KC Chiefs vs Jaguars: Analyzing Jacksonville's Play Direction Tendencies

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday at Arrowhead. Expect Chiefs nation to out in force to cheer on their team.

The Jags have had a tough time keeping their quarterbacks healthy. That revolving door might have some affect on how Chief fans view the tendency data. But lets take a look anyway.

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Jaguars Rushing Offense

Jaguars Rushing Notes:

• Guess it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the Jaguars like to run the ball right up the gut. So much so that they are 1st in the NFL in attempts. And I don't mean first by just a little bit. The Oakland Raiders are second in the NFL in attempts up the gut with 68. That's right. Jacksonville has attempted 44 more runs up the gut than any other team in the NFL. Think that's not a tendency?
• The Chiefs have been attacked 51 times right up the middle which is 9th most in the NFL after six weeks. This appears to be the favorite spot for the Chiefs opposition with attacking the right guard the only other location having more than 13 attempts.
• To date, the Chiefs have given up 3.9 yards per carry when running directly at the middle. With the quarterback situation in question, the supposed weakness of the 3-4 being directly up the middle, and the tendency of Jacksonville to prefer running directly at their opponents...look for Jacksonville to do more of the same. Look for it right up the gut.
• It looks like the Jags like to get outside also: ranked 4th and 8th in the NFL in attempts.
• Jacksonville ranks 6th in the NFL in rushing with a 135 yard per game average. The Chiefs have been averaging 164 yards per game, and we know how successful they have been in our minds. I expect the Chiefs defense to have a another big test in the run game this week.

Jaguars Passing Offense

Jaguars Passing Notes:

• The Jacksonville Jaguars don't have a particularly threatening passing game like the last two teams the Chiefs have played: The Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans. The thing is, the Jags have scored more passing TDs, 11th in the NFL with 9, than rushing TDs, 23rd in the NFL with 2. That tells me that they pound the ball at you over and over and then...oops...let that receiver lull me to sleep and he got on top of me for the touchdown.
• The Jaguars might not need much quarterback play if their running game gets going. Those quarterbacks can tend to look pretty good when the corners and safeties think they have to fill on the run more.
• The tendencies in the above chart might not mean much since the quarterback is hurt. Other than a general idea of how the offensive coordinator likes to attack teams...look for the quarterback that ends up playing handing that ball off, making some short safe throws, and maybe a couple of long bombs after that running game gets going.

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