Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Full Coverage of 2012 Coke 600

AP Draft Discussion Thread 2/8/12 to 2/15/12

A new discussion thread for this week where we can share our mocks. The chiefs are picking at either 11/12 based on a coin flip and we have the following picks as a template.

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7.

7.

My draft scenario is after the jump!

Star-divide

*** Franchise Carr and trade him to Tampa Bay for their 2nd this season and their 2nd next season.

*** Trade down from the 11 spot with Cincinatti who moves up to select Richardson and we get their pick number 21 and their 1st next season. Trade value of 1250 for us and assuming they finish 17th again a trade value of 1210 for them.

*** We now have 2 firsts and 2 seconds in the 2013 draft which is ammunition in case management feels comfortable going after Barkley or the top QB.

*** Player Rankings are from CBS Sports

And now the 2012 NFL Draft

1 (pick 21) – Mike Adams, OT, Ohio St
An instant starter at RT that also provides LT competition to Albert and pushes him to raise his game even more. Shores up the weakest part of the team and allows this line to function without needing help from a TE on the right all game.

2 (pick 4) – Lamar Miller, RB, Miami
My favorite running back in the draft because of his elite speed. He would excel in a one cut ZBS and he possesses that second gear that is so hard to find. Insurance for JC and a quality rotation guy with him.

2 (pick 12) – Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia
The replacement to Brandon Carr and a very talented man corner. He should be able to step in as a rookie and do a solid job as a number two corner. He won’t be Carr from day one but could be better eventually.

3 (pick 11) – Ladarius Green, TE, LA. – Lafayette
A raw athletic tight end with a high upside. Should be able to learn behind Moeaki and provide additional weapons and insurance at the TE position.

4 (pick 12) – Marvin Jones, WR, Cal
He continues to rise up the boards and i had him as a pick in the 7th when he was ranked there. I still think he is worth this pick where he is now slated. He is quick, tall, fast, and he catches absolutely everything.

5 (pick 11) – Josh Chapman, NT, Alabama
A big strong NT that falls because he is just a nose tackle and has almost no pass rush. He is also undersized for most 3-4 defenses liking but he is available on these rankings so i grab him.

6 (pick 12) – Janzen Jackson, S, McNeese St
A very talented safety that played with EB at Tennessee but left the team for personal reasons then was kicked off for possibly substance abuse issues. 1st or 2nd round talent that falls for substance abuse issues. This years Houston.

7 (pick 11) – Joe Looney, G, Wake Forest
Looney is compared to Asamoah in the analysis and he could be used as guard depth with starter possibility if Lilja struggles and Looney impresses.

7 (pick 31) – Brandon Hardin, FS, Oregon St.
A solid player that missed his senior season with a shoulder injury. He has the size. 6’ 2" 220 lbs, and speed, 4.5 40 to be able to come in and challenge those big tight ends in the league if he develops right. A high upside low risk pick.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

Comment 329 comments  |  8 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Chase Minnifield

I like this pick a lot better if we Tag and keep Carr for one more year. Otherwise, you are (admittedly) downgrading the position for the upcoming year. Our pass defense was very solid this year, and having our talented CBs is one of the things that really keeps us competitive.

If we’re getting an immediate starter at DB out of this draft, I think it has to be Dre Kirkpatrick or Maurice Claiborne, which would mean either hoping one of them falls to us at 11/12, or trading up…neither of which appeals to me.

"You can't be fat and fast too; so lift, run, diet, and work." ~ Hank Stram

by citadelchief on Feb 8, 2012 12:49 PM CST reply actions  

To me starting a lesser number 2 corner and stocking up picks to go after Barkley is better

than pretending like we can win a super bowl with Cassel. Minnifield is as talented as any corner and i think he has a very high ceiling. He wouldn’t be as polished as Carr is but with Berry coming back and the growth of Houston and other key defensive players we could drop a little in talent and still be a top 10-15 defense.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 2:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Except we don't play a #1/#2 system.

We play LCB/RCB with both of our corners being expected to cover the opponent’s #1 WR at any given time. Also, Berry being back wouldn’t have much bearing on Minnifield because they’d be opposite sides of the field. And, even if Houston doubles his sack total, that still only gives us a mediocre pass rush at the cost of our coverage ability.

And if you’re doing all of this to trade up for a player in the 2013 draft…well, I don’t agree with that reasoning at all. Next season is a complete unknown. Just a quick glance at which QBs will be seniors next year shows potentially 5 guys being drafted in the 1st…or maybe none of them (including Barkley) would be worth a 1st rd pick.

"You can't be fat and fast too; so lift, run, diet, and work." ~ Hank Stram

by citadelchief on Feb 8, 2012 4:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Barkley is worth the number two pick in this draft and worthy of a top 5 next year

Even if he goes out and gets injured for the season on the first play. The kid has real talent and real ability. Berry being back certainly does help because of what we do with him. We blitz him, we use him in coverage, we eliminate tight ends and others with him, but importantly he is something the offense has to account for. You are acting like Minnifield will be horrible compared to Carr and i disagree. Up until this season everyone barely though Carr was worth a 1st round restricted ranking now he is worth more than two high first round picks? Because he managed to catch 4 interception compared to 0 the year before. I love Carr and all but he isn’t worth passing on two borderline first round picks.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 10:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Just because you and I like him, doesn't mean everybody likes him :)

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 2:03 PM CST up reply actions  

I like your picks,

but I do not like the idea of trading Carr. He is an important piece of our defensive puzzle.

At least I can still hate the stinking Raiders!

by Chiefs1 on Feb 8, 2012 1:01 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

He is a number 2 corner.

No matter anyway you slice it that’s what his value is to us. Flowers is the shutdown corner and Carr will want to prove he can be the number one guy. Also we get 2 early second round picks for him which is great value. We essentially swap Carr for Minnifield and a second round pick to use for a QBOTF.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 2:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Carr is in Top Ten in more than a couple of stat categories and I see him as being VERY valuable to the Chiefs

I think trading him would be foolish, at the least …

I’m not at all sold on Adams, and I hate the idea of taking a RB that high when we have so many other pressing needs … then too, I hate the idea of trading down, certainly if DeCastro is still on the board

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 3:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Well then we can keep Carr get Decastro and never win a super bowl because we are still stuck with Cassel.

At some point a franchise has to take a chance on a franchise QB. Trading Carr or Trading Bowe are the only ways i see us getting enough to legitimately go after a franchise QB without giving up 5 picks. And i don’t see the point of trading our franchise WR with only a rookie behind him and Steve Breaston to draft a franchise QB and not have a safety net for him. Meanwhile we have two very talented starters at corner and Travis Daniels has looked very good in relief when one is injured and we draft a young rookie to replace him that has the talent to be as good if not better. You aren’t sold on Adams even though he dominated every competitor at the Senior Bowl and he is a mauler of a run blocker? The dude will at worst be a pro bowl RT and at best a pro bowl LT.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 10:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Adams is seriously inconsistent

He could easily end up washing out as much as he could succeed, and I wouldnt doubt it.

This is coming from an Adams fan.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 8, 2012 11:21 PM CST up reply actions  

He was seriously inconsistent in college but i'm sure getting drafted as the 4th offensive tackle

Or even just being ranked that low has a chip on his shoulder. He was amazing at the senior bowl and really showed his talent.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 12:09 AM CST up reply actions  

Well of course he shows up for the Senior Bowl

But thats exactly what I mean, he shows inconsistency in practices then dominates on the field the next day. Consistency has been an issue since HS if you listen to OSU fans.

Just saying gotta be cautious, theres a reason some arent sold on him and their are pretty valid reasons.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 12:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Practice? Your talking about Practice? Sorry had to, i always think of that haha.

And i understand he has a warning sign here or there but without it he would be a top 5 pick. The guy is worth the risk and the position is a huge need on our team.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 12:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Don't know about a top 5 pick

Speed rush gives him issues, and I dont think you can be a Top 5 tackle if you can’t handle speed rushers, which you would face in abundance at LT.

That’s not even a consistency issue, that’s just slow feet.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 10, 2012 4:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Most scouting reports are the exact opposite including MTD's report they just put up

They say he has quick feet and a very good technique including his knee bend and footwork but that pure bull rushers can muscle him around a bit.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 11, 2012 10:05 AM CST up reply actions  

And most franchises take that risk before they have their ducks in a row.

We’ll just have to see how long Stafford lasts in the NFL. I personally think those first couple seasons took the last couple seasons off the back end of his injury-marred career.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 8, 2012 11:56 PM CST up reply actions  

What ducks are we missing?

We need a starting RT and a starting QB. After that i don’t see many holes. We could use depth everywhere but a our line looked much better when we had a QB getting the ball out quick those last few weeks. Our defense looked fresher when we move the chains and not depend solely on them. I don’t think there’s any chance we move up this year for a QB but next season i would hope we would make a play for one of the top QB’s.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 12:10 AM CST up reply actions  

Carr is a better corner then Flowers

And is a number one corner for multiple teams in the league.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 8, 2012 11:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I wouldn't say better. I would still rank them pretty even.

Flowers to me makes more plays that just make me say wow. While Carr is consistent and does his job. I would love to keep both and still be able to not sacrifice 2 years of a draft for a QB but unless we trade Bowe I don’t see that happening.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 12:16 AM CST up reply actions  

Flowers is limited in his playmaking ability due to his height

And will get beat horribly by speed, and no name wide receivers

Plus I believe Carr’s ceiling is higher, and hes been ranked top 10 on footballoutsiders for two years now which Flowers has missed.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 12:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Yup.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 12:49 AM CST up reply actions  

I would agree that Carr has a higher ceiling because of his height.

But right now i would think they are pretty equal. ProFootballFocus had Flowers as their defensive player of the year for much of last season until he got hurt. He is a playmaker and i love his attitude and the way he attacks ball carriers in the run game. Most of the times this year when he got “burnt” it seemed he was supposed to have over the top safety coverage and didn’t because Saby or McGraw were too slow to get there. It’s a pointless argument, both are great players but how many teams hold onto two great corners and actually dish out the money for them?

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 1:31 AM CST up reply actions  

I would agree that Carr has a higher ceiling because of his height.

Oh you…

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 5:29 AM CST up reply actions  

Why cant we be the first to hold onto two?

Its a passing league, and we could usr all the help we can get with Cassel at the helm(for now)

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 10:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Yup

No point in having pass rushers if the receivers are wide open right at the snap

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 10:37 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

The main point of my trades were to setup getting a franchise QB.

While also not taking a huge drop in talent. The difference to me between Carr starting and Daniels / Minnifield competing to start isn’t going to be that huge. And if it helps us land a franchise QB I am all for it.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:05 PM CST up reply actions  

It will be a bigger gap than you think

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:40 PM CST up reply actions  

This

I don’t think anyone can argue that point.

Time to take back the AFC West
Go Chiefs

by King of the Cassel on Feb 10, 2012 1:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Really like his agility in off-man coverage, but I'm not sure he'd hold up as the starter,

or whether he could play press outside, when circumstances so demand.

I like Jalil Brown in press, but not as much in off-man.

I like Carr in every way. Putting him out there signals absolutely nothing to the offense.

I want Daniels back, for sure, but not as the (a) main guy outside. Same with Brown. Foolish to part with Carr.

If a tasty trade came up for Bowe, I’d be more open to the idea, but it’d chap my hide if they turned right around and spent big (in $$$ or draft picks) on QB, right after trading away their #1 WR.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 7:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Don't think that's not in the back of my mind, when I think about Bowe.

It kinda seems, though, like Jackson may’ve hit the wall, or something. I’d be very interested in what the doctors thought, after giving him a physical. For years, there, it was like D-Bowe was a poor man’s Vincent Jackson, and I’d’ve JUMPED at the chance for the straight-across upgrade. I still have a little hangover from that, so VJ is definitely someone on the radar!

Give Jackson a tall, strong-armed QB and it’s area throws all day long. Forget about routes. Just throw the ball on the side away from the DB, and let Jackson go get it. Bring in Donovan McNabb, sign VJ, KEEP Bowe, and put your first 3 or 4 picks into offensive line. If you lose Carr because you overspent, draft Minnifield at the top of the 2nd.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 8:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Pony up a nice chunk of change to send McNabb and his WRs to the mountains

for the early summer. Feed ‘em lots of red meat and make ’em run in thin air for a month or so. Hold training camp at 5,000 feet or above. Then you ’n’ your red blood cells will roll over all comers in the 4th quarter, and you’ll throw it down the field while DBs drop like flies, with leg cramps and pulled hammies, because you used a little Copper and Urban jackrabbiting mixed in…And you use McClain as the feature back, behind the one good thing your 3 starting rookie OLs can do: Smash Mouth.

Ahhh. Smash Mouth run. Play-action fake. Mismatches all around. Offseason is the only time I have any fun, anymore.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 8:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Lol!

What gets me is he seems to believe that a WR is about as important as a QB.

it’d chap my hide if they turned right around and spent big (in $$$ or draft picks) on QB, right after trading away their #1 WR

I think Mills pines for the old days when the quarterback was just another back :)

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 9:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Nah. I pine for the old days for the body I had and the things I could do.

But the rest of it is the accumulation of years of watching the game and developing my own sense of what works and why. Don’t mean I’m right, but it don’t mean I’m wrong.

A lot of the time it seems to me like folks see different causes than I do. Not sayin’ I’m right, but it does ‘mind me of trying to explain to a student that he got the right answer by accident, and offsetting errors. To him, it makes perfect sense, and he’s pissed because I’m pickin’ on him, when he got the wrong answer, like an 18th Century physician opening up his patients’ veins in the belief that it does good, as proven by the 51% of his patients who survive the ordeal.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 11:39 PM CST up reply actions  

I mean...

when he got the wrong answer

when he got the RIGHT answer, but for the wrong reasons. And the faulty reasoning has him believing things that just ain’t so, about how the universe works.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 11:43 PM CST up reply actions  

In reality, im on the Decastro train

In dreamland, I’m on the trade up for Luck/RG3 train.

Decastro is about the only player I like in the 11-12 range.

We absolutely need a QB as the last vital piece to this team puzzle, imo.

I'm so overrated, I'm underrated.

by RememberDelaney37 on Feb 8, 2012 2:07 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

I would be in board with trading Carr

I’m fine with Travis Daniels taking his place for the next couple-few seasons, especially if Carr’s contract demands are too much.

