FanPost

NFL Power Rankings 1...2...3...by the numbers (Week 4) with DivineGrace

"By the numbers" Week 3 was great for some teams and horrible for others. Lets take a quick look at the biggest winners and losers in Week 3...

BIGGEST WINNERS:


Philadelphia Eagles:
Up 10 spots from #18 to #8

     The Eagles go one game up on the Cowboys, Redskins, and Giants in the NFC East by stomping the Jags 28-3. Love him or hate him, Michal Vick proved he can ball by going 17 of 30 for 291 yards and 3 touchdowns while running for another 30 yards on 4 carries and rushing for a 4th touchdown.
    Philadelphia's defense got to David Garrard all day with Trent Cole (2-sacks), Trevor Laws (1-sack), Nate Allen (1-sack), Darryle Tapp (1-sack), and Jaqua Parker (1-sack) combining for 6 sacks for 51 yards.

Tennessee Titans:
Up 7 spots from #11 to #4

     The Titans at 2-1 after week 3 are neck and neck with the Colts and Texans by beating the Giants 29-10. Chirs Johnson lead the way for Tennesseewith 32 carries for 125 yards (3.9 ypc) and 2 touchdowns.
    Eli Manning gave up 2 interceptions with Ahmand Bradshaw giving up another turnover for a total of 3 to a very good Titan Defense that has held their opponents to an average of 14 points per game (5th in the NFL).

Minesota Vikings:
Up 7 spots from #28 to #21

     The Vikings notch their first "W" for the season beating Division rivals Detroit Lions 24 - 10. Adrian Peterson ran all over the Lions going 160 yards on 23 carries and scoring 2 touchdowns adding other 30 yards on 5 receptions.

Dallas Cowboys:
Up 7 spots from #29 to # 22

    The Cowboys stay withing one game of the Eagles in the NFC East with their 27 - 13 win over the up and coming Houston Texans. Dallas RB Marion Barber notches his first touchdown of the season and RoyWilliams show why he was a first round draft pick with his 5 receptions for 117 yards and 2 touchdowns.

BIGGEST LOSERS:


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
Down 14 spots from #3 to #17

    The Buccaneers are now in a 3 way tie for first in the NFC South with the Falcons and Saints after losing to Pittsburgh 13-38. LeGarrette Blount's lone touchdown and a pair of field goals was better then average against a league leading Steeler Defense (only allowing an average of 11 points per game)...but not good enough.

Miami Dolphins:
Down 11 spots from #5 to #16

     The Dolphins missed an opportunity to take the lead in the AFC East with their 23-31 loss to divison rival New York Jets. Even with no Darrelle Revis, Brandon Marshall's 10 receptions for 166 yards and 1 touchdown performance wasn't enough to overcome Jets QB Mark Senchez's (3 touchdowns) and LaDainian Tomlinson (1 touchdown).

San Francisco 49ers:
Down 11 spots from #21 to #32

     The 49ers are now ranked dead last in the NFL after their getting beat down 10-31 by the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs went up 7-0 earily in the 2nd quarter and never gave the lead back holding the 49ers to one 51 yard field goal until 00:00 left in the game when Alex Smith found Josh Morgan in a garbage time touchdown against the Chiefs 2nd string Defense.

Did I mention that "By the numbers" the Kansas City Chiefs are ranked #2!?! Let's take a look a the complete Power Rankings after "The Jump"...

NFL Power Rankings 1...2...3...by the numbers (Week 4) with DivineGrace...

#1 - Pittsburgh Steelers: (Last Week: #4)
1) Record: 3-0 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +13.0 (Last Week: +7.0) 
3) Total Points: 72

#2 - Kansas City Chiefs: (Last Week: #7)
1) Record: 3-0 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +10.0 (Last Week: +4.5)
3) Total Points: 68

#3 - Chicago Bears: (Last Week: #6)
1) Record: 3-0 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +5.0 (Last Week: +6.0)
3) Total Points: 66

#4 - Tennessee Titans: (Last Week: #11)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +12.0 (Last Week: +8.5)
3) Total Points: 78

#5 - Green Bay Packers: (Last Week: #1)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +10.3 (Last Week: +17.0)
3) Total Points: 78

#6 - Atlanta Falcons: (Last Week: #9)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +10.3 (Last Week (+14.0)
2) Total Points: 77

#7 - Indianapolis Colts: (Last Week: #12)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +9.3 (Last Week: +6.5)
3) Total Points: 89

#8 - Philadelphia Eagles: (Last Week: #18)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +7.0 (Last Week: <2.0>)
3) Total Points: 83

#9 - New York Jets: (Last Week: #13)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +7.0 (Last Week: +6.5)
3) Total Points: 68

#10 - Seattle Seahawks: (Last Week: #15)
1) Record 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +5.0 (Last Week: +4.0)
3) Total Points: 72

#11 - New England Patriots: (Last Week: #17)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week 1-1)
2) APD: +2.7 (Last Week: 0.0)
3) Total Points: 90

#12 - New Orleans Saints: (Last Week: #2)
1) Record 2-1 (Last Week 2-0)
2) APD: +1.7 (Last Week: +9.0)
3) Total Points: 63

#13 - Cincinnati Bengals: (Last Week #20)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week 1-1)
2) APD: +1.3 (Last Week <4.5>)
3) Total Points: 59

#14 - Baltimore Ravens: (Last Week: #19)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: +1.0 (Last Week: <2.0>)
3) Total Points: 44

#15 - Miami Dolphins: (Last Week: #8)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +0.3 (Last Week: +4.5)
3) Total Points: 52

#15 - Houston Texans: (Last Week: #5)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week 2-0)
2) APD: <0.3> (Last Week +8.0)
3) Total Points: 77

