When I first looked at my options for this project, I anticipated working writing the two offensive picks first, the two defensive picks second, and then finishing up with the option of trading down. After a bit more studying, I realized just how much background I needed to complete in relation to the roles as a defensive tackle or a linebacker within our defense before I could even look at draft picks. To complicate things, I was unable to get ahold of a copy of "The War Room", so the more personal information I was hoping to glean about Mr. Pioli just won’t be included in this. So, to wrap this meandering opening of an introduction, what you will get from me here is a best guess scenario based on as much internet information I can gather in a short time.
Without the intimate details I was hoping to find, I find myself forced to look at his history of drafts. Although he has only been a Chief (hehe, how punny, he’s a Chief) for just a few years, he had enough influence while in New England to earn him 13 "Executive of the Year" awards, from 6 different groups, with an additional NFL Players Association "Executive Achievement Award". Throw in ESPN.com’s "Personnel Man of the Decade" and you have a man that knows exactly what he is doing, as some of us are starting to realize. Let’s start off with just how often Scott Pioli has traded down, in any round.
I’m sure many of us can think of the trades for the Chiefs, but I am also including his time with the Patriots. I attempted to think of a chart that would clearly communicate the data of all the trades, but I had a hard enough time with what is on the internet just trying to figure who traded what for who. By my best count, between 2002 and 2011, Scott Pioli traded down a grand total of 9 times. Charts tend to boggle my mind a bit, which is why I try to explain my charts whenever I post them, so that number may be off by one or so. With the Patriots the trades tended to grab a lower pick in the current year, but picked up an extra pick the next year. This is why you hear about Bill Belichick "squirrelling" away draft picks. I really don’t feel comfortable analyzing Pioli’s tendencies with the Chiefs, because he hasn’t traded down enough to do so.
This whole subject is tough. Any chance at trading down is driven entirely by the market, and very little by if Pioli himself actually wants to trade. In fact, one could argue that the Chiefs can get more out of their pick if they represent that they don’t want to trade, especially this year. The best way to guess is to get a feel for who will be available for our pick. Tannehill, Poe, Reiff, Kuechly, Brockers, DeCastro, Kirkpatrick, and Hightower are names that are associated with our general pick area. As most of these guys are considered some of the best at their particular positions, and Tannehill being forced upward due to being a quarterback, trade interest should be high. Key word is "should".
I think that Ryan Tannehill is the lynchpin. If he makes it past Miami, I can see Cleveland trying for their dream draft, and using their second 1st rounder to jump back up to grab him from us. With our supposed "interest" (slight aside, the Chiefs will not draft Ryan Tannehill, I can guarantee you that, the signs are there if you actually look. But more on that later) the Browns will be forced to offer more than they want to, giving us a little bit more ammunition to make our next move. Whatever the outcome of the draft, I will trust the Don, because he has done enough for the Chiefs to show his greatness, and because it honestly matters not what I think.