But if we can re-sign him at a reasonable price, would rather do that

I'm so overrated, I'm underrated.

by RememberDelaney37 on Feb 8, 2012 2:13 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

off of CBS rankings

1. Trade Up – RGIII – surrender 1st and 2nd this year and 1st next year.

2. Traded

3. Antonio Allen SS – Backup for Berry and Nickel/Dime packages

4. Keeston Randall DE – Grooming depth

5. Lucas Nix OG – Grooming Depth

6. Derek Wolfe DE – Grooming Depth

7. Andrew Datko OT – I love rankings like this

7. Levy Adcock OT – and this

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 8, 2012 2:36 PM CST reply actions  

I dislike the idea of trading Carr, and your reasoning for it

Carr is not really a pure #2 CB in the NFL, he doesn’t always match up with the #2 guy as Flowers does not follow the #1.

Browns take Blackmon at #4, trade up from #22 to 11/12 with us to get Richardson, giving up #22 and first next year.
Bowe is Tagged, traded for Rams 2nd round this year, 2nd or 1st next year depending on performance

#22-Adams-RT
#34-Miller-RB
#43-Minnifield-FS/CB
#76-Streeter-WR
#107-Brian Linthicum-TE
#140-Jeff Fuller-WR
#171-Josh Chapman-NT
#204-Andrew Datko-OT
#223-Josh Chichester-TE

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 3:13 PM CST reply actions  

Still get 2 firsts, and 2 seconds, but possibly get 3 firsts next year

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 3:14 PM CST up reply actions  

what is this ,,, Madden? all your silly trade scenarios ... you, Hake ... I don't get it

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 3:26 PM CST up reply actions  

It's just that easy.

Tag and Trade, words to live by.

Fire Scott Pioli + hire Captain Hindsight = Superbowl.

by JayhawksNChiefs on Feb 8, 2012 4:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Eh similar trade to his, while keeping Carr haha

Just because DeCastro is already gone, no need to be meannnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 4:44 PM CST up reply actions  

sure he's gone if you trade DOWN! like duh ...

pass up DeCastro? nonsense, hogwash and balderdash!

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 4:57 PM CST up reply actions  

BLASPHEMY!!!

The Church of Latter Round Linemen has ways of dealing with sinners!

"You can't be fat and fast too; so lift, run, diet, and work." ~ Hank Stram

by citadelchief on Feb 8, 2012 4:59 PM CST up reply actions  

So how do u deal with the

Church of RGIII around here?

DeCastro is a great choice at 11/12!

When you fail to prepare, you prepare to fail.

Jamaal above all. #25 ftw.

CHIEFS WILL!

by NJChieffan16 on Feb 8, 2012 6:43 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

So how do u deal with the Church of RGIII around here?

Burn ’em at the stake? Worked for ’em up in Massachusetts.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 12:42 AM CST up reply actions  

Your man crushes don't end up on the Chiefs

Spoon
Sherrod…

Just sayin

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 5:33 PM CST up reply actions  

maybe I should start hoping for Palko to be the starter in 2012 ...

… at least then we’d be safe from THAT possibility

maybe

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 8:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Our luck.. that is when Pioli would listen to you

I mean.. someone has GOT to start listening to you at some point.. right?

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 9:30 PM CST up reply actions  

*crickets*

KC Draft prediction: No OT taken in first round

by trentchiefsfan on Feb 10, 2012 6:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Because there isn't anyone at 11 or 12 that justifies the pick

Lilja was on PFF all pro team last season but suddenly he is so bad at guard that we have to replace him with a 1st round pick? I don’t get it. It was obvious that Weigman is done and I believe that is why you saw Lilja struggle. I also buy into the belief that you don’t want to completely switch an offensive line from year to year. We already have a new center next season and a new RT why add another new piece? Draft a developmental guard and move on.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 11:01 PM CST up reply actions  

A bit too sanguine about OL, imo.

But yeah. Let’s chase QBs and RBs like all the other bottom-dwellers. We’ll suck, but we’ll comfort ourselves with having somebody famous at QB and RB.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 12:44 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah you're right lets continue to pump into a team marginal upgrades at low value positions

And keep Cassel right back there making no plays. We must get a QB this year or next year. It isn’t an option. And what RB am i chasing? Lamar Miller is top 15 talent and if it weren’t for the devaluation of the RB position and Trent Richardson being in the draft he would be there. But you’re right why take BPA at positions of need. 7 rounds of nothing but line picks every year. We don’t need playmakers after all the face of this league is Joe Thomas and Jake Long not Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Tim Tebow, Cam Newton.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 1:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Heh. It's a team game, and my theories differ from yours on how to go about the team-build.

That’s fine. Apparently you’re happy with our O-Line and trading all our picks away, and putting our investment behind that OL. I’m not.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 6:02 PM CST up reply actions  

But then I see many good QBs being MADE, while some think they're BORN.

Always great to have that great QB, and I’m all in favor. But I see a lot of QBs bust, and not because it’s their fault, but because they’re in a bad situation. Cassel’s situation is better than it was at the start, and remains on the up-tick. That’s good. We’re closer to getting stupid @ QB with my OK, but I don’t think we’re there, yet. And I’d like to leave the door open to team-build revealing the good one(s) that do(es) come into the house.

If I didn’t see so many QBs over- and under-valued, because of failure to consider the teams around them, I’d be on your side. This doesn’t mean I’m a big Cassel fan and want ‘em to stand still, but it DOES mean I think it’s dumb to trade multiple picks at this stage, and I have a strong belief that a good QB will be revealed from the chaos, if they keep pressing forward on the overall team-build (of which QB is a part, but not the only part).

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 6:06 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I disagree

Vehemently,

It is long past time to get a quality QB, another year is a wasted year of all our lifes

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 9, 2012 7:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Depends on how ya wanna skin the cat.

To my eye, the Chiefs have QB and OL as limiting factors. An OL isn’t gonna get hurt, because he has a poor QB. If anything, he’ll get more rest. But before i go rich at QB, I want the pieces in place, and I’m not NEARLY as sanguine about just taking for granted that

  1. that 2nd-round OT is gonna be an instant starter
  2. that QB I sold the farm to get is gonna propser if my OL isn’t set.
    I’m not happy with the #16 QB in the league, but I’m not excited about reaching for the brass ring at QB, when my OL is also #16. And with all the attention other teams pay the QB and other positions, I bet you that an early concentration on OL beyond what most teams do is gonna put my OL into the top 5 or 10, without my having to be all that clever.

Part of why finding the perfect QB is so hard is because most look for him, before they’ve built him a good situation. I’m not entirely pleased with the situation. The Chiefs beat the Packers, because the Packers OL couldn’t block, even with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. The Chiefs LOST to the Raiders, because the KC offense STILL couldn’t score. The Chiefs beat the Broncos because THEY can’t score worth a damn.

I really want to see something more from the trenches, before I spend big on QB. I think we watch Cassel and think how much a better QB COULD have done with the same opportunities, but what we don’t think about is what’s going to happen when we put a very very good rookie into some of the bad situations Cassel/Orton/whomever has been put in by the team.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 4:05 PM CST up reply actions  

OL does get hurt by poor QB play

If he’s holding onto the ball for 10 seconds every time it makes them look worse then they actually are, but a QB with a quick, accurate release(Like most top QBs in the game) will make the OL look better then it is.

I don’t think its coincidental that once Cassel/Palko were out our OL looked a lot better with Orton throwing the ball.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 10, 2012 4:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, but the O-Lineman doesn't end up on the injury report, because the QB sucks.

It’s a piece you can install, regardless of supporting cast, and you’re not taking any additional injury risk; moreover, you’re cutting DOWN the injury risk and raising UP the probability of successfully developing your prospects at other positions. I’ve just seen it happen too many times, that a QB everybody painted as a bust suddenly turned his career around by taking the field as a backup after an injury on the GOOD team he wound up on after being rejected by his original BAD team. Everyone swoons at how he seems to have grown a brain, or worked really hard on his fundamentals, when all that changed was he got 8 more plays per game with 1 more second to stand and survey the field.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 4:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Who are these resurrected QBs you're talking about?

I’m guessing Brees might be one, but he started doing well in SD right after they drafted Rivers.

I think you might be stuck so much on the O line making the QB look good, that you’re not fully considering how much better a QB makes the O line. One sack in three games….

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Let's see...

Plunkett, Schroeder, Warner, Collins (Yes, Kerry Collins) come to mind, although I must admit experiencing a twinge when I wrote the previous com, that somebody would have the sheer audacity to call me on it.

I see Jason Campbell as being in that underrated class. Imagine how folks would view Bradford, if the OL had done to him the year before last what they did last year. TOTAL BUST. I also feel that way, at least to some degree, about Tavarus (?sp?) Jackson, Donovan McNabb, Alex Smith, too. Mark Sanchez is better than he looked in ’11.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 5:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Plunkett is somebody only us old guys remember.

Different game back then. Might as well cite Lenny.

Schroeder? When was he more than a hair above average?

Warner is a good point, but my counter-point would be that he was resurrected more by his receivers than by the great (?) O line in Cardinal land.

Collins was a #5 overall pick.

I think Campbell might well do good things. He was starting to do well last year. He was also a first round pick….

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:46 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm still miffed that Pioli didn't pick up Collins instead of Palko last year.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Slipped under my radar, although Collins has looked as good as what

he’s had to work with, to my eye.

I seem to recall Schroeder making noise, kind of the way that other big-nosed QB, Plunkett, late in his career, when he finally landed in a good situation.

Anyhoo, to my mind, there are more good QBs in the league than there are teams with the sense to build a team, before SACRIFICING the team on the altar of QB-Driven-ness, and then wonder why their star struggles.

It’s like ooooh-ing and ahhhh-ing about a guy with a Henry repeater in a short-range gunfight with a guy with a Spencer .56. Boy that guy with the lever action sure can load his rifle a lot quicker ’n the buffalo hunter.

It breaks my heart to see a gold-plated QB in a bad situation, taking flak, with everybody microanalyzing his footwork on NFLN, when the poor guy’s being swarmed by defenders and has no running game.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:11 PM CST up reply actions  

That's solid theory, but you can't deny the results.

There have been decidedly more excellent QBs get to the promised land with bad O lines than the other way around. Talking about the most recent decades, not the seventies :)

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:17 PM CST up reply actions  

That's so hard to substantiate, though.

Because when the line play is good, more QBs get the reputation for being excellent, so all those perfectly-fine QBs are judged as world-beaters. Tom Brady needs certain things to be successful. That’s why Brian Waters showed up at RG last year. On many other teams, I think Brady would’ve been discarded.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Just cause we got our QBOTF

doesn’t mean he plays this year :)

We got Cassel let him play in 2012 and we got 2013 ready to go. Waiting means 2012 is wasted, and 2013 is grooming (thus wasted)

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 10, 2012 6:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Or we find a RT and OG with 2-5 round picks,

and sign Orton, and hope Cassel has a come-back, and go quite a ways in 2012 with our QBotF on the bench. But then….naaaaah, whoever heard of waiting until the 2-5 rounds to pick a RT or guard?

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:48 PM CST up reply actions  

You sound like a congressman saying we're just gonna spend the money this once.

Because it’s an emergency. But never again. Then of course, the expenditure becomes anothehr in a long line of sacred cows.

Same with that QB you promise won’t be needed right away. “Oh, we can be patient with that 1st-round pick.” My ass. You ‘n’ everybody else will be making posts like

WHEN ARE WE GONNA SEE THIS KID PLAY?!!!? IT’S OBVIOUS THAT CASSEL AIN’T CUTTIN’ IT

Not that it’ll happen right away. It’ll probably take ’til the 2nd series on offense in Game 1.

I’m sayin’ this team needs to get a few things right before sellin’ the farm for the guy. Not against picking QB. Just against bending everything outta shape for a kid who hasn’t taken an NFL snap, while there’re still things to be addressed.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 7:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Ironic,

since you yourself are saying “just a couple more guys on the O line and we can move on….I promise!” Heh heh

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 8:44 PM CST up reply actions  

I think it's safe to say KC has done far less than "go all out" for OL.

And I really wanted to see that, already, but haven’t. If I had, I’d be “all in” with the “We Need a Franchise QB, Yesterday.”

They’re closer, now, than they were when Pioli got here, but not as close as I wish they were. Like Loco said. Spend the McCluster, Arenas and Magee picks (or 2 of ‘em) on OL, and I’d be all over this QB thing, but I can’t be certain we wouldn’t be pretty happy with Cassel, for all the warts he’s shown.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 11:46 PM CST up reply actions  

McCluster pick...

I’m gonna remember how we got him for a long time. People complain about Pioli’s secrecy, but I remember Sproles hanging out there without an RFA tender, and every indication that AJent Smith was NOT going to use a tender on him, and then news coming out that KC was talking to Sproles, and about two days later he was tendered. If we had gotten Sproles, we wouldn’t have needed McCluster, and we could have picked….Gronk, or LaMarr Houston, or Zane Beadles….oof. That’s one time a litte MORE secrecy could have really helped us out.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

That's what gets me about all this

fans-deserve-to-know crap. Just keep your britches on, you’ll know what’s going on when it hits the field and kicks the other team’s collective ass.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Brady...

It’s been said a few times lately, mostly by me – Cassel took forty-seven sacks in 2008 with the exact same starting five that gave up 21 and 16 with Brady in 2007 and 2009. That’s as good of a lab as you’re going to get in the NFL.

Rodger’s line sucks. Has since he started. It’s only now starting to get better with recent draft picks, and most of them were injured last year.

I don’t think you can say Eli’s line is the greatest, either. We got Lilja because Polian was unhappy with Peyton’s line, right after they went to a Superbowl. So, there’s four examples for my point…..

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:45 PM CST up reply actions  

And Cassel also started 15 games behind the line that got Brady

hurt in the first game of the season against the worst pass-rushing team in the league. OL-vs-DL was why the Giants beat the Patriots in the SB, TWICE.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 7:45 PM CST up reply actions  

THEY WERE THE SAME FIVE STARTERS, MILLS!

The same five guys, all three years! They did NOT magically get three times worse because it happened to be an even-numbered year! I absolutely know that you see that, you’re too literal not to.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 8:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Sack numbers don't tell the whole tale.

You see the O-Line as a secondary concern, while I saw it as New England’s limiting factor. They STILL might’ve won SB XLVI with Gronk healthy, but it’s not as if they didn’t spend their most recent 1st-round pick on an OT, which has been a sore spot of theirs, especially on the right side, for some time, certainly during that wondrous ‘07-’11 stretch.

Anyhoo, I hope you’re not upset. I think you’re setting me up as a straw man, here, to some degree. You don’t like my opinion, that’s fine, but shouting won’t sway me or embarrass me. :o)

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 12:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Sorry, you're right.

I’ve had this same argument with so many people the past few weeks, and it’s been repeated so much, everybody is turning into the same commentor in my mind… might be time to hibernate until some new ideas percolate.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Oh, it was prob'ly I who most often refused to bow to your logic.

