**Disclaimer: This season would be completely different if Eric Berry, Jamaal Charles and Tony Moeaki to ACL tears. Losing Berry is the equivalent of the Ravens or Steelers losing Ed Reed or Troy Polamalu, he's that good. Charles is a top-5 RB and Moeaki has the potential to be a middle-class man's Tony Gonzalez. So keeping that in mind, here are some thoughts on where the Chiefs should go from here.
Matt Cassel: Unfortunately we don't really know what we have in Cassel. He's shown he can be a good QB (just look at his one season starting in New England and the 2010 campaign) and I think with Jim Zorn's help he can be a very good QB. He was not helped by the injuries to Charles and Moeaki this year, but he wasn't doing a lot with the weapons he did have. He showed flashes of the explosive offense we were supposed to have this year, but he has been wildly inconsistent. Bottom line, the Chiefs have to decide if he can lead this team to a Super Bowl. Not win the AFC West a couple times. The Super Bowl. He will be 30 next year, so I don't know how much growing he has left in him. Depending on the Chiefs' draft position, drafting someone like a Robert Griffin III, Landry Jones or Matt Barkley (great accuracy, cannon arms) this year would make sense.
Coaching Staff: I feel like Cassel has received a lot of unwarranted criticism this year. The real problem with Cassel I think are the men on the other side of microphone: Todd Haley and Bill Muir. Some coaches make great coordinators. Muir is not one of those coaches. Further, Todd Haley has regressed as a head coach this year. He took back over the play calling duties after Weiss left and simply promoted a clearly-overmatched OL coach for continuity. This was the most disappointing non-move of the Chiefs' offseason, because they had ample time to find a top-flight coordinator. Haley MUST decide if he wants to call plays or be a head coach; it's clear he cannot do both. Pioli either has to get rid of Haley or force him to hire a new offensive coordinator who calls plays.
The Draft: The first round gets most of the hullabaloo surrounding the draft, and this year will be a pivotal one for the Chiefs. If they decide to draft a QB they may have to trade up to get RG3, Jones or Barkley (and trading up is not Pioli's M.O.). If they decide to stick with Cassel for another year, one option is an ILB to pair with Johnson. Luke Kuechly (Boston College), Manti Te'o (Iowa), or Vontaze Burfict (Arizona St.) would all be good picks. Offensive line is always a popular choice, someone like David DeCastro (Stanford) or Riley Reiff (Iowa) would fit in well at guard. Another option is to draft a WR if the Chiefs can't extend Bowe. This seems unlikely since the Chiefs have a good (recent) history of keeping their young players due to the amount of cap space they have, but in the event someone (Patriots, Chargers, Steelers, Bucs, Raiders, Bengals?) makes Bowe an offer he can't refuse, Justin Blackmon (Oklahoma St.) or Alshon Jeffery (South Carolina) would make a nice replacement.
As for days 2 and 3 of the draft, the Chiefs could do worse than a good RB to replace Jones (who is old) and to help Charles while he gets his explosiveness back (ACL's are really two-year injuries to fully come back from), a really good nose tackle and maybe a DE since Jackson hasn't looked like No. 3 overall pick.
Overall I feel like the Chiefs are young team in a good place. But like all young teams, they have some definite glaring holes they could fill.