3500 or bust. That would be the projected value of the overall #1 pick trade. 3000 for the swap and 500 for the vig.
Vigorish, or simply the vig, also known as juice, the cut or the take, is the amount charged by a bookmaker, or bookie, for his services. In the United States it also means the interest on a shark's loan. The term is Yiddish slang originating from the Russian word for winnings, выигрыш vyigrysh. Bookmakers use this practice to make money on their wagers regardless of the outcome. To minimize their risk, bookmakers do not want to have an interest in either side winning in a given sporting event. They are interested, instead, in getting equal betting on both outcomes of the event. In this way, the bookmaker minimizes his risk and always collects a small commission from the vigorish. The bookmaker will normally adjust the odds or the line, to attract equal action on each side of an event.
Who has the ability to make a move? Who appears to want Geno Smith the most?
2. Jacksonville - Jax has the inside edge, Swap 1st's and give up their 2013 2nd equals 3180 points with the added benefit the Chiefs would still have their pick of the remainder of the draft.
Jacksonville held an extensive on-spot, informal interview with Smith last week in Morgantown. It's the same tact, grading reaction to the unrehearsed, coach Ron Rivera and the Carolina Panthers used to determine Cam Newton warranted the No. 1 pick two years ago.
3. Oakland - A longshot the Chiefs would help bailout the Raiders franchise with a trade or a QB. No 2nd round pick is a serious handicap.
Oakland, which has the third overall pick, is unsettled at quarterback and interest in Smith had been rumored since the combine last month. On Tuesday, coach Dennis Allen confirmed Smith is an option the Raiders will consider.
4. Philadelphia - Philly could assemble a nice package. Their 4th pick and 2nd rounder amount to 2350 points and a 2014 1st round pick would add a 1000 for 3350 total points.
The Eagles, who hold the fourth pick, sent everyone but the mayor to Morgantown eight days ago. Owner Jeff Lurie, GM Howie Roseman and head coach Chip Kelly were on hand ahead of Smith's pro day to run him through one part endurance test and one part passing/accuracy exercise.
5. Detroit - Sitting this one out I assume.
Detroit at No. 5 has been silent, and with Matt Stafford's contract extension around the corner, that's what we'd expect.
6. Cleveland - Cleveland is going to have to come up with a serious package. Their 2013 draft has a value of 2136 add in a 2014 1st and that would net 3136 total points.
Now introducing the Cleveland quandary. If the Browns have sincere interest in Geno Smith, they likely have to move to get him. That's problematic. For several reasons.
Selling a fan base on moving up with the intent of drafting a quarterback 11 months after said fan base watched Washington trump Cleveland with a trade package for Robert Griffin III will be touchy territory. No, Lombardi can't get caught up in the sensitivities that arise over the err of past regime's ways. But it's a raw wound of which Banner will be mindful.
Cleveland doesn't have a second-round pick (spent in the supplemental draft on WR Josh Gordon, another player Lombardi viewed as a dud). It would almost certainly have to part with its 2013 third-rounder to move up a few spots. Does it make business or football sense to give up one-third of your draft to land Smith? If you believe he's a franchise quarterback, it just might.
7. Arizona - This game appears too rich for Arizona (regarding the Chiefs).
The crowd doesn't stop with Cleveland. Arizona (seventh)
8. Buffalo - Buddy Nix is a Wild Card. The Bills 1st, 2nd, and 2014 1st equals 2890 points.
all quotes from link
Buffalo (eighth) are universally viewed by NFLDraftScout.com as the franchises most likely to be shopping in the QB aisle early. On this topic, GM Buddy Nix -- who attended Smith's pro day -- doesn't care who is listening, he's pining for the Bills to score a franchise quarterback. Overeager puts it lightly, and it would be a mild upset if Nix wasn't devising ways to get to the front of the checkout lane.
Who makes the most Sense in a trade down for the Kansas City Chiefs?