But i didn’t even fact-check if they brought in somebody new, or not, in that stretch. I just saw the right side gettin’ blown up on pass plays, and not making much hay on running plays, and NWE powering-up with TE, extra OT, etc., to address the problem.

I think Welker and the two TEs are gettin’ famous because Brady’s not getting time to find his wideouts down the field. That, and the fact that they’re pretty good, but maybe most of all because they’re the guys that NWE schemes to get off the line without any jam. Most of those “great” passes are to the guy who gets to run his route unopposed and is exactly where Brady expects.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 7:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, we got Maneri.

This kinda makes me wonder if maybe we WILL go for a TE really early, one who can block, like Allen, and pick a RT a little later. That might be the way Pioli doubles down on RT this year. I don’t really like the TE class this year, though.

Allen sounds like a Pioli guy to the core, except in the wrong conferenc:

Intangibles – Appears to be a very hard working prospect who takes football extremely seriously and wants to be great. Has been very durable. Played a major role in a sophisticated college offense that used NFL style plays often. Enters the Draft as a redshirt junior and appears to have made the right decision.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Don't Like the TE Class?

Really? I think this year is a pretty strong crop of TE’s. Allen is a great all round TE, like what the Chiefs want. Charles is another very good looking all around prospect. Add in Fleener as a pure receiving threat and Green’s pure potential and I think it’s a pretty strong class. Much better than last year.

by Everest on Feb 13, 2012 10:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe my standards are too high.

I’m still thinking about that great 2010 TE class. Plus, I’m a Chiefs fan, I’m used to Tony-level TE play :)

Allen looks good, but he doesn’t look like a Gronk type world beater.

Charles seems pretty small for what I hope we get, a blocker and a tree, like Pope but more athletic. We’ve already got a Dallas Clark type who can run the seam.

I’m very cautious about all those Stanford offense guys, it’s hard to know who was riding whose coat tails. I don’t want another Ryan Sims.

I like Green as a developmental guy. I bet he shoots up after the combine.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Might some of that may be hindsight though?

2010 was a great year for TE’s but at the time I don’t recall expecting it to be anywhere near as good of a crop of prospects as it turned out to be. Remember that Gronk and Moeaki had major injury concerns. There wasn’t even a first rounder spent of TE that year.

by Everest on Feb 13, 2012 11:06 PM CST up reply actions  

There probably won't be a first round TE this year, either.

Unless Allen performs really well at the combine. It’s not usually a first round position.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 11:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Forgot About Gresham

Damn that was a great class. Still though Pettigrew went in the first the year before. I just dont think at the time anyone thought the 2010 was as good as it turned out to be.

by Everest on Feb 13, 2012 11:18 PM CST up reply actions  

I think if they have to respect your power game,

your TE needs good hands more than speed. Exceptional 40 times aren’t to be sneezed at, but to me it’s a power-versus-speed thing, and the power gives you matchups with thumper linebackers the D is obliged to put on the field.

Thumper LBs who are biting HARD on the play fake, opening up windows between them and the deep help. Thumper LBs who won’t be so good in coverage, giving your TE an edge that maybe Hernandez doesn’t get, because he’s not a big factor in the run game, except as a runner.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 10:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Along with defenses being able to key off on shaky QBs

Stacking the box against the run, bringing the heat when the QB has to pass

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes. And that's one of the strengths to the arguments against my exalted views.

That was very much the case for Cassel in ‘09, I think. Since then, what’s been most disappointing from him is his apparent inability to slide around and make a good throw against the 3- and 4-man pass rush, because most of his KC training has been GET RID OF IT against the blitz.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 5:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Plus they used a lot of that bubble screen stuff, which defenses are totally ready for.

Anything that doesn’t require the QB to make any decisions is what they seemed to mostly do.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 5:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Cassel can't go deep or get rid of it fast enough

Defenses usually do not have to keep an extra guy over the top, he can be in the box stopping the running game. Which forces the ball in Cassel’s hand.. and well we have seen that. No Oline is going to give a clean pocket every snap for 5 seconds, no team is ever done.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Actually, if you blitz him, he can often find an open guy in a dialed-up offense.

It’s those ambiguous situations, when he needs to bide his time and do more than just throw it quick, where he looks the worst, to me. That’s what Weis did with him in 2010, and something he still hasn’t grown out of. Passing by the numbers, rather than reading the coverage and having chemistry with receivers who ALso read the coverage, and can do more than just the programmatic timing route.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:15 PM CST up reply actions  

He's the anti-Ben.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:17 PM CST up reply actions  

How do they expect him to get better at decision making if they don't let him do any?

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:51 PM CST up reply actions  

That's kinda been why I hesitated so long to get down on Cassel.

But rumblings are that it’s because that’s all the coaching trusts him to do.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I've been defending him right up until this off season.

But one sack in three games with Orton….and I’ve always thought Orton throws a good ball….and then what McClain said about the difference between them….and Orton’s not even a top-tier QB in this league.

I’d love to get McClain wrapped around a beer or two and hear his thoughts on Cassel vs Flacco.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes. Well the GB defense was one of the easier ones to parse, last year.

What put KC over the top against THEM wasn’t their relatively low score (for a GB-defended offense), but the fact that KC simply owned their offense up front, thanks for injuries and a couple special players that matched up extremely well, and Rodgers had no time.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:28 PM CST up reply actions  

But yeah. McClain's comments were revealing.

Just sounded like Orton was acting like a good QB ought to act and that Cassel never did any of that taking-aside someone to tell ’em exactly how they were gonna burn the opposing defense.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:29 PM CST up reply actions  

The scary continuation of that

is that maybe Cassel doesn’t KNOW how they were gonna burn the opposing defense. Either that, or he’s gotten trained to wait for the OC to tell him. Hopefully the latter.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:50 PM CST up reply actions  

It's hard to say. But it's telling to ME that PITTSBURGH WANTS HALEY!

The thing that’s impressed me about Pittsburgh is that whatEVER they have, they make the most of it. That they WANT Haley says they saw the offensive woes as something beyond Haley’s control, and that Haley did what he could with what he had, in particular, at QB. That hiring casts a different light on the rumors surrounding Haley’s diffiiculties with the Chiefs.

Of course, for all I know, Haley’s firing is more about something offensive Haley said to somebody who couldn’t roll with it.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 7:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, the feeling is that Pitt wants to get back to running the ball,

and Haley’s prime runner was injured this year. Might just be as straight forward as that.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 8:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Charles was productive, but unable to overcome that

OL weakness in the playoffs. Sorta reminds me of Barry Sanders. And I know folks think it was just because Mitchell sucked, but I know that the Chiefs, among others, owned that OL.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 12:23 AM CST up reply actions  

I would sight Big Ben.

The Steelers went to the Super Bowl in Big Ben’s rookie year…not because BB put the team on his shoulders, but becuase the team (RB, O-Line, Defense) put BB on THEIR shoulders.

That line started to deteriorate recently and BB get hurt…how did that work out for them.

I want KC to build a TEAM. We are so much close now then in 09 when Pioli took over. If Pioli thinks we are ready to move up in the draft a get our QBOTF so be it. However, if Pioli spends this off-season building up the TEAM (as opposed to trading multiple players / picks) I am NOT going to be calling for his head (and neither should any other Chiefs “Fan” IMO).

by DivineGrace on Feb 11, 2012 11:46 PM CST up reply actions  

I think PIT won a SB with the worst OL that ever won a SB.

But it took heroic measures by an exceptional QB, who could make all the throws, and they kept at least one deep threat healthy all year. It also took an OC who understood what he had and played it accordingly. Watching Haley in PIT will be fascinating. Personally, I think the tradition of professionalism will be right up his alley, so his expectations will be in line with what his players try to give him. But I still wonder how he’ll call things, with that particular talent cross-section.

Even in his improbable rookie appearance, you could argue that, although it looked ugly, he still made key plays through the air, which allowed them to win it all.

I think that OL deterioration started quite a ways back, certainly they were wracked by injuries in 2010, and it’s just his toughness that’s kept him and them going. BB has a great knack for taking what his OL can give him. For some reason, I’m thinking the ankle was ALSO a Pollard hit. Heh. Somebody gets hurt, ‘n’ I assume it was Pollard on the tackle. Seemed like in 2011, they were making some progress in the run game.

PIT sure is a QB-centric team. Not the same at all without BB and not the same at all with a hobbled BB.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 12:41 AM CST up reply actions  

With last year's Gilbert pick, plus one more pick this year,

I tend to think they’ll feel pretty good, with a healthy BB returning.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 12:43 AM CST up reply actions  

I disagree.

Big Ben missed 4 games and the Steelers won 3 of the games….they can win 3 out of 4 WITHOUT their ‘star’ QB because they are more of a complete TEAM.

THAT is what I want the Chiefs to become….a TEAM. You don’t build a team by trading YEARS worth of top draft picks for ONE player (even a ‘franchise’ QB).

by DivineGrace on Feb 12, 2012 7:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Points well-taken.

But they still felt they were better with a hobbled BB than with any of his backups.

Week 14: BB injured. They beat the Browns with a whopping 14 points.
Week 15: Batch starts against SFO. PIT loses.
Week 16: Pit beats the Rams.
Week 17: Pit beats the Browns, again.

I see your point, but those really weren’t quality wins and the 20-3 loss to SFO was pretty decisive.

I agree with wanting a better TEAM, so they CAN win with their #2, for instance, Mike Livingston. But I still think PIT was and is very QB-dependent. Better O-Line would make them less so.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 7:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Ben started against SF.

Batch should have started, but it was Ben limping around out there the whole game. They lost because he couldn’t get out of the Smith boys’ way.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Hey, I was just looking for the 3-out-of-4 you were talking about, and couldn't find it.

I think you were likely remember the 3-out-of-4 during BB’s suspension season.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 7:12 PM CST up reply actions  

I am not fine with our offensive line and i say so in my draft.

I select a starting RT to replace Richardon. Albert is great, Asamoah has loads of talent, Hudson looked good at LG and the Chiefs believe in him at center. I have us drafting a developmental guard behind Lilja and guards are much easier to find than franchise qb’s. I hold onto our number 1 receiver, Baldwin develops, I draft a backup / depth tight end and a running mate for Charles. I address building up the offense while still stocking up on picks but in order to do that you have to give up something. This is a QB driven league and the two worst pass defenses in NFL history were in the playoffs this year because of a franchise QB. Eli Manning won it all and he was a number one overall pick. Matt Stafford also in the playoffs. Matt Ryan in the playoffs. Big Ben is a first round pick, Tim Tebow (love him or hate him) is a first round pick, Drew Brees is a second rounder but he also took 5 years to develop. Aaron Rodgers and Alex Smith are both first round picks. All i’m saying is that a franchise not taking a chance on a franchise QB in 19 NFL drafts is ridiculous.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Technically Brees is a second rounder,

but actually was the 32nd overall pick.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 3:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Pioli has not been running the Chiefs for the last 19 drafts (blame 'most' of that on Peterson).

Since Pioli has come to town he has made 3 moves at QB…

…Got Cassel in trade w/ Pats.
…Drafted Stanzi
…Picked Orton up off waivers.

add to that Pioli has already stated he is NOT done with QB, and I think we can all agree that position is at least being addressed.

Cassel took over a 2-14 team and spent most of his first 3 (really 2.5) seasons running for his life. You say the line is close enough, but I submit they let not one but TWO different QB get injured to the point of missing game time last year.
_____________________________

The knock on Stanzi is (he is a 5th rounder and not a 1st) and it takes a 1st round QB to go to/win playoff games (and the Super Bowl).

That said 4 Super Bowl winning teams where lead by a non 1st round QB…Brady (6th rounder) x3, and Brees (2nd rounder). Add to that Housons backup from the 5th did GREAT this year and a VERY good case could be made that Stanzi is the Chiefs QBOTF.
________________________________

Orton, not a huge fan (Cassel 2.0 but not under contract) but many on AP are

by DivineGrace on Feb 12, 2012 12:34 AM CST up reply actions  

So because the Texans 5th round pick, Yates, did well then Stanzi should?

So because the Texans UDFA running back, Foster, has been beastly.. Shaun Draughn is our future RB stud?

Doesn’t work like that.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 12, 2012 9:04 AM CST up reply actions  

It could though

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 1:05 PM CST up reply actions  

No takes talent, coaching, system, other players, etc

Not like every 6th round QB is another Brady just because they were picked in the same round.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 12, 2012 2:11 PM CST up reply actions  

No, but I would look at things like...

Who drafted the QB? (in this case Stanzi was drafted by the same person who had a hand in drafting Brady).

What system was the QB drafted into? (Stanzi drafted into a system that is being built up in similar fashion to the system Brady was brought into).

What kind of players/talent is the QB working with? (We do it the way I think we should …spend our 1st, 2nd, 3rd on G, T, TE…with the talent already on O…Charles, Bowe, Breston, Baldwin, Stanzi very well could end up being the Manzi)

Not saying this is the way it will go down, but you have to admit…the possibility (the potential) is there!

by DivineGrace on Feb 12, 2012 6:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Yup.

But ‘til I’m trusting my RT, that TE needs to be able to block.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 7:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Potential is a starting QB

That is as far as I will go.

Stanzi does not have Drew/Bill/all the other coaches that Brady had, we don’t know if Stanzi has the drive that Brady still has to this day. 2nd year, 2nd OC/system ain’t a good start

Plus, you are over looking the most important factor.. Stanzi=5h, Brady=6th. No way they end up the same!

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 13, 2012 6:27 AM CST up reply actions  

And Brady was an accident.

Sounds like DG is kinda looking at the Brady thing like it was planned. But Pioli himself has laughed it off, saying that he messed up that draft by waiting so long to pick Brady. He just messed it up a little less than the other teams. If Stanzi succeeds, it won’t be because of any plan or any latent talent that anybody saw – if that was the case, Pioli or another team would have snapped him up earlier.

A separate point about O line/QB. Houston has a pretty good O line, and yet they let themselves get down to their third string QB.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:25 AM CST up reply actions  

Well they did bring in FAs as well

They just couldn’t do the job, Yates was even benched in one game but retained the starters spot after a crappy showing

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 13, 2012 12:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Just saying that even a good O line isn't a guarantee against QB injuries.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 1:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Well when your QB is Leinart

I’m pretty sure the Oline just wanted him out of the game asap

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 13, 2012 3:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Very good point.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 4:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Rodgers in the middle of the first was far from a reach or a big risk.

Stafford finally got into the playoffs, but it’s been a real struggle for him, on a team that still gets their QB pummelled. Folks can SAY the O-Line is pretty good, because his sack numbers are low, but that guy’s taken a lot of hits.

