Who WILL the Chiefs take at #1 if they still have that pick?
No team cares who the Chiefs should take. The question that every team is asking is "who will the Chiefs take?" And in my opinion, the Chiefs have done a very good job keeping people guessing.
As I've watched the draft throughout the years, It seems that teams trade up to the 10 - 20 range in order to take a position, but teams only trade up to the 1 - 5 range to take a specific player. So if the Chiefs are going to be able to trade the #1 pick, there must be some team that wants a specific player. If there isn't, then no strategy by the Chiefs will produce a trade to #1.
Unfortunately, the elite prospects in this draft aren't at quarterback. They are on the offensive and defensive lines. Of Scout Inc.'s top 12 prospects, 5 are offensive linemen and 5 are defensive linemen. Teams fall in love with quarterbacks much more often than they fall in love with linemen, because QBs are not fungible. Linemen, however, kind of are. If 5 of the top 10 prospects in this draft were quarterbacks, the Chiefs would have no trouble trading #1, but that is not the case this year.
As I see it, there are 5 prospects who could go #1. Joeckel and Fisher, Star and Floyd, and Jordan. Given these circumstances, I think the Chiefs have set themselves up as well as they could to maximize a possible trade for #1.
If Albert were signed to a long-term deal, I think basically every team would know that the Chiefs would be picking a defensive lineman. If Albert were to be traded pre-draft, I think every team would know that the Chiefs would be picking an offensive tackle. Instead, they've taken an approach that leaves every team guessing, which maximizes trading partners.
The self-imposed 4-day deadline, if I had to guess, is actually about Albert. If they do not have a trade in place for #1, they will sign or trade Albert, depending on the decision they've made for the #1 spot. If they do have a trade in place, they will make it then, and will wait on a decision on Albert until draft day, when they take a prospect at 2, 4, 7, 8, 9 or wherever.
The reason I call this a poll of a different flavor is because it doesn't matter who comes in first on this poll, or who comes in last, but rather how close the first is to the last. The more confusion, the better for the Chiefs. If there is an outlier, they need to fix it.