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Oddsmakers Say 6.5 Wins For The Chiefs In 2010, Third In The AFC West

If you believe Bodog.com, the Chiefs will win 6.5 games in 2010. OK, so they can't win half a game but that should tell you that even the folks paid to make predictions think the Chiefs could be flirting with .500 in December.

It's a fair prediction. As we previously explained, most feel the Chiefs can be competitive in 2010 and truly compete for the playoffs in 2011.

A normal 2010 Chiefs preview includes:

Star-divide

If the Bodog's predictions, then here's how the division would shake out (number of wins in parentheses):

Poll
Did the sportsbook get it right on this one?
Yes
414 votes
No
977 votes
The last time I gambled I lost the title to my car
89 votes

1480 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 39 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I always round up

so 7 it is!

Are we the team to beat in 2010? I sure think so! Go Chiefs.

by jrcnc on Jul 12, 2010 12:33 PM CDT reply actions  

Can I take the under the Chargers?

I thought my life as a fan peaked in October 1985. Then came Howard to Donovan to Altidore to Dempsey to Donovan to NET!

by chiefstatnut on Jul 12, 2010 12:34 PM CDT reply actions  

"The supernatural vortex of winning"

I’m lovin’ this. Agreed on it being a good betting line and on the immeasurable factors.

3GChief = 3rd Generation Season Ticket Holder

by 3GChief on Jul 12, 2010 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

KC Win now comes in a patented vortex bottle

You can see the win swirl and churn as you pour it out, unleashing win and awesome the likes of which the NFL has rarely known.

Chiefs - back in the playoffs in 2011.

by TRSChief on Jul 12, 2010 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

If the Chargers get 11 wins without Vincent Jackson and with a rookie RB I'll eat my shoe.

I don’t think they’ll get more than 9.

2/3 of the Earth is covered by water. The rest is covered by Eric Berry.
I guess now we KNOW how Pioli feels about safeties that high... hahahaha

by Red N Gold Beast on Jul 12, 2010 12:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Not if the bet is to eat the shoe at half time on the fifty yard line at Arrowhead.

Heheheheheheheheh! He won’t be eatin’ that shoe, though.

"The Hammer"

by G.L. on Jul 12, 2010 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's why I'm adding a disclaimer to my sig.

Disclaimer: This comment does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride. More likely than not the above comment should not be taken figuratively or literally by anyone... ever. Any result of Pantiesina Wadicus is purely coincidental and can likely be remedied by lightening up.

by Red N Gold Beast on Jul 12, 2010 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Six or Seven Wins sounds right

with our strength of schedule. Maybe eight if some players have breakout seasons like Hali and Charles did last year.

by Aesthetist on Jul 12, 2010 12:39 PM CDT reply actions  

My predictions:

The Chargers will not win eleven games. They will be lucky to win nine.

The Broncos will struggle to win 7-8. They may not be a five hundred ball club.

The Raiders could be much improved. They still will struggle to finish 8-8.

"The Hammer"

by G.L. on Jul 12, 2010 12:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Reasonable prediction

People forget that San Diego won the division at 8-8 two seasons ago, and I don’t see how this years team is much better than that one (if at all).

Predictions:
This year will be better

by jmcgoblue on Jul 12, 2010 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't care so much about our ranking.

But the the Broncos 7.5? Defensively they got older and not better at any position except maybe NT but thats a huge question mark as well. They also whent from Nolan to a DC that has zero 3-4 experience. On offense you can’t say they got better(at least this season) by trading 100 catch 1000+ yard WR for a rookie and otherwise everything else the same(not to mention potentially having no LT for 2-3 games). I just don’t see it.

"Success is never ending, failure is never final."

by GenericBrand on Jul 12, 2010 12:53 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, but they got Tebow

His mere presence on the sideline is worth 3 wins.

Predictions:
This year will be better

by jmcgoblue on Jul 12, 2010 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

You must have forgotten these jmc

:) @ @ jk lol

We will have two rookies on our squad sharing Rookie of the Year honors.

by Chiefs_swagger on Jul 12, 2010 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

Remember, betting lines are designed to get people to bet 50% each way

They are not necessarily the way bet makers envision the team to play, but rather the way the general population or gamblers think the Chiefs might play. If that makes sense.

by Boots 58 on Jul 12, 2010 1:04 PM CDT reply actions  

I thought

the lines were always as close as one could get. The amount of work they do to come up with these numbers is astounding, I’ve heard.