The usual tactic is to take QB early and build your team around him. But the usual result in those cases is return trips to top 5 in the draft, and quite often, another early QB pick.

I find it ironic to always be on this side of these discussions, because of how highly I value the QB position. I think it’s false wisdom to go all-out for QB before you have a good situation for him to play in. A lot of people used to open up their veins, because, for some reason they thought it was good for their health. Just because everybody did it didn’t make it wise. And if most everybody does it, then most people who survive whatever malady can be pointed to as another in a long line of success stories associated with the intentional bloodletting.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 12:52 AM CST up reply actions  

wait, so we can't turn the salary cap off?

well there goes my mock offseason of signing Dwayne Bowe, Brandon Carr, Paul Soliai, D’qwell Jackson, Arian Foster, Drew Brees, Wes Welker and Carl Nicks,

KC Draft prediction: No OT taken in first round

by trentchiefsfan on Feb 10, 2012 6:08 AM CST up reply actions  

And i don't mind that scenario either but I don't like getting rid of our franchise WR

With the hopes of getting a new face of the franchise next year and him not having anyone to go to with Moeaki injury prone, Baldwin a rookie, and Breaston kind of meh.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 10:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Uh..

Miller to team with Charles to get the running game back on track
Streeter is raw but a big lengthy frame with great speed and has shown ability to catch with his hands instead of body
Linthicum(had Potter at OG/OT first) is a more complete TE who can block and get involved in passing game
Fuller is a talented WR without great speed, great route runner with good hands but this season was a disappointment
Chichester is a massive raw TE project

Yeah.. no way a QB in 2013 would have anywhere to go except Baldwin, Breaston, TonyM

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 5:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Well Fuller was absolutely terrible at the senior bowl

Streeter is raw so he would still be learning next year. Moeaki is injury prone so you can’t rely on him. Baldwin could go either way but i really like his upside. But i do agree our running game would be great. Its why i want Miller as well. And if Dex and Baldwin develop then we won’t need Bowe. But it is a gamble, number one receivers don’t grow on trees.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:14 AM CST up reply actions  

QBs make WRs better

You don’t need a true #1 if you have 2x #2s with a great QB.

I’m not sure what happened to Fuller this year, but at that point, I would take a shot on him.
Streeter is raw but his upside is crazy high and being able to be behind Breaston/Baldwin/etc would help him. Most have him pegged for being a complete project but he really is not, yes he knows a very limited route tree but with his speed and his hands(getting rarer to see receivers catch the ball away from their frame more often than not) I’ll take his upside and let him learn the routes

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Well you are a good salesman and you may have brought me around on Streeter

But do you think the haul for Bowe would equal the haul for Carr? Typically people aren’t willing to give up a ton for a WR.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:34 AM CST up reply actions  

I think he would bring more than Marshall did which was two 2nds

I used a 2nd this year, 2nd next year which could improve to a 1st depending on performance.

Carr could bring less, as #2 behind Flowers and not incredible #s however I don’t want to give him up haha. I’m not creating holes on a defense which is very very good, when the offense is already in such bad shape with QB/Oline/Depth issues

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 10:09 AM CST up reply actions  

I wanna keep Bowe and Carr, both. But given the choice, hell, I wouldn't wanna choose.

With the low probabilities on the QB reach deal, I’d rather pick ’em in greater number and greater regularity than put it all into a one-shot make-or-break deal.

But despite goin’ at it with Hake, above, I ain’t sanguine about Cassel, by any stretch. A better QB and suddenly Copper, Horne, and (even) Urban look like nice pieces of the 53. A better QB and we suddenly start believing that McCluster has finally developed, when he’s the same guy he was in 2010, but with a QB who can play some street ball and get him the ball when things break the right way after the snap. Cassel only finds him when he’s the primary. A guy with some sense of the main chance (and I think maybe Jason Campbell would be this kind of guy) as the play develops could have a BLAST with McCluster.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 9, 2012 6:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Carr>Bowe in my mind

I’m not throwing a wrench in to the defense, when the offense is in such iffy shape, not to mention it is a passing league now and we have to defend that or Hali/Houston have no chance

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 8:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Again i say the two worst NFL passing defenses ever both made the playoffs.

The idea that a franchise QB isn’t needed is in the past. Since 2004 the QB’s that have won the super bowl include: Brees, Brady, Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, and Ben Roethlisberger. In the 90’s the winners include: Montana, Elway, Aikman, Favre, and Simms. The league is and has been a QB driven league slowly more so than in the past.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:19 PM CST up reply actions  

No shit we need a QB

Ripping apart a top defense aint going to help us though

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Ripping apart?

We lose one corner. We still have Berry, Johnson, Hali, Flowers, Jackson, and promising young players in Lewis and Houston. Add to that Jackson, Minnifield, and Chapman and we still have a great defense.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 10:24 PM CST up reply actions  

You HOPE we still have a great defense

However there is no guarantee that Minnifield pans out, if not.. then we need a starting CB very very badly

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:50 AM CST up reply actions  

Ain't it funny how the last two teams left standing were playing damn good defense down the stretch?

DB has seemed to be something of an afterthought for the Patsies, at times. And they’ve been very successful. But they also spend most of their time trading down, rather than trading up a whole lot. But if you’re gonna use THEM as a model, you see Brady in the 5th round, too.

Carr’s not one I want to let get away. But neither is Bowe. I guess it depends on the price tag, but as they are #1 priorities (Birds in the hand, as it were), I don’t think the main chance involves either one getting away.

Seems like there are a lot of scenarios that involve getting Minnifield, because they want to trade Carr off. I wanna keep Carr, and if Minnifield’s still there when I pick in the 2nd, he’s a top candidate, AND I keep Carr. But I always see symptoms when other people see causes. Few seem to share my take on the real causes-and-effects, and what strategies would best give the Chiefs a fundamental edge on the rest of the league.

But taking the long view, I pretty much like Pioli’s approach, that it’ll get us there, and it’ll keep us there. Since the ‘09 burp, the scouting seems to turn up PLAYERS, more than just outstanding athletes with measurables. And Pioli’s kept ‘em in the black with regard to garnering more picks than he gives away, on the whole. And Pioli’s kept all position groups on the up-tick, simultaneously, which is the real trick, even though most folks just notice the big, flashy moves. It’s good to have an approach that is going to work when you’re actually pretty good, and the decisions aren’t as clear-cut.

That includes such things as trading the occasional big-name veteran for draft picks to a team that’s sucked at developing, for instance, their own DBs, whereas you keep doing the Mills Overkill Method, unafraid to draft high at DB when the right DB comes along, even with an all-star already starting. Folks around here talk about not spending that much on DB, but it’s a different ballgame with the rookie cap, and somehow better-than-average DB corps never hurts your chances of winning games.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 4:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Carr is more important than Bowe to me

I would still take a hard look at Minnifield if he was there in the second, or late first after a big trade down.

I’m not wanting to throw a wrench into an already good defense, and still suffer on offense

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Gotta consider coaching, too.

Romeo and Emmit Thomas and Gibbs eventually made the defense look good without Berry. How confident are you in our offensive coaches’ ability to scheme around a lack of Bowe?

I hear what you’re saying about the importance of CBs. But long term, I’m not totally devastated by the loss of Carr if we can get a good young CB or two (Brown?) NOW, when we’ve got good D coaches to develop them.

Hoodie has been casual about replacing CBs because he’s confident in his ability to scheme the defense around whoever he’s got. Kinda bit him this year, though.

I was happy as hell that defense stood up in the playoffs. I’m tired of the trend toward douchy TD-a-minute sound-bite highlight-reel media-friendly casual-stupid-fan-friendly offense that the TV networks and the NFL seem to be pressing for. And yes, I did list the TV networks first on purpose.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:38 PM CST up reply actions  

When we are a run first team the loss would be easier to scheme

For Bowe than Carr.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, for coaches of equal ability.

But my point was that our defensive and offensive coaching staffs are most decidedly NOT on the same level at the moment.

Same question comes in in three or four years after a couple retirements, I might have a totally different opinion.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Each to their own

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 5:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, there's no good answer when you're deciding whether to get rid of Bowe or Carr.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:22 PM CST up reply actions  

That is true

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 6:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Ya get yourself in a bind and just make your #4 WR into a CB. PRESTO!

Arrington UDFA
Dowling #33 overall
McCourty #27 overall
Molden 3rd-round pick by Houston, ’08, claimed off waivers by NE.

OK. I give up. I was gonna make a big case for NE not sitting still @ DB, but I got tired of the effort.

I don’t think Belichick is casual about DBs, though. But it says something when Edelman’s lining up on defense. Kinda weird the way the Giants scored points with that offense. OL built for the run. Ugly passing plays that are very productive, because the QB wins enough battles.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:00 PM CST up reply actions  

I meant casual in that he won't overpay to keep a, well, Carr.

Or a Bowe. Casual, as opposed to fiercely loyal to certain players. He is always willing to churn his roster at the drop of a hat.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Am I missing something here or what? What happens if The Chiefs miss out on Minnefield?

"I never went to bed with an ugly woman but I sure woke up with a few!"
/no skitzo

by Masons on Feb 8, 2012 3:25 PM CST reply actions  

We should have an easy shot at him.

He’s listed behind Maruice Claiborne, Dre Kirkpatrick, Alfonzo Dennard, Stephon Gilmore, and Leonard Johnson. So he should definitely be there.

Truth be told, I like Gilmore better than Minnifield, but my objection to the tag and trade scenario is still there.

"You can't be fat and fast too; so lift, run, diet, and work." ~ Hank Stram

by citadelchief on Feb 8, 2012 3:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Dennard is falling

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 4:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Still a late 1st or early 2nd though.

He’ll go before Minnifield.

"You can't be fat and fast too; so lift, run, diet, and work." ~ Hank Stram

by citadelchief on Feb 8, 2012 5:00 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm starting to doubt that

Sr Bowl practices really killed his stock with a lot of people, and if he is unable to go at the combine(not sure if he will be there or not after the injury at the practices) that could hurt him even farther.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 5:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Antonio Allen ... I'm tellin' ya

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 8:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Jackson! Minnifield!

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 9:30 PM CST up reply actions  

People are starting to think of him as a Safety

I wonder if that hip injury was giving him trouble during practices/through-out the year?

Certainly not something you want to gamble on though.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 8, 2012 11:25 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not sure I even like him at safety

Smaller DB who looks a lot better when he is able to play press man and be very physical… not quite the recipe for a safety prospect

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 5:36 AM CST up reply actions  

He showed a serious lack of hips at the Senior Bowl

Like Taylor Mays bad, that usually means a position switch.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 10:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

Except I think his hips might be worse than Mays

Mays was able to back peddle and flip his hips in space when playing deep, Dennard looked like a statue when he is not making contact at the line.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 11:00 AM CST up reply actions  

Again we are going based on CBS rankings. I understand that he might go early.

He also might fall. You never know especially before the combine. But this CB class is very deep at the top and i don’t see 6 or 7 corners going in the first 45 picks.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 1:32 AM CST up reply actions  

I agree with you about him going earlier but these are some of the better prospect rankings i've seen.

And I also was all on the Decastro / RT first two rounds when i thought we might keep Orton or go after a free agent to challenge Cassel. But i honestly believe they are set with Cassel this season and that means i want to build up a team for this season while putting back ammo for a QB of the future.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:20 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm sorta coming from a "Sense of the Senate" point of view with those off-the-cuff comments,

that come in reaction others’ mocks. You see a guy out of place , just from the general discussion, and you point it out to the group. Good blogs do that. One guy offers his wisdom, another does a fact-check, then the fact-check on the fact-check, and by the end of the open discussion, the wisdom provided by the blog is much greater than the wisdom of any of its members.

Like NObody knows how many jellybeans are in that jar, but if you ask 1,000 people how many jellybeans are in the jar, take the average, et voila, the sense of the senate is within 1 or 2 jellybeans of the actual. Seriously. They did a study! It’s just one of the cool things about being social animals with separate intelligence. Pretty cool.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 4:35 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree that a collective effort or thought is better than a single idea.

And i think the wisdom provided on AP is one of the best on any blog. I understand that we have differing philosophies on building a team and that is fine. I honestly enjoy an intelligent discussion from both of us without anyone needing to resort to name calling or low blows. Both of us just sticking with opinions on prospects, scheme, current players and talking football is kind of refreshing.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 11, 2012 10:17 AM CST up reply actions  

Schmuck.

:o)

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 6:53 PM CST up reply actions  

hahaha

That was cause for a good chuckle after work.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 11, 2012 11:33 PM CST up reply actions  

You play nice!

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 5:37 AM CST up reply actions  

This draft is deep at corner as was mentioned.

And honestly if we miss out on a top talent to step right in then Travis Daniels would start. He has looked good when he came into games and I would be perfectly fine with him starting and Brown / Arenas as our nickel and dime corners. You can still bring in a young guy to develop. Remember that for years Pioli / New England moved corners when they were at their prime and replaced them.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 11:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Remember that for years Pioli / New England had a QB to win them games

Talking about what Pioli did back then doesn’t really make sense now, we need defense until we get a franchise QB

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 5:37 AM CST up reply actions  

But at some point the team has to take a risk and go after a QB.

Stock pile picks to make a move for one. Next year’s QB class looks to be great going into the season and we have starting depth at corner with promising corner prospects this season. Why continue to build a team that will win 8 games every year but never make the super bowl?

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:15 AM CST up reply actions  

Remember the start of this season? All the hype around

Luck/Barkley/Jones?

Jones imploded
Barkley returned
RGIII came out of no where to be the #2 QB

Just because there are some prospects next year does not mean we will have a shot at them or they will pan out

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Correct it could be a failure of a class but stocked up picks can almost always be traded.

The Patriots have an extra 1st and 2nd every season but rarely use them and instead trade back more with many fans wondering why? But i am curious if it’s because Belichick is waiting for Brady to be done and he will have ammunition to grab another QB he can work with. Unless he believe Mallet is the guy.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 9, 2012 9:38 AM CST up reply actions  

But we dont have "ammo" as far as picks are concerned

I think STL will want the farm in picks not so much players as a trade partner, the Vikes would be a better trade partner if we want RG3, since they have specific holes that we could give picks plus a player or 2 to fill. I hope STL asks for too much nobody bites and we could package picks and maybe carr or Bowe for the pick, then pick up RG3, but we will see.

by km230015 on Feb 9, 2012 9:42 AM CST up reply actions  

The Rams will be looking for a #1 WR from all accounts by fans

They want to keep Saffold at LT for another year, believe it was all injuries that plagued him this year. Vikes will be looking for a LT first and foremost.

