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2007 Kansas City Chiefs Draft

AFC West Draft Picks

Its about time I put these up here.

Denver Broncos

RD PK(OVR) NAME POS SCHOOL
1 17(17) Jarvis Moss DE FLORIDA
2 24(56) Tim Crowder DE TEXAS
3 6(70) Ryan Harris OT NOTRE DAME
4 22(121) Marcus Thomas DT FLORIDA

San Diego Chargers

RD PK(OVR) NAME POS SCHOOL
1 30(30) Craig Davis WR LSU
2 5(37) Eric Weddle DS UTAH
3 33(96) Anthony Waters ILB CLEMSON
4 30(129) Scott Chandler TE IOWA
5 35(172) Legedu Naanee WR BOISE STATE
7 30(240) Brandon Siler ILB FLORIDA

Oakland Raiders

RD PK(OVR) NAME POS SCHOOL
1 1(1) JaMarcus Russell QB LSU
2 6(38) Zach Miller TE ARIZONA STATE
3 1(65) Quentin Moses DE GEORGIA
3 28(91) Mario Henderson OT FLORIDA STATE
3 36(99) Johnnie Lee Higgins WR UTEP
4 1(100) Michael Bush RB LOUISVILLE

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Analyzing the First Three Round of the Draft


Round 1

Dwayne Bowe was our run away pick in the mock draft tracker and to be honest with you, I'm surprised it worked out that way. Bowe was touted as the most "pro ready" wide reciever before the draft and that was more than likely the reason the Chiefs took him over another wideout, such as Dwayne Jarrett. For those touting the depth of the recieving corp in this draft and that the Chiefs could potentially wait until the second round to grab a WR, that was not the case. Before the Chiefs pick came in the second round at #54 overall, Dwayne Jarrett, Sidney Rice, Robert Meacham and Steve Smith were all gone. The recievers taken in the third round were Jacoby Jones, Yamon Figurs, Laurent Robinson, Jason Hill, Mike Walker, Paul Williams and Johnnie Lee Higgins. Everyone but Higgins was gone before the Chiefs drafted again in the third round. I think its pretty obvious in hindsight that if the Chiefs did truly want a worthy WR in this draft, they had to grab one in the first round. Probably the only other way I would have gone in the first round was taking Joe Staley, the OT from Central Michigan. Staley ended up going to San Francisco at the 28th pick. Regardless, I agree with Adam at Arrowhead Addict that Bowe has the potential to be the greatest WR the Chiefs have ever had. And thats not saying a whole lot but it still has some meaning behind it. Overall, I would have been happy with either Bowe or Staley in this spot.


Rounds 2 and 3

Despite making a couple of off season signings at defensive tackle, it was obvious to any Chief fan that our defensive line problems did not magically disappear. Aside from Alan Branch, Amobi Okoye and Justin Harrel who all went in the first round, Turk McBride (and fellow Chief draftee Tank Tyler) was rated as one of the top 6 or 7 defensive tackles in the draft. Personally, I think we took him a little high but we made up for it when we drafted Tank Tyler as well. Between the time the Chiefs drafted McBride, there was only one other defensive tackle taken before the Chiefs chose Tank Tyler in the third round. One way to look at this is that the Chiefs snagged 2 of the top 6 defensive tackles in this draft in two straight rounds. While McBride may not have been the sexiest 2nd round draft pick of all time, he does fill a need in an otherwise average defensive line.


Throw Tank Tyler into the same boat as Turk McBride. The Chiefs defensive line is weak so we drafted based on need. Its so weak in fact that we grabbed two DTs in the first three rounds. While I didn't necessarily immediately agree with the Chiefs taking two DTs so soon, the more I looked at the board the more I realized that they didn't really have much of a choice. The two remaining decent cornerbacks in the third round were taken long before the Chiefs at #82 overall. Ray McDonald from Florida, who went 15 picks later to San Francisco, would have been a good choice here too.

On the first day of the draft, the Chiefs did pretty well with what they were given. Unfortunately, picking late in each round results in either taking a guy too early or having to settle with other team's leftovers. I would have loved to see Aaron Ross drop to us in the first round but the Giants got him at #20 overall. The thing about this draft is that the Chiefs have so many legitimate needs- offensive line, secondary, defensive line and wide reciever- that you can't really knock the Chiefs brass for going in any direction but improving what needs improving. There was no throw-your-hands-up-in-the-air moment for the Kansas City Chiefs, where fans were screaming at the television asking what were they thinking.

