Gotta love Vegas. You can gamble on anything.
including Peyton Manning's next team.
The Indianapolis Colts quarterback will likely become a free agent within weeks as Jim Irsay and the Colts are widely expected to release him before his big March 8 bonus money is due.
That means Manning will likely be a free agent. And Manning is really, really good. Which means everyone (lookin' at you, ESPN) is gonna go bat-sh*t crazy over where he might land next, and that also includes the oddsmakers in Vegas.
R.J. Bell of Pregame.com tells us the odds on Manning landing in Kansas City are currently pegged at about 1.5 percent ($100 wins $5,000). Below the San Francisco 49ers, same as the Tennessee Titans and slightly ahead of the Houston Texans. The odds he retires are set at 20 percent, same as his likelihood of landing with the Miami Dolphins. The Washington Redskins are next at 17 percent, returning to the Indianapolis Colts is at 14 percent and the New York Jets are at 11 percent. Interestingly, the Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos are both at three percent. Any other teams outside of the ones I've listed at at six percent.
According to the odds, if Manning does play there's a 78 percent chance it'll be the for the Dolphins, Redskins, Colts or Jets.
Of course, these odds don't really mean anything on the field because we're missing a key piece of information -- Manning's health. That's still a big unknown right now. Different teams are going to view him differently, and thus pay him differently. So that's what makes this so difficult to predict where he'll land.
As for the Chiefs, all signs continue to Matt Cassel starting for the team in Week 1. (Not that they would say, 'Oh, by the way, we wanna sign Peyton Manning!')
Retire: 20% ($100 wins $250)
Dolphins: 20% ($100 wins $250)
Redskins: 17% ($100 wins $300)
Colts: 14% ($100 wins $400)
Jets: 11% ($100 wins $500)
Cardinals: 3% ($100 wins $2,500)
Broncos: 3% ($100 wins $2,500)
49ers: 2% ($100 wins $4,000)
Titans: 1.5% ($100 wins $5,000)
Chiefs: 1.5% ($100 wins $5,000)
Texans: 1% ($100 wins $7,500)
Other Team: 6% ($100 wins $1,000)