Rams could want Bowe+Swapping 1sts+lil extra

Vikes would likely still take Kalil unless the offer is off the charts.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 10:13 AM CST up reply actions  

It STL cant find a partner then take Kalil

Vikes wont reach for T and may want to trade down. I dont see STL and Fisher taking a WR number 2.

by km230015 on Feb 9, 2012 11:55 AM CST up reply actions  

Jeff Fisher said a main focus this offseason is to protect the QB

I think they take Kalil if they cant find a trade partner or if he is there after a trade down

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 3:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Fans think opposite

They believe their line is in good shape, especially LT with Saffold, just injuries killed them this year.

They want a trade down or Blackmon but I can’t see him going that high, I don’t think he will run a great time and without being a complete freak of an athlete, I think he will drop

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 4:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Fans say one thing

But Im inclined to take the coach’s word for it(especially with how in control he seems to be), they switch Saffold to RT and kick Smith down to Guard or trade him.

I see them trading down anyways and scooping whoever is valuable up afterwards.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 7:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I never heard Fisher say that, so its new to me

Saffold might not work out at RT, twas a very good breakdown on FF about how Saffold’s limitations would be magnified on the right side

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 8:03 PM CST up reply actions  

i guess my 2nd link disproves the first

Either way I doubt the Rams have the 2nd pick once its all said and done.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 8:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:42 PM CST up reply actions  

That is partly it IMO

The other part is.. they have Brady. They don’t need top talent, nor the old huge contracts when Brady can keep them in most games by himself and the group of WRs he has had. They could trade down for players that fit specific roles(pass rushers/cover guys/etc), instead of looking for guys that are the total package.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

As of now without FA signed.

1. David DeCastro, G, Stanford

2. Zebrie Sanders, OT, Florida State

3. Orson Charles, TE, Georgia

4. Kevin Reddick, ILB, North Carolina

5. Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State

6. Nick Jean-Baptiste, NT, Baylor

7. Emanuel Davis, CB, East Carolina

7. Marc Tyler, RB, USC

by km230015 on Feb 8, 2012 3:55 PM CST reply actions  

No way Brock lasts that long

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 8, 2012 4:45 PM CST up reply actions  

I think people will fall some will shoot up the board and all.

and he is more of a project and will fall a little. Or if he rises take him in the 4th and get another ILB in the 5th.

by km230015 on Feb 9, 2012 7:36 AM CST up reply actions  

Potential alone will have him gone by the 3rd at the latest

Likely gone in the 2nd

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 9:04 AM CST up reply actions  

Maybe, if so just plug in another QB then

I am not entrenched that it should be him but around the 4th 5th i think they will take another QB. Unless they trade up in the 1st they will take another late rounder and try again next year to get an early QB (i hope)

by km230015 on Feb 9, 2012 9:38 AM CST up reply actions  

I can agree with that

Austin Davis is a guy I like for a late round flyer

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 10:14 AM CST up reply actions  

I can't see it

3rd at earliest. He is far too raw to use a 2nd on. He’ll need to sit for a couple of years.

KC Draft prediction: No OT taken in first round

by trentchiefsfan on Feb 10, 2012 6:53 AM CST up reply actions  

QBs always rise

He has too much potential to slide that far

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 10, 2012 8:33 AM CST up reply actions  

I like that one

I know, huge shocker!

Twisted Lord of AP Color Commentary (H/T - Loco)
Winner: 2009 Nostradamus of Arrowhead Pride Award
"I shall conquer untruth by truth" - Mahatma Gandhi
"It's always easier to sell 'em some shit than it is to give 'em the truth" - Shel Silverstein, The Perfect High
hi, Mo! 5 minutes!!!

by upamtn on Feb 8, 2012 4:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Zebrie appears to be falling a bit.

He had a fairly average Senior Bowl and some question his strength at the point of attack. Which is fine if you are on the left side but a RT with strength questions sometimes hurts. I still like the draft but if you mean without any free agents signed then we are screwed losing Carr and Bowe with no replacements

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 8, 2012 11:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Doubt Sanders drops

He’s a ZBS guy and ZBS guys always struggle in the one on one actitivities. In the game though he was outstanding.

"Give them nothing! But take from them everything!"

by GenericBrand on Feb 9, 2012 11:01 AM CST up reply actions  

Far from it

He was getting beat up by bull rushes, why there are whispers that hes a LT only.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 11:42 AM CST up reply actions  

mobile mockery

1) DeCastro, OG (Stanford)
2) Sanders, OT (FSU)
3) Pead, RB (cinci)
4) Egnew, TE (Mizzou)
5) Taylor, S (LSU)
6) Wylie, WR (Fresno St)
7) Adcock, OT (OK St)
7) Pleasant, S (Oregon)

*based on CBS rankings
*assumes Orton, Bowe, Carr, McClain, Gilberry are back
*assumes FA signings: Rogers/Soliai (DL) and maybe Dreessen/Carlson (TE)

by stagdsp on Feb 8, 2012 5:36 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

RG3 (keep bowe & carr) mock

1) rg3/qb baylor(trade-2012 1st & 2nd/ 2013 2nd)
3) Mitchell Schwartz/ ot california
4) Bernard Pierce/ rb temple
4) Neiko Thorpe/ s auburn
4) Lonnie Edwards/ g texas tech(trade-glen dorsey)
5) J.R Sweezy/ 5de n.c state
6) Anthony Miller/ te cal
7) T-bob Hebert/ c lsu
7) Demario Belcher/ wr indiana

GIVE JAMAAL THE DAMN BALL!!!!!

by chief913-816 on Feb 8, 2012 6:45 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

2013 1st f$!k it

GIVE JAMAAL THE DAMN BALL!!!!!

by chief913-816 on Feb 8, 2012 6:51 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

works for me

I would change some of the later picks, but I would be giddy for RG3

by stagdsp on Feb 8, 2012 6:55 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Why?

Just tell Cassel he has to warn Pioli by throwing footballs to alert Pioli..

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 9, 2012 11:12 AM CST up reply actions  

Trade back in the first for a second and dorsey for a high 3rd,

1. NT Dontari Poe
2a. OT Zebrie Sanders
2b. OG Kevin Zeitler
3a. TE Orson Charles
3b. RB Isiah Pead
4. NT Hebron Fangupo
5. SS Brandon Taylor
6. ILB Chris Galipo
7a. WR BJ Cunningham
7b. OT Levy Adcock

by tyson_jackson who? on Feb 8, 2012 7:50 PM CST reply actions  

Gerrel Robinson

WR. ASU. 6’4’’ 222 lbs.great hands and unbelievable after the catch. Makes a living going over the middle and sitting down in the open spots in zone coverage. I just found a new man crush. He has a 4th round grade right now, I am sure that will be going up at the combine. I say trade Bowe for a first rounder somewhere. Sign Carr to a fat contract and let w/e QB we have go to town with his 6’4’’ WRs with great athleticism. I could go into more detail, Maybe I will try after work…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0umPPA2zwBo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJuLDmI-o8U&feature=related

by xhornetsx on Feb 9, 2012 12:29 PM CST reply actions  

also Ryan Broyles

Broyles even with the knee injury is an absolute steal in the 4th or 5th round. I’d love to land a talent like that.

by xhornetsx on Feb 9, 2012 5:36 PM CST up reply actions  

As to be expected

No LT, a guard for now with upside to be a solid RT given time to work on technique. Although id just keep him at guard, and put him at tackle if there is an injury.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 9, 2012 10:42 PM CST up reply actions  

yep, he's a G

and, as I’ve been saying, not an ideal ZBS Guard either

by stagdsp on Feb 10, 2012 8:07 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm not sure, but I seem to recollect him being the best RT in the Senior Bowl for his side.

I need to re-watch the game, tomorrow, and grade tests.

As I recall, he seemed like true stout plus good feet. I could accomplish some things with him at RT. Just chip with my TE all day long against the outside pass rush. I bet Glenn could control the width I needed him to, and give me a little extra sum’m sum’m in the run game. But that’s just my imperfect memory of an imperfect understanding.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 4:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Here's some good film of him in college at Tackle:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tylmTFEubzE

This is the best DL in college football, and he’s going up against a likely top 10 pick.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 10, 2012 5:32 PM CST up reply actions  

For comparisons sake

Here’s Riley Reiff, projected Top 10 player going up against guys that may or may not be drafted.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hmS0XmkMeJ0

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 11:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Already watched the Glenn video.

Reiff looks a little less stout, but excellent technique and feet. Good fit for ZBS, but I think he’d get pushed right back in the QB’s face.. He seemed to struggle more and more as the game went on. Took forever for my computer to bring up the video.

Glenn looks more like a guy who can mix it up against NFL power, with exceptional feet for a man that big. I think he’d raise the level of play at RT right away, and leave them with the option of going OT or OG, when Lilja moves on.

I definitely am biased towards the next OL being on the jumbo side. I think Hudson and Asamoah are fine, but not next to guys smaller than they are, not in this league.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 1:43 AM CST up reply actions  

My issue is

He’s never blowing guys up at the line, he’s constantly struggling just to redirect them out of the play to mixed success. The speed rush is no problem for him, but you can tell his lower body isn’t stout enough just yet because by the 2nd half he was getting walked into the QB. Another thing I didn’t like were his hands, they seem nubby and compounded with what looks like less then ideal arm length he’ll have some issues. I picture Tamba against him and I just see him getting beat over and over again, and he’s supposed to be the top 10 pick?

That was really the only major pass rush he’s seen all season too, so it is troubling to say the least.

Now as far as Glenn goes, I don’t know about him starting at RT right away. He needs to continue working on technique, and picturing him up against Von Miller doesn’t seem like it would end that well for whoever we got back there at QB. Upside is there though to be a pretty good darn RT.

And Asamoah is ideal Guard size, the same exact measurables as David DeCastro.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 5:31 AM CST up reply actions  

Hmmm. 6'4'' and 305 to Decastro's 6'5'' and 312 pounds.

Pretty close.

I do like Asamoah’s size. Right in the sweet spot for a powerful big man who can move around. But still on the low side of NFL size. I’d rather have him paired with a bigger guy than with a fun-size guy. A pair of guys in the middle, who’re struggling to keep their weight closer to 300 than to 260 is too small, in other words, I don’t like it that Wiegs and Lilja are both fighting to keep their weight on the high side of 280. Either one can be an asset, but the two of ‘em presents a weakness. Hudson is likely to hover in the 280-290 range in midseason form, so I want that 3rd interior lineman to be more Hudson’s size (or bigger). Decastro fits that to a ‘T’.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 6:12 PM CST up reply actions  

I bet we see a lot of copycats of the Saints' line,

where they have an impenetrable wall in the middle, and all the tackles have to do in pass pro is slide in one direction because nobody’s getting through that middle. Of course, it’s one thing to say copy cat, and another to actually do it….. That’s why I like Glenn for a guard, I think he’d be a mountain in the middle for pass rushers to try to squeeze past.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:57 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes. And I like Glenn @ RT, as well.

Just generally like him. And unless other teams surprise, I think that trade-down still gets us Zeitler, Konz or Glenn, for instance. I actually like these guys better in the 1st than the OTs that get all the attention. They just seem like they’ll be better at their position than those OTs at theirs.

I’m actually willing to go with a player more on the G side at RT, if I know they’re sealing from inside-out. Gain in toughness/physicality, and train him to block inside-out, with, as you say, guys he can trust to his inside. Then you can always chip on the outside, if you have to.

But the weakness in the ‘90s at OT was something that only really showed up when the game was on the line, extra receivers are in the pattern, and the tackles were isolated outside with DEs and getting eaten alive in the 4th quarter. At the time, it seemed to me like the KC O-Line actually tired out, holding their own for 3 quarters and then the better teams would crank up the pass rush, and KC couldn’t do anything about it. Marty’d brag about the interior 3, every time anybody said anything to him about tackle play.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 7:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Two guards?

One maybe goes to RT, or at worst is a very high quality backup? It would be nice to just pick the best O linemen regardless of position. Kinda what we did with Albert, and that seems to have worked out OK so far.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Yup. One of the reasons I'm in the group who likes 1st round G/C this year,

more than the tackles who’re gonna be picked too early and then need time to become NFL-grade, let alone that little sum’m extra for the playoffs. Plus, I’ve been more impressed than others by the ability of Glenn to play RT, for instance.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 10:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, Glenn got to practice all last year at LT against SEC defenses.

That gives him some really damn valuable experience that not a lot of other prospects have.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Why do you say he's not fit for a ZBS?

The CBS report (Rob Rang) says he has good feet and is good at the second level.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:18 PM CST up reply actions  

How so?

His feet are absolutely fantastic and nimble, from what I saw of his Junior tape at Guard he looked like he had the prerequisite quickness, and agility to get to the 2nd level and block

We’re probably moving more towards a man scheme anyways.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 10, 2012 5:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I really like this mock draft.

Nine picks this year, AND the ability to go after a top-five QB next year. Just frickin outstanding.

My one beef would be your fourth rounder. If either Green OR Baldwin show something, we’ll be damn well stacked for receiving threats (including Charles). I would have rather seen some secondary here to offset the big risks you’re taking in the later rounds, or a D line prospect like Wolfe maybe, interior O line, or even a QB flyer.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 2:00 PM CST reply actions  

I agree that we have quality depth with Bowe, Baldwin, Dex but we also have a few receivers that i think could use an upgrade.

I considered a safety or corner here but i didn’t see many in the fourth that i considered to be better than the safeties i took. A d line prospect also came to mind but i feel comfortable with Dorsey, Jackson, Bailey, and Gordon at DE and Powe, Chapman at NT. Another guard / center probably could have been mocked here and i would be fine with it or maybe Austin Davis QB Southern miss makes sense there.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 11, 2012 10:20 AM CST up reply actions  

If we re-sign Bowe, I think that a WR prospect's special teams ability might be every bit as important as his receiving ability.

Not as a returner, but Copper-type special teams skills I mean.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:59 AM CST up reply actions  

And Jones looked very good on special teams if i remember right.

He is a player with a very strong work ethic and leadership ability. I love him as a depth on the outside and a special teams player replacing Copper or Urban.

by Jonathan Hake on Feb 13, 2012 11:23 PM CST up reply actions  

To my eye, they have a good group, right now, and it's just waiting for their teammates to raise the level.