On to the Brady Quinn theoreticals. As I'm sitting there watching Brady Quinn fall pick after pick, the more I became excited about Quinn possibly being a Chief. I think that if Quinn was there for the Chiefs, we had to take him. Brady Quinn is a potential franchise QB that would have been a friggin' steal at #23. Brodie Croyle, however beloved by Herm Edwards he is, was only a third round pick. Despite the hope for Croyle, the Chiefs don't really have much invested in him and could easily replace him with Brady Quinn as our future QB. If Quinn was there, I think the Chiefs should have taken him, shopped him around for an offer we couldn't refuse, then made him our franchise QB.  

The first three rounds of the 2007 draft for the Kansas City Chiefs were a lot like the franchise themselves- ever hopeful but vanilla enough to make everyone else concentrate on other teams. We didn't make any huge splashes mostly because we couldn't.

Grade for the first 3 rounds - B

Stay tuned for analysis of the last four rounds of the draft later today and why the Chiefs took a Division 3 tight end.

3 comments  | 

Say Hello to Our Remaining First Day Draft Picks

Turk McBride, DE from Tennessee
Demarcus "Tank" Tyler, DT from NC State

2 comments  | 

Say Hello to Dwayne Bowe

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Pre-Draft Reading Assignments

  • This article from Football Outsiders is one of the more fascinating draft readings I've seen. Basically, FO has analyzed the various positions and starters in the NFL and compiled data on where they were drafted. I could not have put that worse so let me show you an example.

    The blue bars represent the percentage of league wide starters drafted in that round. The red bars represent the percentage of league wide starters drafted in that round that are still with the team that drafted them.

    The quarterback position is especially top heavy. Exactly half of the starting QBs in the NFL (when this data was collected) were drafted in the first round. For whatever reason, the sixth round has been fairly lucrative, but pretty much anything after round one is a long shot. Interestingly, some of the better signal-callers have not been selected in the first four rounds: Tom Brady, Mark Brunell, Matt Hasselbeck, Marc Bulger, Trent Green, and Jake Delhomme.

    There is more coherent analysis in that article than I could ever attempt to explain. Check it out. (Thanks to Bleeding Green Nation for the link)

  • NFL.com's draft history from 1982 to 2006.

  • NFL Draft Countdown's top 32 players.

  • Back to Football Outsiders and their AFC West Breakdown.

  • Check out some opinions on the Chiefs team needs here, here and here.

  • And of course, you have to check out AP's mock draft info and general draft info.

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Morning Update

Its going to be a slow news day, I can just tell. I'll do my best to keep it interesting.

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What is Your Draft Strategy?

When it comes to the NFL draft, there are traditionally two camps, as Jon at MVN put it. The Best Player Available camp and the camp that drafts based on need. Jon basically hits the nail on the head and said that pure approaches to both are flawed and that there should be a middle ground, i.e. weighted BPA. I had a whole spiel to give you readers but Jon pretty much has already said what I think. Jon says:

My draft method of choice is a combination of the two theories: Weighted BPA. I think a team should sit down and assign a weight of importance to each position, and then attach that weight to their overall evaluation of a player. For example, the Chiefs desperately need a wide receiver or a defensive tackle, so they should apply a high weight to any player at either position. The Chiefs don't really need a halfback or a tight end, so they should apply a low weight to any player at either position.

I find this strategy to be the best of both worlds. For example in this particular draft, we could assign higher values to the better DTs in the draft and nearly as high scores to potential WR picks. That way, if a great DT does fall to us, we can take him over a "less valuable" WR and not have blinders on in the first round. In the SB Nation Mock Draft, Ted Ginn Jr. was a definite Best Player Available pick. We could have also gone DT or a CB if a worthy one had fallen to us.

Since I agree with Jon, what's your draft strategy and which strategy should the Chiefs employ in 2007?

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Sports Blog Nation Mock Draft

Loyal AP readers, I need your help. Our fellow SB Nation bloggers are getting together to have the official SB Nation NFL Mock Draft. We will be going 3 rounds deep, with each NFL blog representing their own team. For the few NFL teams we don't have, we managed to find fill ins. Take a look at the Mock Draft Tracker for some initial ideas on who the Chiefs should draft.

While I may be the name on the front page of this site, I certainly do not feel comfortable submitting picks without the input of the community. So have it. Suggest away for the first 3 rounds of the draft and hopefully we can come to a consensus. I almost forgot to mention that trading draft picks is allowed.

For your Friday morning reading pleasure, Nick Athan of Scout scored an interview with Carl Peterson.

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