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Your Kansas City Chiefs Draft Scenarios

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Team Record Opp. % Week 17 Opp.
#1 Miami Dolphins 1-14 0.533 Bengals
#2 St. Louis Rams 3-12 0.513 Cardinals
#3 New York Jets 3-12 0.525 Chiefs
#4 Atlanta Falcons 3-12 0.529 Seahawks
#5 Kansas City Chiefs 4-11 0.508 Jets
#6 Oakland Raiders 4-11 0.513 Chargers
#7 Baltimore Ravens 4-11 0.517 Steelers
#8 SF 49ers 5-10 0.467 Browns

The table above is the current draft order as of today. The draft order is determined first by W/L record. In the event of a tie, opponent's strength of schedule is used, with the lower percentage getting the higher pick. Obviously, the Dolphins have already locked up the top spot. The likelihood of the Chiefs getting each spot is from Playoff Status. (Thanks for the link MAWK!)

Note: These results are based on the strength of schedule of each team remaining relatively the same.

For the Chiefs to get the #2 overall pick (<1%)...

  • Rams must beat the Cardinals
  • Falcons must beat the Seahawks
  • Chiefs lose to the Jets
The remaining 4-11 teams, even if they win, won't overtake the Chiefs spot because of opp. winning percentage. The Chiefs also have the worst opp. winning percentage of the 4-11 teams, which would break any other ties.

For the Chiefs to get the #3 overall pick (7%)...

  • Rams OR Falcons need to win
  • Chiefs lose to the Jets
For the Chiefs to get the #4 overall pick (30%)...
  • Chiefs lose to the Jets
  • Rams and Falcons lose
For the Chiefs to get the #5 overall pick (15%)...
  • Rams and Falcons need to lose
  • Chiefs beat the Jets
  • Raiders, Ravens and 49ers need to win
For the Chiefs to get the #6 overall pick (4%)...
  • Rams and Falcons need to lose
  • Chiefs beat the Jets
  • Raiders and Ravens need to win
  • 49ers need to lose
For the Chiefs to get the #7 overall pick (19%)...
  • Chiefs beat the Jets
  • Rams, Falcons, Raiders and Ravens need to lose
  • 49ers need to win
For the Chiefs to get the #8 overall pick (25%)...
  • Chiefs beat the Jets
  • Rams, Falcons, Raiders, Ravens and 49ers need to lose