I think we’ll be glad we have Urban and Copper, if we ever get it right up front and at QB. I’m not excited about either one starting outside, but definitely both are assets when you want to go extra wides. Right now there are other guys in my crosshairs: Lilja, Wiegmann and Cassel.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 14, 2012 7:28 PM CST up reply actions  

A look into the future, Walterfootball's 2013 NFL Draft
23. Kansas City Chiefs: Star Lotulelei, NT, Utah
2012 NFL Mock Draft selection: Trent Richardson, RB

The Chiefs have to find a long-term answer at nose tackle. Fortunately for them, there are three first-round-caliber nose tackles projected to be available in April 2013.

Awesome, Star is a beast and extremely athletic. I remember he covered Chris Polk out in the flat step-for-step, that’s ridiculous.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 10, 2012 3:17 PM CST reply actions  

Piffle on Walter.

Powe’s gonna be a pro bowler :)

And Charles is already a Pro Bowler.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 5:40 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, at least he has us picking 23rd.

Which means he thinks we’ll lose in the first round of the playoffs.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Walter usually doesn't like us

I think now that Haley is gone the hate is slowly going away, Walt just didn’t like Haley for some reason.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 10:12 AM CST up reply actions  

Cherry picking.....

2003 to 2008, six years of modern draft/QB evaluation, with the most recent draft class old enough for us to fairly evaluate.

Just going down the list, my own opinion about the best QBs taken AFTER the first round:
Henne
Flynn
Kolb
Thiggers (had to)
Orton
Cassel
Fitzpatrick
Schaub

Now, the best QBs taken in the first round in those same years:
Ryan
Flacco
Cutler
Rodgers
E. Manning
Rivers
Roethlisberger
Palmer

How do those odds of first round bust vs later round gem look when you actually line up the empirical data? Second list: 8 out of 18. First list: 8 out of 62.

My own opinion. Feel free to revise lists if you want, and by all means check my counting.

Especially feel free to add to the first list (Mills). But I can say that I left several QBs off the second list who would have made the first list because of the relative talent of their peers….

Playing the odds? Quantity over quality? Diamonds in the rough? Flyers? I think NOT.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:12 PM CST reply actions  

So you want to spend 1st-rounders on 1-to-2 odds? Or trade up for 1-to-2 odds?

Those numbers are skewed by many many factors. First, there are way more QBs taken in the 1st getting onto the field, simply because they’re first-rounders. Those 1st-rounders get better opportunities (There’s SO much pressure to get ’em on the field). And then there are the teams that have their starter and keep making the mid- to late-round picks, and keeping the best ones, with no pain at casting-off the also-rans.

But it’s not like I’m against 1st-round QB picks. I just like to prepare the ground. I don’t just cast my wheat in the field. I do some plowing, first. More plowing needs to be done, and it’s the priority, until the whole field is turned over. I don’t just plow half the field and then throw seed over the whole thing. And as interested in OL as I am, if my guy fell to me in the 1st @ QB, you bet I’d take him. But I don’t like the cost-benefit of trading up to the top 2 or 3 from #11. Not at this juncture. I want one or two more linemen before I draft Mattie Stafford.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 6:23 PM CST up reply actions  

44 percent vs 13 percent? Hell yeah, I'll take that.

That equates to finding a good QB in three drafts vs finding a good QB in EIGHT drafts. We could have our QBotF by 2014 at the latest, or we could spend a pick on a QB EVERY YEAR until 2019 and MAYBE find a good one by the next decade…..

And by the way, keep the actual players on those lists in mind when I describe them as “good.” There are many levels of “good,” and that second list has much better “good” than the first list. I mean, I included Thiggers for Pete’s sake! If I wasn’t being silly with that, I probably would have come up with closer to ten years than eight.

I’m tired of the opportunity argument. It holds no water because those first rounders EARNED that status by what they did in college and high school. They’re not silver spooners by the time they hit the NFL, they’ve shown what they can do on every level below that. They are not started because they’re expensive, they’re started because they are a known quantity.

The cast-offs from QB-having teams have not had a good record lately. There’s Schaub, and then…well, Cassel might be the best of the rest of that bunch.

I understand you feeling the completionist urge as far as the O line. But the field you’re sowing isn’t static. There are injuries, free agency, and failure-to-pan-outs. We can’t just plan to add a couple guys and then say we’re done. Albert’s contract is up in 2013….

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 6:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, let's just replace Thiggy with Brady, a non-1st-round pick who did a couple good things, a couple times.

And I’m not totally against 1st-round QBs, either. I’m just against gettin’ stupid, when there are a lot of other things to be done, to set the stage for your QB, and raise the percentages of likely success.

But here’s the thing. Trading up for RG III is NOT the same as taking a 44% risk. You’re also throwing extra picks into the trade-up, which needs to be counted as part of the cost. That cuts it in half, or worse. Now you’re at 22%, AND you don’t have those picks for other positions. Now, allow for building the list a little bit differently, by including or not including this or that guy in one list or the other, and the difference between 22% and 13% narrows even more.

And factor in the disaster it is if that guy you sold the farm for doesn’t pan out. Because now you’re right where you were, before, and you set yourself back everywhere else with those picks you didn’t use on other positions. So the more you chase the QB, the farther away from contention you get. I prefer a more solid approach, and that includes not being afraid to trade up if you think you have your team in place, and scouting’s been so inept as to fail to find somebody good.

I think you’re kiddin’ yourself on how good the all-around team is. I think you’d have your QB. He’d go out with a busted collarbone in week 3, and everybody would go back to the drawing board. heh.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 7:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Tim Couch, anyone? Ryan Leaf, anyone?

Heh. I wouldn’t’ve taken either one in the 1st, myself, but that’s just me.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 10, 2012 8:02 PM CST up reply actions  

I factored those in. 8 out of 18, remember?

Actually, I didn’t factor those specific guys in since they weren’t in my six year slice of the draft. But I did include all the first round busts in the years that I looked through.

It’s getting easier to evaluate QBs, too. There’s a lot more recognition that if you’ve got the basic minimum NFL physical skills, then what puts you over the top is about 90% mental. Also, much as I hate to admit it, the spread offenses help a lot. QBs get to throw a ton more than they used to, even if it’s not in NFL-type schemes, so there’s a lot more tape.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 9:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Heh. Simply put:

I ain’t happy with what they’ve done in 3 years on the OL. I think more needs to be done, before I’m putting QB ahead of OL in the draft. I thik adding a 2nd- and a 3rd-rounder is good, but it’s far too little, too late, entering their 4th drafft, considering the quality of play up front.

I’m not defending Cassel, at least not much. They’re a team that should’ve done their due diligence in the draft @ QB, sure, but OL should’ve come before Cassel, McCluster, Arenas, hell, even Baldwin. I think that to maximize your talent, you want your skill players trying out behind linemen that dominate, or at LEAST compete at a high level with the sorts of teams we see in the playoffs. I really want them to get THAT right, before turning to QB as the priority. In the meantime, make sensible QB picks and look for good all-around veteran FAs.

If you’re good with your team-build, I think there’s an excellent chance that a QB emerges, and if one doesn’t, then it’s time to get worked-up about it. But you’re always on the look-out for QB, sure. But, like I keep saying, getcher ducks in a row, and THEN, if it ain’t happenin’, you get more aggressive. Right now, I’d want to see ’em add one, maybe two new faces to OL. Not stand still at QB, but not some of these crazy trade-ups people seem to want.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 12:34 AM CST up reply actions  

You went out of bounds :)

You go back to Brady’s draft in 2000, then you gotta factor in another 30-some post-first-round failures. One out of 30…… or so.

I keep hearing you and others saying “a lot of things to be done.” Or “all those picks,” or “too damn expensive.” But THOSE are the words of a politician, something you accused Steve of. Talk specifics instead of panic inducing exaggerations, and “a lot of things” becomes a guard and a right tackle and backups.

You, math teacher, are pulling percentages out of your rear. I did invite you to build the lists a little differently, all you’ve done so far is assure me that you could, IF you wanted to :) Oh, and you threw in Brady, but neglected to factor the other 30-odd failed flyers that fortune traded for that one hit.

Hake showed us on this very post how we can economically stock up for a QB move, and end up with more picks this year than we started with! I think that was outstanding on his part. He put together something specific. And proved that a disaster is far from necessary.

Orton survived three games behind our O line with one sack. I know you want to cite the slow-developing, poorly timed trick play that was his first intro to our offense, but know that if you do then you might be turning the rest of this thread into a Haley debate…..

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 9:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Ah I heard Haley on the Radio today :)

I think I might have a Stockholm Syndrome

In psychology, Stockholm Syndrome is an apparently paradoxical psychological phenomenon in which hostages express empathy and have positive feelings towards their captors, sometimes to the point of defending them. These feelings are generally considered irrational in light of the danger or risk endured by the victims, who essentially mistake a lack of abuse from their captors for an act of kindness

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 10, 2012 10:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Regardless

Stockpiling picks for a future player is no better or worse than expending future picks on a current player to be chosen.

Spending a future pick is actually more positive than spending a past actually chosen and groomed active player in my Opinion

:)

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 10, 2012 10:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Depends on if you believe in RG3.

I think he’ll be good, but I recognize that he is a high risk due to the system he played in, the competition he played against, the good skill players he played with, and his past injuries. Barkley is safer.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 10, 2012 11:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Is Sanchez the last USC QB to be drafted?

I don’t know that a Baylor QB selection is any more risky than an USC QB selection

by Steve_Chiefs on Feb 12, 2012 1:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Or any other QB from any other school

Total crapshoot

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 2:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Hell, I don't have to put that much into it in order to offer my opinion.

I have my sense of where the tipping point is, and the best, most certain ways to get there, based on my own imperfect sense of the things different teams have done in the 40+ years I’ve watched football and the 20+ years I’ve followed the game with great interest. And it differs from you, and many others. That’s fine. It’s easy to choose the facts we prefer, and use models that agree with our opinions. I see all kinds of things that correlate but have little linkage in terms of cause-and-effect. I see ‘em every day, and I think my stars at how often folks arrive at somethin’ pretty good, even though they have no idea why, especially the ones who are CERTAIN they KNOW why. The older I get, the less certain I am about everything and the more skeptical I am of those who are certain. Heh.

And it’s not like I’m saying that 1st-round QBs suck, either. It’s just that MY priority is OL until OL is much better than I’ve seen, since Willie Roaf retired. Surely they could’ve done more than they’ve done since Pioli arrived, and how much better off would they have been with that 2nd-round pick spent on OG/OT that went to Cassel. If they HAD done that, chances are very good that I’d be on-board with wacky trade-up scenarios for RGIII or Luck.

And we can split hairs on the meaning of those probabilities. I think some teams are very good at finding certain players, and some aren’t very good with their strategies or they suck at evaluating QBs. More often, I see them just being too impatient with their team build, wanting to fill the seats and please the conventional wisdom fans with a shiny new QB. To you, your numbers are irrefutable. It takes a mathematician who understands how changing one coefficient on one variable in a multivariate system changes everything. That one, nice, fat 44% thing you wave about doesn’t take into consideration how well the respective teams are at building the rest of their team, what good or bad moves they made otherwise, that went into the W/L record.

I still want a shiny new QB, but not at the expense of team build, which Pioli has done very slowly and somewhat out-of-sequence. Could be that he maximized value, by taking the Moeaki’s, McCluster’s, and Arenas’s – heck, the Cassel’s too, though few believe THAT pipe dream, any more. But in my view, there should’ve been more concentration on OL, from Day 1, and they’re still behind-the-curve, and need to use this offseason to finally get an OL that’s in the top 3rd. Lord knows there are enough teams excited about RBs, QBs, and LBs for KC to get ahead of ‘em in the trenches and THEN get excited about QBs, RBs and LBs. (OLB is exception – they’re part D-Line, especially in KC).

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 12:56 AM CST up reply actions  

I think it all goes back to bad hair.

Jeff Childress is just too bald to succeed as a HC. Crennel has a pretty good helmet atop his head. Haley’s hairline is receding. Bad sign. And everybody knows Cowher got out of coaching because his comb-over just got too damn thin. Get you a helmet of hair and you’ll do well. Most of the best coaches have a full head of hair. Mike Smith was pretty hot in Atlanta, for a while there, but you’re starting to see a little too much forehead, there.

Mike Holmgren finally went and got Rogaine or somethin’, didn’t he? But you knew his days were numbered, and why he went to the FO.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 1:01 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm afraid we all want the same thing

we want our cake and eat it too. We are not going to get RG3 without gambling our future i.e draft picks, and if we get DeCastro and beef up the oline like we need to do then we have a noodle armed qb that will get us 9-7 seasons just like we’ve had for what seems like we’ve done for 40 years. I’ve been over this in my head and I know yours too, and it just seems fucked any way you quantify it. Then again maybe we see why Pioli was so highly sought after and he finds that qb that falls out of the sky every10 years or so

by tomachop on Feb 11, 2012 2:05 AM CST up reply actions  

It's not either-or.

They can still pursue QB, and imvvvvho, there are usually some underrated QBs floating around. We see bad teams churn through good QB prospects and discarding them, because they can’t pass pro’ or there’s no running game at their backs. I’d rather have a team that can work for more than one QB, so that when Mike Livingston takes to the field, things don’t have to go to shite.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 11, 2012 6:57 PM CST up reply actions  

You want an O line that can carry a team because you worry about one shot to a knee taking down the franchise.

I want a QB that can carry a team because I think that one guy is less maintenance and lasts longer than a constantly shifting group of five. I think we’re both right.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 12:19 PM CST up reply actions  

And my take on getting that franchise QB is more about seeing lots of QBs, until one clicks.

Minor trade-ups permitted, but my emphasis would be on getting fresh faces in @ QB without bending things out of shape, so that all the QBs I’m testing are being tested against a playoff-caliber backdrop. Again (ad infinitum) I come back to Kurt Warner, and how Marc Bulger DID look better than Warner, and yet it was Warner who enjoyed playoff success after that time, on a better team.

You put that better QB on that worse team, and he struggles or gets banged-up, and there’s a strong drive to bend things out of shape AGAIN and put another elite prospect into an even WORSE situation, and those teams just stay at the bottom of the heap, running the tread off a long line of QBs who could be used to great advantage by a more deserving (competent) team.

And I’m not a huge believer in the ratings system(s) for college QBs. Too many good ones slip through the net. Too many poor ones go in the 1st. But above all, too many go to teams that haven’t set things up for ‘em, very well, and they struggle. I’m not saying there’s a million David Carr’s out there, but likely more than most folks think.

And a lot of folks are the way about O-Line that most dog owners are about assessing obedience. “They’re pretty good. They’re not bad…” Hey. If the game’s being played on YOUR side of the line of scrimmage all day long, they’re not good enough. It doesn’t take an eagle eye to tell if you’re getting good surge or not. KC’s not there, yet, and so OL is the priority, still.

