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Community Projections: Larry Johnson

G GS Att Yds Avg Lng TD Rec Yds Avg Long TD FUM Los
2006 16 16 416 1789 4.3 47 17 41 410 10 78 2 2 2
2005 16 9 336 1750 5.2 49T 20 33 343 10.4 36 1 5 4
2004 10 3 120 581 4.8 46T 9 22 278 12.6 40 2 -- --
2003 6 0 20 85 4.3 15 1 1 2 2 2 0 -- --
TOTAL 892 4205 4.7 49 47 97 1033 10.6 78 5 7 6

Welcome to a new feature called Community Projections here at AP. Basically, over the course of the rest of the preseason, we'll predict stats for the significant players on the Kansas City Chiefs roster. After the season is over, and sometimes during, we'll revisit these threads to see where we are in our predictions. Above are Larry Johnson's all-time stats, with the rushing stats beginning on the left and the receiving stats on the right.

Let me start this off:

  • RUSHING YARDS: 1550
  • RUSHING TDS: 17
  • RECEIVING YARDS: 450
  • RECEPTIONS: 50
  • RECEIVING TDS: 2
  • RUSHING ATTEMPTS: 375
If last year's playoff loss to the Colts taught us anything, its that the Chiefs offense was too predictable. Thats one reason I can see for a slight upswing in Larry's receiving yards and receptions. Offensive coordinator Mike Solari knows that teams will stack the box against LJ and he'll adjust by mixing up the playcalling. I can't see him mixing it up a whole lot but after last year, a little more play action and a few more screen passes should be in the mix. I don't think LJ will approach 1700 yards again because with our QB situation, you can bet that teams will make Brodie Croyle beat them before they let LJ beat them. Larry Johnson will still be dominant rushing the ball but there may be a few games early on in the season where the Chiefs opponents will flat out make LJ and LJ only beat them, resulting in a few games with fewer yards and touches.

Get your predictions on the record now or forever hold your peace.

Note: If you've been reading and not commenting, now is a good time to jump in. Create a free account (only requires an e-mail address) and let us know how LJ is going to do this season.