It took a few days for the oddsmakers to put a line on this game but most are now coming out with the St. Louis Rams as 1-2 point favorites (depending on where you look) over the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at the Edward Jones Dome. The Chiefs, despite their record, haven't been favored all that much this season, which shows the folks with the money aren't buying in yet.
The Chiefs have done their part though to make people become non-believers when they go on the road. KC is just 2-5 on the road and, after last week's shutout loss to the San Diego Chargers, I can understand them coming into this game as 'dogs.
The Chiefs have been convincing at home and less than convincing on the road. Of the two road victories, just one of them came convincingly -- in Seattle. (I wonder how many times I can say convincing in this paragraph.) The Cleveland Browns road game -- the only road victory for KC -- was one that could have just as easily gone the other way. So the Chiefs have clearly shown they're not a road team and Vegas has taken notice.
I generally trust NFL odds as a good indicator of how a game will go but I believe they're wrong in this case. There are plenty of reasons I think the Chiefs will win this game ranging from Jamaal Charles' cruising indoors to the Chiefs defense confusing a rookie quarterback in Sam Bradford to Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster being "due" for a big return.
I think KC wins this game and I think Vegas gets it wrong.