It’d be nice if it’d been a REAL priority SOONER. I think Pioli may’ve overrated his eye for OL players, figuring to get ahead by developing long-shots, or plugging smart journeyman vets in on an as-needed basis. The fact is, they’re not a dominant line, and they had a unique opportunity when they came here, to turn it around, and they didn’t, AND they had a big chunk of change under the cap each of those years.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 7:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Why Pioli hasn't worked on the O line much...

I think the Occam answer might be that he just didn’t like any of the guys who happened to be available at the particular time, vs guys available at other positions. Didn’t really ignore the line by plan, just on a case by case basis.

Pioli is about getting value. I talked about McCluster vs Beadles above, but there WERE questions about Beadles, and we DID have a need for more speed, and McCluster IS a high quality character. Still kinda wish we’d gotten Ford instead, heh.

I really hope we don’t reach for a RT this year. People talk about mortgaging our future for a QB, but reaching for a guy you could get on a trade-down is throwing away value just as badly as anything else.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 10:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Most definitely.

I wouldn’t mind reaching for an elite G/C/T, but not these spread tackles who are weak in the run game. Folks talk Reiff up quite a bit, but things sure caved-in when they ran it to his side. Kalil looks like the real deal, but he’ll go way early, and after that, I’d just as soon wait ’til the 2nd. But there ARE some OLs worth a 1st, to me, like Decastro, Konz, and Glenn. And Glenn might even be a quick fix at RT, who gives ’em some flexibility in the wake of Lilja and Wiegs moving on.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 10:52 PM CST up reply actions  

And Kalil's listed at 6-6, 295.

Pretty weedy for the supposed best tackle in the draft. I’m just not excited about any of the OTs this year, I think it’s a pretty thin class. On the other hand, I like the interior O line guys, CBs, RBs, and I kinda like the depth for 3-4 DE types.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 11:20 PM CST up reply actions  

WR is also deep

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 14, 2012 6:13 AM CST up reply actions  

Seems to be the sense of the senate.

So let’s trade up for RG III and miss out on all that depth, wot say?

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 14, 2012 7:29 PM CST up reply actions  

If there is depth in the draft class

How are we missing out by moving a few picks?

Don’t need all 8 picks for depth…

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 15, 2012 6:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Every draft has depth somewhere.

We could easily be picking between 10 and 25 for the next 43 years. Wouldn’t take much strategy to accomplish that – simply never take a risk.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 15, 2012 6:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Likely be picking higher without taking a risk on a QB

Then again.. with Cassel he could lead us to a high enough pick for a QB

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 16, 2012 5:53 AM CST up reply actions  

With Cassel and a solid team, we'd stay between 5-11 and 11-5 from now till kingdom come.

The NFL is geared to competitively keep teams in that range. You have to do something special – either an unordinary fail like a salary cap faux pas, or hit a jackpot like Brady in the sixth round – to break out of that without taking a calculated risk.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 16, 2012 1:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Few injuries like this year and we could be doomed again

Without a QB to take control

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 16, 2012 3:47 PM CST up reply actions  

And what galls me is it's "unordinary" to build a team right.

And it’s not keep Cassel or build OL. It’s build OL and keep bringin’ in QBs. But don’t wreck one thing to do the other.

I would maintain that most teams do plenty of blundering around, and it is very possible to build a top 5 to 10 OL. And you don’t have to spend a whole bunch of 1st-round picks to maintain such a line. Basically, once you have some excellence established, the annual Asamoah/Hudson pick is plenty and more than plenty.

I would maintain that it’s NOT that hard to have an OL tradition that’s very strong and all you’re worrying about is getting that special QB you all (and I all) crave. Sure, you’re GONNA draft in the 4th and 5th and even go UDFA on OL, once you’re set, but you can be a dominant team long-term if you’re always ready with the Hudson/Asamoah pick, when those 4ths and 5ths and UDFAs don’t develop.

But that top 5 (to 10, every damn year) OL needs to be your foundation and your 1st priority. Another thing that galls me is how many offensive skill players the Chiefs miss on or lose, because they don’t like the situation, or, because of the situation, we don’t even realize what we have in 5th round (I think) pick, Joe Horn, and he goes on to an 11-yr career catching passes from Drew Brees for most of it, recognized as a dominant wideout with dominant speed.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 16, 2012 9:25 PM CST up reply actions  

I completely agree with this comment.

I think what we disagree on is the team’s ability to build the O line and simultaneously chase a top-five QB.

My viewpoint is really the same as your own second paragraph….. We have our LT. If all it takes to maintain the line is second round and later picks, then why can’t we be going that route right now? I don’t understand why we need to pick a right tackle in the top fifteen right now, if that same position can be maintained later on by your “annual Hudson/Asamoah pick.”

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 17, 2012 3:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Absolutely, I always look forward to reading your opinions on here.

I don’t mean to stifle. I know I tend to do that, I’m actually still embarrassed about how often I did that to people when I was younger and more hot-headed.

Anyway, here’s where I’m at big picture wise – I’m just recently coming around to recognizing that the QB is really, really important. That’s not my preference, my preference would be for the game to favor strategists, which are the people who are good at piecing a team together and keeping track of all the moving parts and basically NOT being a star-struck douche. I definitely don’t like the way the game is evolving toward depending on a star player…with a pretty-boy smile, and a model wife with an accent, and focus-spots on Sportcenter where he’s sitting on the beach playing a guitar in front of a female correspondent….blech, puke, barf. BUT, I recognize that’s the way the game is not just evolving, but being pushed by the powers that be, and is probably only going to be pushed even more in that direction for the simple, basic, evil purpose of making more money. And even though I don’t like it I still want my Chiefs to succeed, so….

I look at the QB nowadays the same way I look at buying a house or a car, or starting a business. When you start out financially, and you have no equity in anything but your own paycheck, you’ve got to take a little pain and spend some of your stormy-day savings on that first big purchase. After that, you should be able to use the equity and stability you now have to move on to bigger and better things, AND take bigger risks, a lot more cheaply than if you just kept spending cash for everything. Like the Packers trading for Favre, then picking up Rodgers when the opportunity presented itself. They could afford to spend a first round pick on a risky, backup QB because they knew that Favre would keep them winning even if they put off that O line maintenance for a year.

I don’t want to trade away opportunity. But I also don’t want to just wait and hope to hit the lottery, that’s no kind of investment strategy at all.

I’ll look up and chew on and spit out numbers to try to bludgeon a point, but my real opinion just comes from what I see. I see several teams right now with QBs that can make up for piss-poor O lines. But I haven’t seen a standalone, SB type Oline since our 2003 Chiefs. Before that, maybe the Cowboys? I also see a highly drafted QB in NY playing behind a pretty good O line and not doing so well. But then I see that Dalton kid in Cinci succeeding because he’s got a good head on his shoulders. AND, I see David Carr, whose career most people assume was ruined by bad O lines in his rookie year. I recognize that our chance to hit on a Pro Bowl QB in the draft is decidedly below 50%, but I also look around at our other possible paths and don’t see anything that empirically presents me with any better odds. Not really stats for me, just looking around at how things seem to be.

Another really, really simplistic idea of mine that I frame in terms of numbers – Anything bad that can happen to a QB can also happen to an O line. But it’s magnified with the O line because that unit needs at least four really good guys to be a championship level unit. So you worry about injury or just plain poor performance taking out a QB, but it’s 3 or 4 times more likely that same set of problems will take out one of your O linemen and thereby take it down from that championship level.

Ya know, one thing I DO like about the QB evolution is that it definitely seems to put more and more emphasis on a QB’s brain. And not just their brain, but their temperament. Manning > Leaf, Dalton > Sanchez. Hell, Lenny the Cool > Jeff George. That’s why I like Griffin, he seems like he’s got it upstairs. I’m not tied to him though. Before Pioli makes that first big investment, I definitely want him to check ALL the woodwork for termites.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 12:07 PM CST up reply actions  

That's fine.

That Dalton kid is also big and can make all the throws. They’re just glad he also seems to have some real sense.

And I’ve gone on a great length on my imperfect take of Cassel’s imperfection. To me, one of the biggest obstacles to getting a good QB is how long it takes to give up on a guy, when you spend the 1st on him.

To me, it’s all about maximizing the trenches and perimeter and THEN looking to get crazy about QB. If you’re sure he’s your guy, and it’s the only way, AND your OL is getting surge AND your wideouts are upper-crust, THEN it’s worth it.

I think a LOT more attention and wealth in FA and in draft picks could’ve been invested in OL, without really bending things outta shape. I find it hard to believe that I couldn’t find RB in the 4th or UDFA, for that matter, who couldn’t be plenty good ENOUGH, if my OL was Top 5. Thing is, even though the job SEEMS daunting, few teams can resist that 1st-round RB or ILB, when they COULD have made their team better with a 1st or 2nd (McCluster) or 3rd (Arenas) round pick on OL.

They haven’t put enough into the trenches for me to feel good about chasing the latest sparkly at QB. They’re close, but they’re not there, yet, in my view.

A lot of those standalone OLs DID make superstars out of merely good players (Emmitt Smith). Teams we think about as standalone OL, like the Dilfer-led Bucs, for instance, really were never as good at pass pro’ as folks seem to take for granted. We talk about caretaker QBs, but sometimes there just isn’t much there for the passer.

We all notice the guy hanging the star at the top of the Christmas tree, but the guys at the bottom of the human pyramid are the guys I notice and have the greatest respect for.

Blah blah blah. And again, it’s not that i don’t appreciate a special QB. I do. But it’s because of this that I want the team in place around him, before I throw him to the wolves. Cassel was at the extreme end of high investment in QB, given the ‘08-09 state of the Chiefs, but my 2nd pick in ’09 would’ve been OT/OG, possibly even trading-up from the 2nd to get my guy at the bottom of the 1st. I’d’ve drafted QB in the 3rd/4th/5th, brought in a couple small-school UDFAs, and an UFA or two. By the time we got to 2011, I’d’ve had about 10 QBs I gave a hard look, I’d have a playoff-caliber OL, and we’d all be in agreement that one of those 10 was pretty good or we’d all be on the RGIII bandwagon.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 8:02 PM CST up reply actions  

This will be hard to completely decipher since the NFL is such an inexact science but

The way I see it. There are 10 teams that I think will need/want a QB over the next 2 seasons: Seattle, Arizona, Cleveland, Denver, Indianapolis, New York Jets, Miami, Buffalo, Washington, and Kansas City.
Obviously this is just a projection for this and next offseason. This year I can see 5 QB’s that would cause that team to not invest highly (1st or 2nd round pick) in the 2013 draft. Those players are : Matt Flynn, Andrew Luck, RG III, Ryan Tannehill, and Brandon Weeden. I have my doubts about some of those QBs but they will be most likely taken before the 3rd round and I don’t see a team going QB high 2 years in a row.
Next years draft looks to have a very good crop of seniors and a few juniors, not to mention that there could be a high riser we don’t see coming. (ie Cam Newton and RG III). In the 2013 draft I see these QBs as high picks: Matt Barkley, Tyler Bray, Aaron Murray, Tyler Wilson, and Landry Jones. The point I’m trying to make is that we should very much be in contention to grab one of these QBs next year. Everyone will have their favorites of course, but all I care about is that the Kansas City Chiefs draft the right one.

Time to take back the AFC West
Go Chiefs

by King of the Cassel on Feb 11, 2012 12:56 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

Flynn will likely be a strait FA, meaning wouldn't have to trade for him, no cost of picks

Still have a hard time seeing Weeden go in the 2nd

Question.. how will we get a top QB prospect when we win the West next year without trading up? Hope Barkley or Bray have a collapse like Landry(who I’m surprised people are mentioning at this point)? Or trade from the 20s to the top 5.. instead from 11?

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 2:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah Flynn definitely just a FA

But the team signing him wouldn’t take a QB high. Weeden could go 3rd round. The biggest question is how fast can he learn a pro offense and operate it. If a team feels like he can do it fast, he goes 2nd round IMO.

You do bring up a great point which I know Jonathan has brought up and that is having ammo to trade up next year. We can look at the Atlanta/Cleveland deal this last year as somewhat of a guideline in terms of what we’d have to give up because I do fully expect us to be in the playoffs this year and drafting in the 20’s (hopefully 32nd). If that’s what its going to cost to get our QBotF than I’m all in.

Time to take back the AFC West
Go Chiefs

by King of the Cassel on Feb 11, 2012 3:34 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Except at 11/12 we are in no mans land really

QBs/Kalil/Claiborne/etc all gone.. who is going to want to spend that much to jump up for a 2nd tier OT? or a RB?

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 3:43 PM CST up reply actions  

How about for a falling talent?

Somebody falls out of the top 10, usually those teams at 11-15 want to draft them(See: JJ Watt,Nick Fairley,Mike Pouncey well not a top 10 talent but a guy we were interested in trading up for, etc.), but we’re in a unique position where trading back is a definite possibility because the likely guys that fall don’t necessarily fit our needs.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 4:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Can't really say who might fall or jump all the way up boards at this point

Just going off the usual top 10 players

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 4:40 PM CST up reply actions  

yeah its hard to say if well be able to trade back

I wouldn’t mind trading a third this year for a second next year. There’s plenty of ways to acquire picks. Only time will tell if this FO is prepping to move up next year. Its all speculation of course, but I’d be pleased to see us acquire a high pick next year somehow. If anything, it’ll slightly validate my thoughts on what this team needs to do to contend for a SB.

Time to take back the AFC West
Go Chiefs

by King of the Cassel on Feb 11, 2012 4:51 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

If we don't get Luck or RGIII

Sig gets changed to “Bray QB 2013 Draftee” haha

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 6:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah if your driving the car

Then I’m riding shotgun. I’m in favor of Bray becoming our 2013 1st rounder.Don’t really want to get into analysis now cuz Im on my mobile but I believe Bray will be a good pro.

Time to take back the AFC West
Go Chiefs

by King of the Cassel on Feb 11, 2012 9:00 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

It's a truck.. but you did indeed call shotgun.

Bray is going to be a very very interesting player to watch next year to see how he comes back from the injury. The injury shouldn’t hold him back but we get to see how the rust gets knocked off in the SEC.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 12, 2012 9:07 AM CST up reply actions  

Someone always falls

And guys always shoot up, it happens every year.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 6:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes but as I said I'm just going off the usual top 10 guys

Can’t predict who will fall or who will rise, however a lot of the guys who fall.. don’t get teams to trade up for, they just continue to slide.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 6:34 PM CST up reply actions  

They don't usually fall far

Like last year most of the top rated guys that slid got scooped up at picks 11-15, because those teams actually wanted them.

