Lately it seems that people do not believe that we can get RGIII and it would cost us too much to get him. Lately it would seem that people are... wrong. UPDATE - This is the ballpark deal the Rams are seeking according to Adam Schefter at ESPN (which would equate to Bowe and our 1st, 3rd, and 5th picks - reasoning below) Which lends itself to the question, if you can maintain the majority of this years picks, keep one premium pick in our 2nd rounder, and lose nothing from next years draft... why not?
What They Would Give
In a recent fanshot it was shown that Washington would likely offer its 2012 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 2013 1st. People commented on how this was mortgaging the future and was a ton of picks. They are right.
The other likely suitor for the Rams would be Cleveland who has two 1st rounders and would likely offer them both. Picking at #4 and #22 offers the Rams a lot and they would likely get an extra pick or two out of the Browns. If that seems like a sweetheart deal it is.
Are We Close? What Do The Rams Really Want?
Next are the Kansas City Chiefs, but we can't compete with either of those teams, right? WRONG. I think in order to know how and why we can not only compete with those teams but offer something better I think we have to look at the Rams and what they want.
The Rams are looking to provide security for Bradford to continue to let him develop into what they hope to be an elite QB. This means they want the best WR and LT in the draft (not realistic, but you get the idea). Now packaging 2nd-4th rounders is great for value, but if I'm the Rams and I am looking at moving from the #2 spot I want the best combination of top WR and top LT I can get. Let's look again at what these three teams can offer.
Another Look At What 'They' Can Give
Wahsington? Picking at #6 both the top WR and the top LT are gone. Well I guess I could stomach second best in either of those needs if it didn't mean I would have to wait until DAY 2! NO DEAL.
Cleveland? Well #4 would be great, guarantees me Kalil or Blackmon, but still #22? How hazy do those positions get out of the top 15. Yes there is still talent, but I am only moving for the team that gives me the best shot at a shiny little guarantee.
What WE Can Give And Why It Is 'More For Them' and 'Less From Us'
Enter the Chiefs. Let's just see what we can do for them.
WR : Obviously with the top target in the draft being Blackmon we need to think where the Rams could pick him. Stay at #2 and get him, trade with Cleveland and get him at #4, or he is gone at #6 with a trade with Washington. Well here is the age old debate, who is better? Is Blackmon better than Bowe? Bowe better than Blackmon? We don't honestly know. What we do know is that the Rams are looking for a WR who can take pressure off a young QB. I honestly think Bowe is a better fit, being a veteran, than a rookie WR anyways for what they need (security). Yes Blackmon is younger, but Bowe is in his prime, proven, and they can lock him up for 5 or 6 years.
LT : This one is pretty cut and dry. It seems a consensus in mock drafts that one of the top 3 LTs will be here at #11. So go ahead and pick and plug and play.
Since I know I lot of you will scream about trade value here (those that don't care or think the values have changed this isn't for you, this is just to show we are in the neighborhood giving up 'less') is a nice little comparison: Rams #2 - 2,600 pts, Clevland two 1st rounders - 2,580 pts, Washington 'mortgage of the future' 2012 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 2013 1st - 2,880, Chiefs Bowe (Valued at #10 pick, less than Blackmon, but high 1st round value as Rams are needy here) and our 1st - 2,550 pts.
Obviously Cleveland and Kansas City would need to toss in either a 2nd rounder or 3rd rounder to get up in overall value to Washington's offer... but this isn't completely about value. This is about IMPACT. Yes we are competitive in value without giving any other picks than our 1st, AND we offer the best impact in our trade for the positions St. Louis desperately needs. Discuss amongst yourselves.