From the FanPosts -Joel
This isn't going to be something explaining why we should or why the Chiefs shouldn't extend Alex Smith's contract. As we saw with our last GM, signing a QB to a big contract could cost you your job. And by no means is this a knock on Alex Smith or John Dorsey, but Dorsey needs to realize if he ties himself to Alex Smith, he could very well be out of a job. That is just how the NFL works in today's game.
But here is something very big I think Dorsey needs to focus on if he decides to give Alex and extension -- 2016. This is going to be a huge year for the Chiefs. Take a look at the list of our free agents in the year 2016:
Tamba Hali, Eric Berry, Derrick Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Dontari Poe, Sean Smith, Mike Devito, A.J. Jenkins, Jeff Allen, Donnie Avery, Chase Daniel, Dunta Robinson, Donald Stephenson.
Granted some of these guys probably won't be around by then anyway, but there are quite a few big names on that list. Also, we can't forget that some of these guys may be extended before they become free agents, but all this will depend on what type of deal we give Alex Smith.
I am not even going to try to guess at what Smith will get. We will see a lot of numbers fly around, but in reality this will all come down to Mr. Dorsey, Alex, and Alex's agent. But if we give Alex a deal like Ryan, Stafford, Flacco, or Cutler, we can probably say goodbye to almost everyone on the list. If Alex gets a QB mega-deal, I just don't see how we are going to have enough money to sign our core players. Granted DJ and Hali will be at the end of their careers and may be non factors by then. But the thought of losing Berry, Poe, Stephenson, and Charles after the 2015 season is something I don't think I would be able to handle. (don't forget about Houston either as we need to resign him after next season)
If Alex is to get extended, the type of deal he gets will really tell us what Reid and Dorsey plan to do for the future. If they give him the mega-deal, I think we will see them building a new core to this team around Smith. For me I am on the side of the fence that says, I don't really mind Smith as the QB, but I don't want to break the bank to have him here the next 4-7 years. Don't get me wrong, I truly appreciate watching Smith as our QB after having to see Cassel, Quinn, Palko, Huard, Croyle, and Orton. I don't want to go back to this anytime soon, but I also don't want to be stuck with Smith and losing some of our core guys.
Pioli made a statement early in his Chiefs tenure that he liked to draft a QB in every draft. I actually really like this idea. Yes we have Bray and Daniel on the roster, but I think it is a very good strategy. Is Bray the answer? Who knows. Is Daniel the answer? I would say probably not. But I don't think you ever settle at this position. You keep drafting someone and hopefully one of them works out.
With all that said, it will be very interesting to see what type of deal we give Smith, if we do plan on doing it. Obviously we have some core guys that we will need to be deciding on in the very near future and giving Alex Smith a deal now, could very well decide the future direction of this team.