Floyd Mayweather may or may not have put $10 million (or more) on the Denver Broncos-Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl 48 game. According to unconfirmed rumors, which are probably not true, Mayweather put $10 million on the Broncos. Unless it was $13 million that he put down. I have plenty of doubts about the veracity of Mayweather's bet, but it is a fun jumping off point for what I want to talk about.
Let's say you're betting everything you got, whether that's $50 or $5 million. The bet is a statistic that you guarantee the Kansas City Chiefs will replicate next season. (And don't say, Jamaal Charles will rush for at least 100 yards next season or something easy like that).
Here are a few ideas:
Alex Smith will attempt more than 500 passes next season. Based on Andy Reid's history and what we saw in year one of this partnership, it seems like a reasonable bet. Smith threw for 508 passes in his first year under Andy Reid, and didn't even play in Week 17. Reid's probably not going to be throwing less now that Smith is more comfortable in his system, right?
Jamaal Charles will have more than 325 touches. He had 259 rushing attempts and 70 receptions last season for 329 total touches. Will Jamaal see that many next season? Or will the Chiefs start working Knile Davis in more?
The Chiefs will have four punt or kick return touchdowns next season. They had two punt returns and two kick returns for touchdowns last season. Dave Toub is great and all but I'm not sure I'd be feel comfortable predicting he could replicate that. At least not with my $10 million bet.
Justin Houston and Tamba Hali will combine for 20-plus sacks. They had 22 last season -- 11 each. You would assume Houston continues to improve given his age or at least doesn't get worse. Because of Hali's age and the wear and tear, there's a chance he will start declining (something we have said every year for about three years now).
What stat will the Chiefs definitely be able to replicate next year?