In the last ten years the #3 overall pick has produced some superstars, but it is not a sure thing. Here is the list:
2008 Atlanta- Matt Ryan QB - Leaning towards Stud, to early to tell
2007 Cleveland -Joe Thomas OT- Stud
2006 Tennessee-Vince Young QB - Dud
2005 Cleveland-Braylon Edwards WR - Stud when healthy
2004 Arizona-Larry Fitzgerald WR - Stud
2003 Houston-Andre Johnson WR-Stud
2002 Detroit- Joey Harrington QB -Dud
2001 Cleveland-Gerard Warren DT - Dud
2000 Washington-Chris Samuels OT- Stud
1999 Cincinnatti-Akili Smith QB - Dud
QBs selected with this pick in the last ten years have been risky with a 25% success rate and its still too early to label Matt Ryan one way or the other.
OTs are solid winners with the #3 pick, but only two have been selected.
WRs are solid with all three making the ProBowl
DT was a miss with Gerard Warren.
If we draft here take the almost sure thing Michael Crabtree or an Offensive Tackle.
or cut sling and trade the pick if we are not filling a need.