We will have two rookies on our squad sharing Rookie of the Year honors.

by Chiefs_swagger on Jul 12, 2010 1:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

They do a lot of work

But I don’t think it’s set up to be accurant in the way you think. These sites want to make money, and the surest way to do that is to get everyone to vote 50/50, and they take a cut when people lose.

by Boots 58 on Jul 12, 2010 1:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

understood

but I would believe that in order to accumulate the most money they have to make that number as accurate as possible. Leaning one way or the other would destroy a 50/50 shot imo, wouldn’t it?

We will have two rookies on our squad sharing Rookie of the Year honors.

by Chiefs_swagger on Jul 12, 2010 1:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Not really

For example, if people think a really bad team, like the Lions, is going to only lose by 7 points to a popular team, like the steelers, a lot of people may pick the steelers just because it’s a more popular team and no one wants to gamble with the Lions. The odds makers might have to ramp up the gambling odds to 13 or 14 just to get the betting even. It’s common to see the odds changing a lot during the week and the oddsmakers adjust based on how people are betting.

People don’t always act rationally, so sometimes they just bet on their gut reguardless of the odds.

by Boots 58 on Jul 12, 2010 1:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

If we could win 9 games with the squad we had in 2006, we can win at least 8 this year.

I’ll take the over. I’d put a lot of money on it too. I’d already be super pissed if we win only 6 or 7 games, so why not lose some money at the same time.

I’d be very interested in how they got to these numbers? How many or what stats were taken into consideration?

We will have two rookies on our squad sharing Rookie of the Year honors.

by Chiefs_swagger on Jul 12, 2010 1:05 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm sticking with my 10 win prediction with my own damn formula!

We could have easily won 6 games last season. Just a couple of dropped passes or untimely penalties, that stopped drives, cost us a couple of games. I added 2 wins, just based on the new coaching staff, and 2 more, based on the added talent, more familiarity with the system, and the winning mindset and discipline the team seems to have developed. So 2 wins, from just reducing mistakes, 2 from better coaching, and 2 from added talent, knowing the system and the players knowing, and accepting what is expected from them. 4 + 2 +2 +2 = 10 wins! (I also take into consideration an easier schedule than last season). Not real scientific, but I’ll bet we are closer to 10 wins, than 6.5!

There once was a man from Nantucket......Nevermind.

by Racyman on Jul 12, 2010 1:39 PM CDT reply actions  

First off just wanted to say hi and introduce myself.

Names Shaun , I’m 27 from Rhode Island probably the only cheifs fan around. I have loved the cheifs since youth I check the blog daily I am a die hard cheifs fan.
I’ve been watching the blogs since before draft , never knowing I could log in with my facebook acount so I’ll be more active now..

I think we will be fighting for 8-8 , probably end up 7 -9 and be competative in our losses. You have to remember very skilled teams go 8-8 look at the Texans who finally got over the hump.
It took them a few years , now what I’m hoping is we go 8-8 this year which would be huge and fight for a wildcard next and not sit at 8-8 for a few years.
This is more realisitic than saying we will TRUELY be fighting for a playoff spot next year. As for all we know we may be looking for a quarterback.

Now if Cassel should excel this year and I think he will , with some protection , and receivers catching the football and hanging on to it. We dont have to look into a quarterback we could shore up alot of our roster next year. except the linebacker spots we need a whole new linebacking core unless they’re gonna let Derrick Johnson shine which he only seems to do when hes coming off the bench and determined.

by Shaun McElreath on Jul 12, 2010 2:56 PM CDT reply actions  

ummmm welcome shaun

its *Chiefs

Are we the team to beat in 2010? I sure think so! Go Chiefs.

by jrcnc on Jul 12, 2010 5:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

Welcome to AP Shaun

Time to reach out and Crush somebody. The SAC way.

by Steve_Chiefs on Jul 12, 2010 6:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

