NFL picks Week 5: Predicting Titans-Chiefs game and everyone else

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

It's that time again for picks and predictions covering the NFL landscape.

The Kansas City Chiefs are still undefeated, already having doubled their win total from last season. Now, they head into a tough game against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday at LP Field, giving our boys perhaps their toughest test to this point.

Tennessee is hurting though, with quarterback Jake Locker on the shelf and Ryan Fitzpatrick replacing him. The Titans are yet to turn the ball over this season, so it will be interesting to see if Fitzpatrick can keep up that number.

Who would have thought the Chiefs would be tied with the Denver Broncos at the quarter-poll of the season? If Kansas City can continue playing defense at the current level of "best in the league", who knows how long it can hang with Peyton Manning and the boys.

Now, onto the Week 5 picks, with all lines provided by Oddsshark.com.

The AP staff's Chiefs-Titans predictions are also included.

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Tennessee Titans

This game is not going to easy for either team. Afterwards, I expect a lot of ice to be passed out to each team in the locker room. Both teams can play major defense and punish the opposing quarterback with a solid pass rush.

The difference might very well come down to Alex Smith. Smith is a game-manager who usually does not turn the ball over. Coming off a two-interception week, I would be surprised if he repeats that issue. On the flip side, Fitzpatrick has always had turnover issues. This will be the difference.

Pick: Chiefs 20, Titans 10

NJ Chiefs Fan: Chiefs 23, Titans 10

Last week it felt like the Chiefs' offense expanded a bit. That continues despite facing a tough foe this week. The Chiefs' D contains Johnson and lets Fitzgerald know they haven't forgiven him for his past success.

KaloPhoenix: Chiefs 20, Titans 10

The Titans are a worthy foe, and it'll be a tough fight this week on the road.  I think the game is tied going into the 4th quarter, 10-10, and the Chiefs put a FG and TD drive together while the defense holds.  KC goes to 5-0, and people will stop talking about how the Chiefs "haven't played anybody".

MNChiefsFan: Chiefs 27, Titans 10

This game would be more of a contest if Jake Locker were healthy.  Ryan Fitz is not a guy who handles pressure well (maybe he's TOO smart and realizes the potential risk of death at the hands of Houston/Hali/Poe?), and that's a recipe for disaster against our defense.  CJ2K relies on holes being created OR good cutback lanes, and our defense hasn't shown a tendency to provide either.  Our offense will continue to improve slowly but steadily, and the re-insertion of Anthony Fasano will finally allow for some effective two-tight end formations that make Alex Smith very happy.  I see 5-0 in the future.

Matt Conner: Chiefs 12, Titans 10

Four Ryan Succop field goals. Yep, I think it's gonna be that kind of a game.

Clay Wendler: Chiefs 17, Ryan Fitzpatrick 6

Chris Thorman: Chiefs 27, Titans 16

Now, back to Matt Verderame for the rest of the picks:

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (-3.5)

This is maybe the best, worst game ever. Whoever wins is 3-2 and actually in the running for a playoff spot. The crowd will be going crazy in Cleveland, helping Brian Hoyer to his third victory. Who can believe it? The Browns will be 3-2 and alone atop the AFC North.

Pick: Cleveland 24, Buffalo 20

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (EVEN)

The Bears are a team nobody can trust. Despite being 3-1, they could easily be 1-3. On the other hand, New Orleans is an offensive juggernaut but not always a great road team. A pretty solid game gets broken down this way: Drew Brees and Sean Payton vs. Jay Cutler and Marc Trestman.

Pick: New Orleans 31, Chicago 24

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals (EVEN)

New England has been getting somewhat lucky throughout four weeks. Cincinnati is desperate for a win after playing like a team allergic to the end zone last week. All this leads up to the Bengals defense rising up and causing a few turnovers to turn the tide.

Pick: Cincinnati 19, New England 17

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-8)

Green Bay is backed into a corner and playing at home. Coming off a bye week and playing a team that refuses to acknowledge the existence of defense, the Packers will light up the scoreboard. Aaron Rodgers will get sacked plenty and Detroit will score enough to cover, but it will not be enough.

Pick: Packers 34, Lions 30

Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis is coming off a blowout win over the hapless Jaguars and now plays perhaps the best team in the NFL. Seattle is a loaded group with tons of playmakers on defense and a punishing ground game. That said, the Seahawks have to come almost across the country for the second straight week. UPSET ALERT.

Pick: Indianapolis 23, Seattle 20

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-2.5)

Both of these teams are trying to avoid a losing streak in a tough AFC matchup. The difference? Miami fans look like this when thinking about Ryan Tannehill. On the other hand, Ravens fans look like this when thinking about the rest of Flacco's deal after his performance this year without Anquan Boldin.

Pick: Miami 21, Baltimore 16

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-1)

This is going to be unbelievable television. Neither team plays any defense and believes in turning the ball over at an epic pace. On top of that, the loser of this bad boy is absolutely cooked. Justin Tuck threatened to punch someone in the mouth this week. If the Giants lose, 70,000 fans are going to line up to be punched in both eyes.

Pick: Giants 30, Eagles 27

Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams (-12.5)

This is how every Jacksonville fan feels on Sunday morning. The Rams are a full blown disaster with Brian Schottenheimer destroying any hope of Sam Bradford ever playing solid football. Still, how could St. Louis possibly lose to the Jaguars? Unthinkable. Right?

Pick: St. Louis 20, Jacksonville 10, Football's dignity, 0

Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Arizona Cardinals

How the hell is Carolina favored on the road in the game? The Panthers do nothing except find ways to lose close games with horrendous coaching. The Cardinals are nothing special, but they are at home and have some players on both sides of the ball. Throw in travel, and give me the Cards.

Pick: Arizona 21, Carolina 20

Denver Broncos (-8.5) at Dallas Cowboys

This is the typical game where Dallas will play like a Super Bowl contender and get every pundit screaming at the tops of their lungs. Tony Romo will throw for 400 yards, Brandon Carr will pick off Peyton Manning twice, and Jason Garrett will outcoach...well, let's not go insane. I'm going to put on my big boy pants and pick the upset.

Pick: Dallas 35, Denver 31

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-6)

Houston always has a way of making everyone jump off the bandwagon as though it is a raging inferno. I think it is mostly because of how bad Gary Kubiak is as a head coach. How is this man employed? Watching the film of Seattle's win over them, the Texans are the most predictable offense going. Good luck against San Fran, Gary.

Pick: San Francisco 27, Houston 14

San Diego Chargers (-4) at Oakland Raiders

Supposedly, the NFL moved this game to 11:30 p.m. ET because of the Oakland A's playoff game. In reality, the league just wants to make the world forget the Raiders exist. Philip Rivers is back in a big way, and while the defense is shoddy it is good enough to top Oakland.

Pick: San Diego 30, Oakland 17

New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons (-10.5)

This is a must-win for the Falcons. If Atlanta loses this game, the fans are going to circle around the Georgia Dome, trap the team inside and cause this ending. The Jets are 2-2 but an awful team, and certainly not a desperate one. Expect the blowout.

Pick: Atlanta 27, New York 7

Last week: 10-5 (9-6 against spread)

Season: 38-24

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