There is a school of thought in economics, and specifically stock strategy, that it often pays to bet against the consensus. It's known as the contrarian philosophy. The key to a successful contrarian play is that the conventional wisdom is relying on metrics that seem reasonable, but are biased when one evaluates other factors that are often emotional.

How does this apply to the start of the Chiefs' season?

We were a better than average team last year -- no more than that -- but blessed by a weak schedule and some luck to win our division. This led to high expectations. This year, though, we got blown out by two of what seemed to be our weakest opponents of the season in or first games. We went from division winner to last in the league in most polls. It might be justified by the raw scores, but how can that  wild of a drop really happen? 

Answer is, it can't. A swing of ten positions due to Weis leaving, an OL coach calling plays, some injuries, some losses, blah blah blah, sure. But 10th to 32nd? No.

No, my friends, in the NFL blowouts like that happen because of emotion, not skill or coaching.

Chan Gailey acknowledged before the game this was special for him, because Haley had fired him.

Gunther was humiliated by a tampering accusation from Pioli, which cost his team draft choices. He got a Gatorade bath after the Detroit victory... doesn't happen, ever, in the second game of the season.

Our opponents were PUMPED UP. We weren't. Emotion made those blow outs.

We're going to beat San Diego. We'll be pumped, and they won't. 

That's MY contrarian prediction.

Guaranteed, or your money back. :-)