Among my favorite NFL Draft analysts are Dan Kadar of Mocking The Draft and Greg Cosell of NFL Films. The people who make the draft their living are the ones who I tend to trust the most. For Dan and Greg, that's the case. Let's compare how each sees the Kansas City Chiefs No. 1 overall pick in the 2013 NFL Draft plays out.
First up, Dan Kadar's latest 2013 NFL mock draft, which once again sends Luke Joeckel to the Chiefs.
There is still some confusion on where exactly the Chiefs will go with the first overall pick. The majority believe it will be Joeckel. However, Eric Fisher is still a strong possibility, as is Dion Jordan to a lesser degree.
There is indeed confusion. We've spent some time talking about whether Joeckel or Fisher is the better player but we don't know how the Chiefs feel. Andy Reid hasn't given any hints and GM John Dorsey declined to go into specifics of each player when asked about them last week.
Second, Greg Cosell of NFL Films sends Eric Fisher to the Chiefs.
He and Texas A&M's Luke Joeckel have very similar skill sets, but I like Fisher a little more. The Alex Smith trade was the impetus for this selection. Andy Reid acquired Smith to solidify the quarterback position. Smith is an efficient, system player who does not turn the ball over. The objective was not to lose games because of your quarterback. That's the Smith factor. It makes little sense to make that trade, structure your offense that way, and then not address your OL, especially when you have Jamaal Charles in the backfield.
The analysis of why the Chiefs would select a tackle is spot-on -- the Chiefs future depends on the success of their quarterback (like any other team) and the best way to make him successful is to give him a potent offensive line. Do you aim for the better pass protector to help Alex Smith? Or do you aim for the better run blocker to help the best player on your team? That's an interesting question that we haven't fully dived into yet. I do think the better pass blocker is more important -- that's the skill that teams value the most. Jamaal Charles is going to be successful behind just about any offensive line -- some of the Chiefs offensive lines in 2009 and 2010 helped show that.