That seems to be the consensus, that Joeckel and to a slightly lesser extent Fisher are the safe picks. But what if new Chiefs general manager John Dorsey and coach Andy Reid want to gamble for, say, a pass rusher like linebacker Dion Jordan of Oregon? Or what about a small but fast and talented receiver in Tavon Austin of West Virginia?
Unlikely. But the Chiefs have gambled before, though not with the first pick. In 2006, the same year the Texans drafted Mario Williams, the Chiefs in the first round went with defensive end Tamba Hali of Penn State.
The Chiefs already had a pass rushing end in Jared Allen. Hali wasn't very fast and didn't have many other desirable physical qualities.
To the surprise of many, the Chiefs drafted him anyway.
An NFL Draft Primer, What Happens Behind The Scenes from KC Star
This much you know: The three-day NFL Draft, 2013 Edition, starts on Thursday at 7 p.m. CT. And by virtue of the 2-14 record they compiled in 2012, the Chiefs hold the number one overall pick.
But what exactly happens on draft night? For that matter, in the days leading up to the draft?
Here are a few things to remember as the Chiefs and the NFL's other 31 teams get ready for one of the premiere happenings in the sport's offseason.
2012 NFL Draft Memories: Dontari Poe from The Mothership
I recently caught up with Dontari to revisit his 2012 draft night and began by asking who from the Chiefs called him as NFL commissioner Roger Goodell announced his name.
"Mitch," Poe said. "I talked to Mitch (Reynolds, Chiefs football operations coordinator); he was the first person I talked to. That was a big thing for me; once I got the call, it's kind of a surreal situation that you're in, so I don't know if I remember it all, but I know I was just thanking God for the day, trying not to cry, but it was a blessing that turned out in a positive way for me, so, it was all good."
Fun Fact: At least one quarterback has been drafted in the first round every year since 1996.
Sleeper: Matt Scott, Arizona. Dual threat as a runner as well as a passer.
Draft Spotlight - Day 30: Luke Joeckel from The Mothership
In 2012, new Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin took over and the Aggies (led by Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel) took the SEC by storm. Joeckel's dominating play continued, helping to anchor the best offensive line in the country. He earned First-Team All-American and All-SEC honors.
Joeckel's consistent play continued during his team's 41-14 win against Oklahoma in the AT&T Cotton Bowl. Luke helped clear the way for an A&M offense that generated 633 total yards, including 326 rushing yards and 307 passing yards. Joeckel and his fellow offensive linemen did not allow a sack in the game.
Branden Albert and the Miami Dolphins had negotiations for a long-term contract over the weekend -- and the Dolphins are willing to meet Albert's asking price, according to NFL.com's Ian Rapoport. Albert is seeking a contract similar to Duane Brown's, who signed a seven-year contract with an average annual value just north of $8 million.
Chiefs Still Have Time To Get Out Of No. 1 Pick from FS Kansas City
So, yeah, if tackle is the plan all along - and as Dorsey himself said, this is a draft crop highlighted by pass blockers, defensive tackles and cornerbacks, not skill-position stars, the way last year's class was - it would behoove the Chiefs to get the heck out of No. 1.
And, well, there's your second rub.
Good luck finding somebody willing to take that slot off your hands, willing to sell the farm for a crack at Geno Smith. The fewer marquee quarterbacks available for the plucking/dangling, the harder it is to move. (Only the Chiefs, trying to repent from a sordid history of developing their own marquee signal-callers, could land the top pick the year AFTER Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill and Russell Wilson were on the menu.)
Bowe raved about the new style of playcalling, saying it was "totally different from last year. It's not check downs or putting it in the running back's hands. This guy likes to go down the field, take the top off (the defense) and that's something we haven't done in the past, put up a lot of points."
That comment immediately raises red flags among anyone who watched how inconsistently Reid used LeSean McCoy in Philadelphia. One would hope that a similar fate doesn't befall Jamaal Charles, especially since he's been Kansas City's most productive weapon in recent seasons.
Kansas City Chiefs - Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M - The Chiefs have done everything possible to make this pick seem more valuable to teams thinking about trading up, flashing "interest" in West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith and trying to beat the drum for Central Michigan left tackle Eric Fisher. In the end, this is just not a sexy draft at the top, so Kansas City will stand pat and take Joeckel. Scouts often reference the potential "ceiling" of a particular prospect and rarely talk about a player's "floor." Joeckel's floor is significantly higher than Fisher's and that's the real difference between the two players.
