1) If Matt Cassel doesn't freak out and throw the pick to Weddle in the first game against SD...we win. Record: 8-8.
4 Games, 4 Plays, 4 Losses:
2) If someone makes the play to break up the pass to Decker, we beat Denver in the first game against them. Record: 9-7.
3) If Anthony Becht doesn't screw up his footwork and get in Battle's way, we get the first down and probably the TD for the win. Record: 10-6
4) I'm still convinced the refs screwed us on the spot of Orton's scramble; it should have been a first down, making the failed 4th down conversion unnecessary. Even w/o a score, the extra yards we get from a punt off the new set of downs would have prevented what ended up being the FG the Raiders needed to get to OT. Without that, we win, sweep the AFC West, and have an 11-5 record.
And we would have that 11-5 record despite Tyler Palko's inability to throw, Matt Cassel's complete mediocrity and inability to move the ball against Miami, Todd Haley's clear (in retrospect) problems as a head coach, and the loss of 3 of the best players on the team (Charles, Moeaki, and Berry) early in the season.
Of course, you can't do that. The record is what it is. We didn't make those plays, so we have a 7-9 record.
But think of it: we didn't have a real NFL coach for 13 games this season. We lacked even a decent NFL QB for 13 games this season. We lacked a starting caliber TE and RB for 16 and 15 games, and we lacked our star S who was a pro-bowler his rookie year. And we still came within 4 games of a 11-5 record and an AFC West sweep.
Sign Bowe and Carr.
Draft a RT, LG, and NT, in that order, plus depth anywhere else according to BPA.
That just sounds like a recipe for Super Bowl contention.