Sam D
RB Mark Ingram 15 28 -13 YerganFlurgan
DE Cameron Jordan 16 24 -8 GenericBrand
DE Muhammad Wilkerson 17 30 -13 averagegatsby
DE Robert Quinn 18 14 4 Chiefscafan58
C Mike Pouncey 19 15 4 flowers 24
DE Ryan Kerrigan 20 16 4 PSUkegreen
NT Phil Taylor 21 21 0 Matt_Grbac
OT Gabe Carimi 22 29 -7 saskwatch
OT Nate Solder 23 17 6 OnlyKCFanNVA
LB Justin Houston 24 70 -46 The Other Patrick Allen
QB Andy Dalton 25 35 -10 Simon from KC
CB Jimmy Smith 26 27 -1 Ben S
DE Cameron Heyward 27 31 -4 stagdsp
LB Akeem Ayers 28 39 -11 averagegatsby
OT Derek Sherrod 29 32 -3 KillaCity107
DE J.J. Watt 30 11 19 bradelli58
G Danny Watkins 31 23 8 scottchief
DE Adrian Clayborn 32 20 12 Aesthetist