Outside of Da’Quan Bowers, but he had some serious issues.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 7:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah they slid, no one traded up for them

Other guys like Bulaga few years ago was rated highly
Mallet was rated highly by most(had his own issues)
etc

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 11, 2012 8:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Nobody traded up for them

Because the teams that were there wanted them.

Bulaga was never a top 10 talent, short arms, not overly athletic, just highly overrated, and he did struggle his first season. People got infatuated because he came from Iowa, I still can’t believe WalterFootball had him going to us at the 5th pick over Berry.

Mallet had drug concerns and plenty of issues in the mental department and he was Derek Anderson-esque at hitting short passes, he wasn’t going to go into the top 10 either. The drug issues, and partying concerns drew way to many comparisons to Ryan Leaf, and in NE hasn’t shown anything yet besides being good at holding the clipboard at 3rd string.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 11, 2012 9:44 PM CST up reply actions  

I thought Bulaga played pretty well, right off.

Gave ‘em just enough for Rodgers to work his magic. And didn’t he go down in the Chiefs game?

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 1:49 AM CST up reply actions  

No I remember him struggling

He didn’t start till half way through the season, but by the post-season was starting to look good.

His 2nd season he took off, Houston could not do anything at all when he was going against Bulaga. I was actually wondering why we didn’t switch him and Tamba up more during that game, but Tamba’s match-up against Marshall No-Hands was just way to ideal.

I’m pretty sure he did get hurt, which put Derek Sherrod in at RT and he struggled against Houston. Then Sherrod got hurt, we took advantage and well you know the rest.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 5:45 AM CST up reply actions  

That sounds like the sequence of events.

Still, Bulaga did have an impact in that SB run of GB’s. I thought it was a good pick, then, and I still do, although I still might chase after OT a little bit, pending Sherrod’s (non)development. Bulaga could always be moved inside, and be a great swing tackle option to have in yer ass pocket. The Sherrod’s and Solder’s remind me a bit of Reiff. I favor the Cordy Glenn pick, because I think he’s just quick enough to send the outside pass rusher on a wide detour, he wouldn’t give up ground to the bull-rushers, like I think Reiff will, and he’d be a total beast in the run game.

When there are weaknesses up front, it’s always a balancing act. I think sticking with our strength against their weakness was probably best. And I’m pretty sure Hali and Houston switched sides a time or three against GB.

Funny how OL injuries cut the champions off at the knees.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 6:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Am I the only one who sees alot of Bulaga in Reiff?

Not the same player, but very overrated due to coming out of Iowa and not that great of a OT prospect?

My point was no one traded up when those players slid, just because someone slides to us at #11 doesn’t mean someone will trade up.

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 12, 2012 9:09 AM CST up reply actions  

Eh they could

But yeah I see the Bulaga comparison.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 1:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah they could trade up, but just looking at the top 10 guys

Not much to get excited about..
Richardson will drop
Martin/Reiff.. eh
Coples.. eh
Blackmon could drop due to smaller WR and likely a slower 40 time
Still/Kirkpatrick are the usual other 2. Still might become #2 behind Brockers to most, and Kirk had the drug charges that were dropped while being a possible safety prospect not CB prospect

Luck/RGIII/Kalil/Claiborne are really the only guys who IF fell could garner a trade partner at this point IMO

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Josh Chichester TE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Feb 12, 2012 2:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Could happen

Anything is possible on draft day, if Blackmon is there I want to draft him lol. He may be slow and short, but with those ball skills, leaping ability, long arms route running and body control he’ll find success.

I know for a fact that if he is there, the Bears would likely trade down with us. They’ve been looking for a number 1 for years now.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 12, 2012 3:07 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Bulaga was more fit against the bull rush.

Reiff kinda reminds me of Nate Solder. I love a lot of what I see, but he needs to get stronger/bigger.

Bulaga, you worry about those short arms and whether he can hold up against the speed rush. He’s surprisinly mobile for a guy of his build, and he has a knack for learning, play by play, how to put the screws to his opponent. But I never questioned whether or not he could do the job. It was just an issue of whether he could make that outside move far enough outside to build enough pocket. A great tackle can do a lot to make up for interior line being driven back (Keep the opponent from ever turning the corner to the QB). Bulaga might not be able to make up that difference, if your Gs/C are being driven off the line, but I never worried about him in the run game or him not doing his job. There’d always be SOME pocket, but maybe the interior line needs to just STONE the pass rush at the line, for what Bulaga gives you to be enough.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 12, 2012 6:32 PM CST up reply actions  

We should look for the Atlantas.

Good teams at the bottom of the draft who already have enough players to give up some picks, but still have a specific need. Pats need some defense, a CB and maybe a pass rusher. GB has a couple holes, too.

Just looking at the value chart, if we drafted 12th then we could trade our first and fourth rounders for both the Pats’ first rounders and come out perfectly even.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 13, 2012 12:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes. Atlanta has OL need.

I can see doing a lot of good in the late 1st, with an extra pick or two in rounds 2 and 3.And I’ll be pretty sick if they don’t do something significant on OL in the draft.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 8:28 PM CST up reply actions  

no doubt, we cannot rely on what we currently have

regardless of the potential guys like Mims, etc. might have

by tomachop on Feb 13, 2012 9:39 PM CST up reply actions  

I ain't askin' for much. It just sucks to be on the cusp of the 4th draft,

with only 2 picks in the first 3 rounds spent on OL. The time it can take for an OL to develop only heightens my frustration at the relative lack of draft picks they’ve had to develop in 3 drafts.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 13, 2012 10:55 PM CST up reply actions  

My Offseason

FA: First Priority is to lock up our own Bowe and Carr are not even a question. Would also be great to get Orton and McClain back. With our cap space I’m gonna assume all 4. Only other major FA are Paul Solai NT Miami and Law Firm.

Trades:
Trade back from 11 to 17 (Cinci wants T-RIch) pick up an extra 2nd.
Trade Dorsey for a 3rd

Draft:

1: Michael Brockers DE LSU
2a: Dwayne Allen TE Clem
2b: Bobbie Massie RT Ole Miss
3a: Donta Hightower ILB Bama
3b: Brandon Washington G Miami
4: Brock Osweiler QB ASU
5: Andrew Datko RT FSU
6: Omar Bolden CB ASU
7a: Janzen Jackson FS McNeese St.
7b: Adrian Hamilton DE/OLB, Prairie View A&M

by Everest on Feb 13, 2012 10:23 PM CST reply actions  

New mock

David Decastro OG Stan
Bobbie Massie OT Ole Miss
Dan Herron RB OSU
Joe Adams WR ARK
Brandon Taylor S LSU
Miles Burris LB SDSU
Hebron Fangupo NT/DE BYU
Rhett Ellison TE USC

I have Massie there because I really do not like Zebrie Sanders. I think the dude is going to be a bust.

by Joel Thomas Vazquez on Feb 14, 2012 11:20 PM CST reply actions  

I keep seeing Massie popping up.

I’m partial to the stronger guys, too, although I did like the press clippings and how Sanders moved. That’s why I also like a Cordy Glenn pick, depending on who’s where and when. Massie, Glenn, Konz. These are guys I have my eye on, and some say if you’re in’rsted in Sanders, ya might’s well wait’ll the 4th or 5th and take Schwartz. I’m gonna be payin’ attention Combine Week to the guys I consider strong enough, to see which of ‘em has good feet, and which of ’em is, at heart, a grabber and a bender. One of the reasons I liked Sanders at Senior Bowl was he wasn’t cheating in the drills. Some of those guys Mayock was drooling over weren’t showing me if they really had it, because they were lettin’ ’em grab, if they wanted to, and some most of ’em DID grab.

My concern about Sanders is the same as I’d have about Sherrod or Solder. I think he’s got the athleticism, but is going to be driven by the kind of power he’s gonna face every week in the pros. So when it says “He’s too strong to be bullrushed” in a Massie scouting report, my ears perk up.

I DO think you could do the team more good with DB or DL pick instead of RB with that 3rd pick, in a typical scenario, especially this year, where there are likely to be more than a few 6’5’’ DTs who can cover ground, who size up as excellent 5-tech prospects. With everybody noticing the DE/OLB types, this might could be a very good year to nab DL up high. Trade-downs involving extra 2nds and/or 3rds and a later 1st are attractive to me. Rather than fall prey to man-love @ RB or QB, use it against other teams. :o) Trade-downs also hold out better chances of grabbing that good QB who slips without derailing your getting into the cream of some of the position groups.

Instead of Decastro, pick up Glenn or Konz, later in the 1st round, and play the 2nd and 3rd rounds by ear. ,

I kinda feel like Mayock (and others) have this bias for the Sherrods, Reiffs, Solders, mebbe Sanders (although they didn’t like him @ Senior Bowl). Guys – many of whom come out of spread offenses – and just don’t bring the kind of stout that’s necessary at the next level. Pioli’s only made 2 OL picks of any note, and they were both pretty good, I think. 2 more, and this team’s ready to treat OL as just another position group.

I don’t know enough about college ball to say much about anything after the 3rd round, here. Do you have anything more to say about those guys?

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 16, 2012 10:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Good Post

I too would trade down if I was calling the shots. I really think Mike Adams is going to be the best tackle taken this year. In fact if I was in charge and I could not trade down, I would still take Adams at 11. You cannot ignore what he did against competition the likes of JJ Watt, Adrian Clayborn, ECT.

I respect what you have to say about the RB in round 3, especially when there are going to be other RB in later rounds, but I am putting a team together, I do not want to just fill a need, I want to draft the next big thing at RB! I like Herron, but in all reality, I really want Lamichael James. I know he is small, but he is very fast, and he plays like he weighs 300lbs, and besides we have some young talent at the DB position on the team. I think RB is actually one of our bigger needs in the off-season. If Jamaal Charles has a set back it could severly damage the team. The Chiefs have to have a contingency plan just in case. If he comes back healthy and 100% then they have 2 really good RB, if not they will not suffer.

I have a feeling that the Chiefs are going to spend a lot of money on the off-season to bring in some depth, so I do not think the Chiefs will need a lot of DE or NT. Gotta tell you, I loved your post. Good insight and I appreciate the honesty.

by Joel Thomas Vazquez on Feb 17, 2012 11:46 AM CST up reply actions  

I agree that the longer, faster tackles are over rated.

I heard some analyst just lately, can’t remember who, talking about Kalil. He was gushing about how he’d be looking for Kalil and not finding him – then realizing that he was ten yards downfield blocking somebody at the second level. Wow, great athleticism! But I’m thinking…couldn’t a TE do that? I wanted to hear what Kalil could do at the line of scrimmage despite being weedy at 6-6 290, and this analyst didn’t talk about that at all.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 17, 2012 3:24 PM CST up reply actions  

How many times have we seen Albert do that for Jamaal? Its all about utilizing a guy properly

Kalil isn’t a guy you want to just continuously blow guys off the line, he just doesn’t have that skill set just yet. Reminds me a bit of D’Brick Ferguson. His money will be made because of his ability to protect the blind side against anybody who goes against him.

And he’s going to be closer to 300 by combine time, I can almost guarantee it.

Me and Matt Cassel just - you up, dog!

by ChiefWarPaint on Feb 17, 2012 4:08 PM CST up reply actions  

New Mock (assuming we don't trade down)

David Decastro OG Stan
Bobbie Massie OT Ole Miss
Dan Herron RB OSU
Joe Adams WR ARK
Brandon Taylor S LSU
Miles Burris LB SDSU
Hebron Fangupo NT/DE BYU
Rhett Ellison TE USC

I have Massie there because I really do not like Zebrie Sanders. I think the dude is going to be a liability.

by Joel Thomas Vazquez on Feb 14, 2012 11:38 PM CST reply actions  

What makes you think Sanders will bust?

Just curious your opinion

Twitter: @RaiderHater86

by ExRoyalsFan on Feb 15, 2012 7:20 PM CST up reply actions  

There are a couple of things

First, I think that he moves like a zombie. He is very stiff and slow off of the snap and that is what I thought of him before the senior bowl. Secondly, he is 22 years old and he seems very timid, like there is no fire in him. I question if he has the mental toughness to get down in dirty in the trenches. Even if he is coached up, I do not see him becoming a factor for the Chiefs. He will end up leaving and maybe producing elsewhere, but not for the Chiefs.

by Joel Thomas Vazquez on Feb 16, 2012 2:13 AM CST reply actions  

Interesting take.

My main issue was the amount of OOMPH he’d bring, but not being zombie-like.

would of ≠ would've

by hmills110 on Feb 16, 2012 10:10 PM CST up reply actions  

About Sanders

Watch some of his interviews, he seems so afraid to me. That is what concerns me the most. What if he carries that uncertainty to the football field. He may get someone killed.

by Joel Thomas Vazquez on Feb 17, 2012 11:47 AM CST reply actions  

Eh. Still waters run deep, sometimes.

The guy’s described as a good student, an Eagle Scout, and a “celebrated” viola player. Sounds like a dedicated introvert to me. You can’t hardly tell what those guys are really like by watching them, especially if you’re an extrovert yourself.

When you gotta go in the lion's den, you don't go quiet. You go in loud, kick the door down and say WHERE IS THE SONUVABITCH. -B. Billick

by Brsrkr on Feb 17, 2012 3:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to SB Nation's Kansas City Chiefs blog! Follow us on Facebook and on Twitter.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Chiefs OTA's: Some Real Football News
Dscn3246_3_small
Worst Case Scenario
Lips-rhps_small
Translating Coachspeak (Humor & Satire)

Recent FanPosts

Supernova1007_small
What Does it Take?
Ford-mustang-gt-2011-wallpaper-02_small
Hope
New_kc_helm_small
Scott Pioli: Genuine Mastermind Part 1 - Quarterbacks
Dirtyhippy_small
The Epic Battle of Pittsburgh(Game 9 preview)
Spit_small
A Unique Look At Elite QB's and Ricky Stanzi
309look_small
Cassel, can the chiefs get a ring on his back?
Small
Trade McCluster...
Supernova1007_small
A New 3-4 team in the NFL
Supernova1007_small
Fashionistas

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Ct_fb_small Chris Thorman

Headshot_small Joel Thorman

Editors

288-chiefstexans0944_sp_8-15-09_jfs woodman212

Matt_ssv_pic_small_small Matt Conner

Stag_20silhouette_small stagdsp

Lips-rhps_small upamtn

Contributors

Kc_ny_small NJ Chiefs Fan

Phoenix_by_melen_small KaloPhoenix

N1358340181_30185582_5800_small Flowers24

Small Jon Yoon

Dirkness_small HisDirkness

Dscn3246_3_small MNchiefsfan

Cassel_small Steve_in_RI