Many Chiefs’ fans want to wait until next year to take a QB in the first round. Their reasoning is that there will be anywhere from four to six excellent QBs available. I see two problems with this line of reasoning; first, with Cassel and the team he will have around him, the Chiefs should win 9 or 10 games this year (Cassel isn’t as bad as Jamie Dukes thinks; he just isn’t a good QB). Cassel won’t lose games for the Chiefs, but he won’t win games, either. ..but I digress; back to the plan of drafting a QB in ’13, we should be drafting somewhere in the 20’s. Considering that there could be as many as seven teams looking for a QB; Buffalo, Arizona (if Kolb doesn’t get things going), Jacksonville, SF (if Smith is, as some suspect, a one-year wonder), Seattle (if Flynn turns out to be over-rated), Minnesota (if they come to the realization that they reached too far for Ponder), and Miami (if Cleveland jumps up to take Tannehill this year), drafting in the 20’s may well be too low to land one of the top QB’s. The problem with the plan is that trading up usually is rather expensive. Secondly, maybe there won’t be that many excellent QBs next year. One or two of the highly-rated QBs will have off-seasons, and their warts will become visible. "Never put off until tomorrow what you can do today" said that well-known football analyst, Ben Franklin.
This is why I think we need to move on Weeden this year. Because we are drafting relatively high, we could well have several offers to trade down in the first round (we could trade up in the second round; that has the advantage of denying the opposition a chance to counter the move, but we’d be losing draft picks, not gaining draft picks). Whether we trade up or down, I think we need to position ourselves somewhere between #30 and #35. I’m assuming we need to be ahead of Cleveland in the second round. Of course, Cleveland could throw a monkey wrench into the plan if they used their second pick in round 1 (#22) to take Weeden. I just don’t see Pioli taking Weeden that high; it wouldn’t be a "value pick".