I'm not a fan of Geno Smith. I think he's a system QB and won't have success in the NFL. A lot of Geno-philes have argued the Chiefs should draft him because even though he isn't Andrew Luck or RGIII, "he doesn't have to be. He only has to be Joe Flacco." I don't think he's even going to be Joe Flacco. But that's just my opinion. I'm not a scout, not a coach, and freely admit I know more about baseball and basketball than I'll ever know about football.
The good people over at Pro Football Weekly, however, know a great deal more about football than I do. One of their draft scouts, Nolan Nawrocki, scouted Smith and came back with a less-than-effusive report. For those Geno-philes out there, I would find a pillow to punch or scream into before you read this:
Negatives: Operated an offense where he received adjustments from the sidelines and was often out of sync with receivers. Average field vision and coverage recognition — forces throws and does not work through progressions. Takes unnecessary sacks and does not feel pressure well. Not an elusive scrambler. Shaky lower-body mechanics — does not stand tall in the pocket (crouches, hops, dances and elevates to his toes when he throws). Has pin legs and bad pocket posture. Operated almost exclusively from the gun. Not a student of the game. Nonchalant field presence — does not command respect from teammates and cannot inspire. Mild practice demeanor — no urgency. Not committed or focused — marginal work ethic. Interviewed poorly at the Combine and did not show an understanding of concepts on the white board. Opted not to compete at the Senior Bowl and has approached offseason training as if he has already arrived and it shows in his body with minimal muscle definition or strength. Has small hands and glaring ball security issues (32 career fumbles). Really struggled handling the snow in Pinstripe Bowl (took two safeties) and will be troubled by the elements. Needed to be coddled in college — cannot handle hard coaching.
He did have many nice things to say about Smith, but that doesn't really seem like the kind of player will turn into a Super Bowl-winning QB. Now, again, this is just one man's opinion. But the general consensus all year has been that he isn't a top-10 talent. (Scout's, Inc. still has him as their 20th rated prospect.) And while he has been rocketing up mock drafts, it's important to remember those are merely projections of where they think prospects will go, not where they think they should go.
This is not to say you're wrong for liking Geno Smith, this is basically an issue Chiefs fans have just agreed to disagree on. We honestly have no idea if he's the next Tom Brady or JaMarcus Russell, and won't until he actually gets on a football field. But it's a scathing scouting report, and will only create more questions than it answers.