Chiefs vs. Broncos: The Opening Line

KANSAS CITY, MO - NOVEMBER 06: Safety Sabby Piscitelli #42 of the Kansas City Chiefs tackles running back Reggie Bush #22 of the Miami Dolphins after catching a pass during the third quarter on November 6, 2011 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Miami defeated Kansas City 31-3. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images)

Good morning and I hope everyone is feeling at least a little bit better this morning, after the beatdown the Chiefs received at the hands of the winless Miami Dolphins yesterday. Personally I don't feel any better, but I am hoping the rest of you are better at coping than I am.

At 11:59 AM yesterday morning we had a first place team with a winning streak, a beard and some swagger. By 3:00 (or around 12:30) we all were heading home with our tails between our legs. Somehow though, the Chiefs managed to stay atop the division for a few more days thanks to wins by the Packers and our Week 10 opponent, the Denver Broncos. Those Broncos looked mighty impressive yesterday against the Raiders and should prove to be a worthy adversary next Sunday. How does Vegas see this game? Let's find out this and more in this week's installment of The Opening Line.

Last week's article was much more enjoyable to write. I was sitting in the KC Airport and we were fresh off of a win that was as good as it gets. Today I am sitting in my living room in freezing Rhode Island, having to work in an hour, and still nauseous from yesterday's game. But I digress, we must move forward, myself included.

The Chiefs open this week as 3.5 point favorites over Denver and the total most widely available right now is 41.5. I don't have a lot to say about this line really. If you gave this to me a few days ago I would have put my house, car and even my cat (yes I am a cat guy, sorry) up on this one for the Chiefs. But I was reminded yesterday that while this team has captivated and frustrated us at times, they are what they are: a middle of the pack team who can beat and lose to anyone at any time. Fortunately, everybody else in the West is equally average, so we still have plenty to be hopeful about. Even so, I am not touching this game yet until I see how the practice week goes. (As an aside, Oakland is markedly worse without Jason Campbell. My laptop just asked me if I seriously wanted those words to be typed out, but it is true). Let's take a look at some trends regarding this matchup:

Denver is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road

Denver is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Kansas City

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Denver is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

 

Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games

Kansas City is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home

Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Denver

Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

 

Well there you have it for our Week 10 edition of The Opening Line. Should be an interesting week for Chiefs fans as we prepare for Denver and as Oakland takes on San Diego Thursday night. Since Oakland and KC theoretically "should" have picked up a game yesterday on the Bolts, I am going to hold my nose and pull for the Raiders Thursday. That still stinks. Have a great week and an awesome Monday.

 

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