I'll start out by stating I learned the hard way and never bet my home team. It seems I lack the objectivity to give them an evaluation that warrants money to be risked. With all the various obstacles the Chief's have that we are aware of, take hold of your heart because at home anything is possible. By the way the line is +3 for the Chief's at home.
Having said that about home teams, my plays I like this week are NFC teams and division rivals. And while there isn't much data to interpret since this is a new season, some things seem to happen every year that offers an edge. In this first game it's about a new coach, and what's worse a college coach that arrived in Tampa. The Buc's, like the Chief's are at home so anything is possible, but I really like what Carolina has going for them early and think the Buc's will need time to discover what they have and how to use it, so I would take the Panthers -3.
My other pick is another road team, Seattle, against the Cardinals, who are getting 3 points at home. I like this play simply because the Card's O-line sucks and the QB will have to highly skilled to overcome that and as of now I just don't see it from Skelton. On the other side, Seattle has a rookie QB true enough, and the Card's defense is pretty stout, but the O-line in Seattle is much better which gives this new kid a better chance than Skelton has.
One disclaimer is I seldom lay points when I wager, almost always playing the money line. That is like just picking who I think will win the game. Hell, I don't know if this is a kosher post here on AP, so if not, my apologies. Just trying to see who likes what team and why for this upcoming week of NFL Games.