I take that back maybe not all new linebackers , but Tamba Hali just isnt THAT good.

and how are you going to run a 3-4 with NO middle linebackers.
We unfortunatly have all mediocre at best middle linebackers with an average at best NT to take up blockers.

by Shaun McElreath on Jul 12, 2010 3:02 PM CDT reply actions  

Hey, and welcome Shaun

I agree our LBer core looks weak after last years performance, but with another year under their belt and a good 3-4 DC R.Crennel i think they can step up their game. Our coaching staff had to see something or it would have been addressed in some way or the other.
The NT position is our weakest spot IMO, and should have been addressed in the draft, but the run on NT late in the first put an end to anyone we were looking at i guess. Hopefully NT and C are addressed first thing in next years draft, but J.D Walton would have been nice to say the least.
I also agree about Hali, yes he is the best pass rusher we have , but is that saying much. He is only a average LB IMO, if you look at the complete package, because he sucks in coverage.

by CPT.Caveman on Jul 12, 2010 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

DT sucked in coverage :)

You just need to plan the scheme to let Hali do what he does best.
CRUSH LOT’s. heheh

Time to reach out and Crush somebody. The SAC way.

by Steve_Chiefs on Jul 12, 2010 6:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

Attitude........

I really think their attitude is going to make the most difference this season. This game is won with passion. Yes, talent certainly helps but, it’s really hard to stop determination. I also like hearing about the comradery of the D-backs. Hopefully that seeps into all the position groups and ultimately………the team. Remember how close the 2003 group was? Last season, I really didn’t see a “team”. I’m not talking about Ws and Ls. I’m talking about 45 men striving for the same goal. It’s coming fast and it’s coming hard and there is only one thing that can stop it……….themselves. GO CHIEFS

by Chiefs_40 on Jul 12, 2010 3:54 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm predicting

At LEAST 8 wins. If our offense can catch on fire, maybe more.

by KC-Mooma on Jul 12, 2010 6:05 PM CDT reply actions  

Monday night = difference maker

Looking at our schedule compared to years past..this is one of the top six easiest imo. Throw in great coaches, approach the players are having, chiefs aroma in the air and AP I believe our chiefs will or should get 10 wins. This is based imo to a W on Monday night. To me the Monday night game will set a great tone for the rest of the season. With a lot of youth,pressure to please,division opponent along with being nationally televised (love saying Nationally Televised). Without that W..I would think a 7-9 is more probable. People often talk about the physical,preparation and work ethic. To me it is more important to have the mental aspect of it. Especially for the youth players! Gooo Chiefs!!!

by SinyGuy on Jul 12, 2010 6:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Different philosophy from our coaches this year

We will probably plan to run first and pass second this year on offense. If we can get a lead in the first half of games, the other teams will have to pass in the second half, which would play into our strength. If we are losing by the second halftime, (like last year), we will have to pass more and the defense will have to stop the run. We need to be aggressive at the beginning of games and get that 10 – 14 point lead at halftime.

San Diego has alot of talent and losing Jackson for three games will hurt. But, their running game will be improved even with a rookie starter. I can see them winning 10 games. Oakland was a good team last year with an awful QB. They should win as many games as the Chiefs. Denver is the wildcard in this division. Don’t know if they will win 4 games or 10 games. Probably something in the middle.

by Mustang fever on Jul 13, 2010 7:41 AM CDT reply actions  

6.5 -140 is basically 7 at even money. I think the number is reasonable, for betting purposes. We were a 4 win team that didn’t make any outwardly astonishing moves. We didn’t get McNabb, or anything that the public considers flashy. We didn’t hire a new, big name HC like The Rat or Carroll. They can’t hang a number like 8, because they’d get flooded with Under money, and their goal is to get semi even action. This is a number where the Chiefs are getting alot of respect even without any flashy moves, when you compare their number to SL, Det, and Cleve, teams with similar profiles and little public flashy moves.
I think Over is a very good bet, but the problem with these type bets is that you have bet early, without any payout until January, and the odds aren’t anything special, like betting on a Super bowl winner.

by dablueguy on Jul 13, 2010 10:23 PM CDT reply actions  

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