#17 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (Last Week: #3)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: <3.0> (Last Week: +8.0)
3) Total Points: 50

#18 - Arizona Cardinals: (Last Week: #24)
1) Record: 2-1 (Last Week 1-1)
2) APD: <10.0> (Last Week: <15.0>)

#19 - San Diego Chargers: (Last Week: #10)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week 1-1)
2) APD: +3.7 (Last Week +9.0)
3) Total Points: 72

#20 - St. Louis Rams: (Last Week: #26)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: +2.7 (Last Week: <3.0>)
3) Total Points: 57

#21 - Minnesota Vikings: (Last Week: #28)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: +1.7 (Last Week: <4.5>
3) Total Points: 43

#22 - Dallas Cowboys: (Last Week: #29)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 2-0)
2) APD: +0.3 (Last Week: <6.5>)
3) Total Points: 54

#23 - Denver Broncos: (Last Week: #14)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: <1.3> (Last Week: +5.0)
3) Total Points: 61

#24 - Washington Redskins: (Last Week: #16)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: <3.7> (Last Week: +1.5)
3) Total Points: 56

#25 - Oakland Raiders: (Last Week: #23)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: <8.0> (Last Week: <11.5>)
3) Total Points: 52

#26 - New York Giants: (Last Week: #21)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: <10.0> (Last Week: <5.5>)
3) Total Points: 55

#27 - Jacksonville Jaguars: (Last Week: #22)
1) Record: 1-2 (Last Week: 1-1)
2) APD: <14.3> (Last Week: <9.0>)
2) Total Points: 40

#28 - Cleveland Browns: (Last Week: #25)
1) Record: 0-3 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: <4.0> (Last Week: <2.5>
3) Total Points: 45

#29 - Detroit Lions: (Last Week: #27)
1) Record: 0-3 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: <7.3> (Last Week: <4.0>)
3) Total Points: 56

#30 - Carolina Panthers: (Last Week: #30)
1) Record: 0-3 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: <13.0> (Last Week: <13.0>
3) Total Points: 32

#31 - Buffalo Bills: (Last Week: #32)
1) Record: 0-3 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: <13.3> (Last Week: <16.0>
3) Total Points: 47

#32 - San Francisco 49ers: (Last Week: #31)
1) Record 0-3 (Last Week: 0-2)
2) APD: <16.3> (Last Week: <14.0>
3) Total Points: 38

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To answer the most obvious question first...What crazy formula did I use to come up with this "NFL Power Ranking"? Let me show you...

...1)"Team Record": There are all kinds of Football stats out there, but none more important then "What is the teams record?". For that reason, the "Team Record" is the number 1 "Number" used to determine the teams spot in the Rankings.

All teams that have a 3-0 "Team Record" will always be head of 2-1 teams, who are always head of 1-2 teams, and so on, and so forth.

...2) "Average Point Differential": Rankings are cool and all, but we are talking about Power Rankings here. Average Point Differential (APD) is the Power in my "Power Rankings". Very simply put APD is on average, the number of points a team Wins (+) / Loses(< >) by, and will be the number 2 "Number" used to separate the teams that have the same "Team Record".

To get a teams APD...
...you take the number of points scored (ps) so far in the season. 
...subtract the points allowed (pa)
...to get a teams total points (tp),
- then -
...divide the total points (tp) by number of games played (gp).
...to get your APD. 

As an example lets look at the #1 Ranked NFL Team (Pittsburgh Steelers), and the #32 Ranked NFL Team (San Francisco 49ers), 1...2...3...by the numbers....

#1 PIT scored 72 total points (ps), and allowed 33 total points (pa) to be scored in 3 games played (gp). That makes their APD score +13.0. Here is the math...

Total Points Scored (ps)- Total Points Allowed (pa) = Total Points (tp) 

- or -

72 (ps) - 33 (pa) = +39 (tp)  ((( This + Positive Total Points)))**

** + Positive Total Points  = (ps) > (pa)

- then -

Total Points (tp) / Games Played (gp) = Average Point (Power) Differential

- or -

39 (tp) / 3(gp) = +13.0 (APD)   (((This is a + Positive ADP)))**

** + Positive ADP = Average (ps) > Average (pa)

#32 SF scored 38 total points (ps), and allowed 87 total points (pa) to be scored in 3 games played (gp). That makes their APD score <16.3>. Here is the math...

Total Points Scored (ps)- Total Points Allowed (pa) = Total Points (tp) 

- or -

38 (ps) - 87 (pa) = <49> (tp) ((( This is <Negative Total Points)))**


**<Negative Total Points>  = (ps) < (pa)

- then -

Total Points (tp) / Games Played (gp) = Average Point (Power) Differential

- or -

<49> (tp) / 3(gp) = <16.3> (APD)  (((This is <Negative APD>)))**

**<Negative ADP> = Average (ps) < Average (pa)

...3) If teams have the same record AND the same APD then we have to have a 'tie breaker". While we will never know for SURE that if a tree falls in the forest, andno one is around to hear it, if it makes a sound or not. I can tell you for SURE that a team that doesn't score points will not win a game. So our number 3 "Number" that tells the Men from the Boys is Total Points Scored.

At the end Week 3 the #5 Ranked Green Bay Packers and the #6 Ranked Atlanta Falcons were both sitting on a 2-1 record...Both teams had a APD of +10.3...but the Packes scored more points (78) in those 3 games then the Falcons did (77).

Advantage Packers.

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Every week the numbers will change...
...Some teams will score points, win games, and more up in the Power Rankings.
...Other teams will give up points, lose games, and more down in the Power Rankings.

You may not agree with them, you may not like them, in fact... you could down right HATE them, but those are the NFL Power Rankings 1...2...3...by the numbers(Week 4) with DivineGrace.

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This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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