Juszczyk Projected As Third/Fourth Round Pick from The Harvard Crimson
The Dolphins are one of twelve official visits that Juszczyk is making in the weeks leading up to the draft, according to The Baltimore Sun. The others were the Minnesota Vikings, Jacksonville Jaguars, Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, Detroit Lions, Buffalo Bills, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, Seattle Seahawks, and the Carolina Panthers.
Morris Is The Man Of Muscle from The Buffalo News
"Yeah, I could go to Florida or California or whatever, but I've got to stay loyal to Buddy. He's the one who got me my chance," said Kansas City Chiefs fullback Nate Eachus, who's training with Morris this offseason. "I'll always stay loyal to him."
Eachus is one of the latest, but he's far from the only NFL player who credits Morris for helping him reach the pinnacle of his profession.
Greg Cote: Drum Roll... Time For Annual Mock Draft from The Miami Herald
1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M -When Johnny Manziel won the Heisman, this is the teammate who should have said, "You're welcome." Joeckel is seen in this draft the way the Dolphins saw Jake Long in 2008. Life's certainties: Death, taxes, Jeffrey Loria trading his best players and the Chiefs drafting this guy.
Coach Believes Deltona Trinity Christian Product Harris Could Be Draft Steal from The Daytona Beach News-Journal
Kentrell Harris might not be a household name heading into this weekend's NFL draft.
But Kevin Grigsby, Harris' defensive coordinator at Virginia Union last season, believes the Trinity Christian graduate could be a draft steal...
...Harris said since the NFLPA game, he has had a private workout with the Oakland Raiders and has heard from the Philadelphia Eagles, Arizona Cardinals, San Diego Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs. He said his agent told him he could be a fifth-round pick (Saturday), and, at the least, should get a free-agent deal.
Paul Costanzo: Area Fills NFL's Need At O-Line from The Port Huron Times Herald
This is the sixth edition of the draft, where I write up my own mock draft of the first 15 selections, but instead of choosing college players, the draft pool is made up of Blue Water Area prep players. Every high school player is eligible, whether they're a freshman or a senior...
...Kansas City Chiefs: Blake Biewer, OL, St. Clair. The Chiefs need a franchise tackle, and lucky for them there are plenty available in the area. They go with Biewer who has all the tools plus the experience to anchor the offensive line for years to come.
Hot Button: Eagles A 2013 Contender? from ESPN
With three days left until the NFL draft, Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay are having a "Hot Button" debate about which team picking in the top five Thursday night has the best chance to contend in 2013. Mel picked Andy Reid's new team, the Kansas City Chiefs, who hold the No. 1 pick. Todd picked Reid's former team, the Philadelphia Eagles, who pick fourth:
Chase Daniel Names HK's Golf Tournament Honorary Chair from Lake Expo
Lake Regional Health System is pleased to announce Chase Daniel, of the Kansas City Chiefs, will serve as honorary chair of the 35th Annual HK's Hospital Benefit Golf Tournament, scheduled June 7-9 at The Cove Golf Course at The Lodge of Four Seasons.
I believe Eric Fisher and Luke Joeckel will be taken with one of the first three picks.
The Kansas City Chiefs are a near lock to draft an offensive tackle with the first overall selection. (I think Fisher has a great shot at being their choice.) And I also expect either the Jacksonville Jaguars or Oakland Raiders to select one, as well.
AFC west Teams Intend To Close Gap On Broncos On Draft Weekend from The Denver Post
Kansas City, which has the No. 1 pick on the heels of a league-worst 2-14 finish last season, is looking for anything and everything. General manager John Dorsey said this past week the team has narrowed its choices for the No. 1 pick to four players.
The Chiefs have added former 49ers starter Alex Smith at quarterback and are shopping disgruntled left tackle Branden Albert in a trade. It would seem one, two, or all of the draft's top three tackles - Luke Joeckel, Eric Fisher and Lane Johnson - would be on the Chiefs' draft list.
Kansas City Chiefs -- Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan -- Still not out of the question to see KC go defense here, and their choice at tackle might be a coin flip. It's just hard to imagine the Chiefs trading Branden Albert and then not adding one of the top tackles in this draft. Andy Reid's done different things in the draft before and it's certainly not a lock, but if the Chiefs are trying to compete in 2013, they need a left tackle.
What Do Teams With Top-5 Pick Need? from ESPN
Joeckel fills a need right away, as two of the Chiefs' three linemen to play more than 1,000 snaps left in free agency.
On Day 2, Kansas City would seem to need to address a defense that allowed an NFL-most 893 rush yards after contact. Only the Colts (21) allowed more rushes of at least 20 yards than the Chiefs (19).
Kansas City Chiefs -- Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State: They took safetyEric Berry, and he's a solid player, but Okung is better at a more important position.