So that loss really hurt. A lot. I think the only way to get over it, even after two weeks, is to look forward to next year.
So I do that and.... BAM. That looks like a tough schedule. For those that aren't aware, next year's opponents are here.
Obviously every division game is tough. So that's 6 tough games right there. Then it only gets harder with games against the Pats, Rams, and Seahawks at home and the Steelers, Cardinals, 49ers, and Dolphins away. This is all speculation of course, but these are the games I view as being the most difficult to win. Of course teams like the Bills (again!?:( ), Jets, or Titans could sneak up and be good, as well as one or two of the good teams having a down year. Either way, it comes out to about 13 out of 16 games that look tough this far away.
I thought this was supposed to make me feel better.
Then I thought, wait a minute, this year something is different. We have a coach that has dealt with this before. Romeo Crennel, Todd Haley, Herm Edwards, and Gunther Cunningham all had trouble following their "good seasons." Not just with the Chiefs, but across their careers. Dick Vermeil is the exception, and is listed here for comparison. Here's the rundown:
In order to deal with this, I'm taking the total record of seasons for coaches following a 1st or 2nd place divisional finish the year previous, provided they are still coaching the same team. (Dick Vermeil's first season with KC for instance doesn't count because his next previous year, while a 1st place finish, was with the Rams.)
RAC: 4-12 25%
Toddman: 5-8 38.5%
Hermes: 14-34 29.2%
Gunthar of the Hill People: 7-9 43.8%
Old Dick: 43-30 59%
None of these guys are currently head coaching any NFL team. I think we can see why. When they get success, in a winning or second place finishing season, they face a tougher schedule the following year, more expectations, and, for whatever reason, they can't handle it. This is with the exception of Dick Vermeil. I wish we could've gotten him at a younger stage in his career, because I think he was a really great coach. 43-30 is an exceptional record with tough schedules, as evidenced by the mass majority of failure from the rest of NFL head coaches.
Now let's look at Big Red's big record:
Reid: 95-65 59.4%
Even with a much better sample size, Big Red is right on par with Dick Vermeil, by far the best coach of the above. In terms of winning seasons, Andy has all these guys beat obviously, but I think it's meaningful to see that his record during years with 1st or 2nd place schedules is on par with a super bowl winning coach.
Since so many of us regard Marty as the best modern coach of the Chiefs since Hank, let's look at how his numbers stack up.
Marty: 134-76 63.8%
That's in the same ballpark as Andy. I think it's worth noting that Marty's Chiefs teams finished 1st or 2nd in the division every year he coached them except his last. That's amazing. 9 out of 10 years. His Cleveland teams finished 1st or 2nd 4 out of 5 years. Marty was a better coach than I think some of us realize.
Just for comparison, let's look at, in my opinion, the best ball coach in the league.
Bill Belichick- 152-56 73.1%
Ouch. Well so no one is on par with Bill. Or Tom Brady. Never count out Touchdown Tom.
Do with this information what you will. I think it's encouraging that this is the first time in my life we've had a coach that has had success after a successful year. That is what excellence is about. Sustaining it. I think Andy and Dorsey have the ability to do just that. Looks like anyone can have one great year. Only the great ones can do it again.
I hope Andy can be great for us.