FanPost

Likelihood of Trading Down from the #1 Pick

Now that we have the #1 pick, I expect to see all sorts of AP posts about what the Chiefs will do with the #1 pick. I've already said that I think it must be used on a quarterback. However, there's always the "trade down" talk.

Most people think of trading down and accumulating draft picks. But I don't think that is going to happen, and here's why. Last year, the Redskins switched picks with the Rams in the first round, and gave the Rams two future first round picks plus a second round pick. That was to move from picking 6th to picking 2nd. That's a lot of picks to move up four spots, and I don't think any team will be willing to give that much this year.

But for argument's sake, let's say, "You're a dumbass The Gentry. OF COURSE THEY WILL!" (have to include the all caps forum screaming).

That means we'll look at the 4 teams immediately behind us who could make a deal that would be no greater than the deal the Redskins did.

  • Jacksonville - These guys are the most likely to do some kind of deal. They could probably do less than what the Redskins did last year to swap with KC if they see a must have QB. But odds are, they don't see one guy who is truly that much better than another at the QB position. And there's also a good chance that they could stick with Gabbert and Henne as their QBs for 2013, and go Defense when they pick #2.
  • Oakland - No way would the Chiefs trade with the Raiders. If the pick ended up working out better for Oakland, Pioli or new GM and Clark Hunt would never ever ever ever ever hear the end of it.
  • Philadelphia - Vick is probably out, but Foles played pretty well. They need a veteran backup, not to give up lots of first rounders for a QB this year.
  • Detroit - Not happening. Matt Stafford is their guy.

So other than Jacksonville, I don't see anyone making a deal for picks, and even that sounds like a fantasy.

The other possibility, and I don't think it's likely, is that a team makes a trade for a player plus picks to move up. The only teams that I could see trying that out would be Arizona, Buffalo, or the NY Jets.

Who do any of those teams have that they would potentially package with picks in a trade? Arizona has Fitzgerald, but with his new contract, he's not going anywhere. Neither is Buffalo's Mario Williams. And who would we want from the Jets?

So in looking at all of this, I just don't see any reasonable scenario for trading down. My goal here is to try to squash unnecessary trade down talk by using reason and logic. But let's be honest. We just had a 2-14 season, so f*** reason and logic. Let's go crazy talking the draft. And if you can come up with a reasonable scenario I missed, more power to you.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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