Jamaal Charles Belongs In The NFL MVP Conversation
Touchdown totals. Yardage totals. This is how fantasy football tells us we should evaluate a running back. There is no consideration for how hard a player had to work to achieve those statistics. That's why Willie Roaf and Jonathan Ogden never won an MVP. That's why Shaun Alexander was an MVP, despite having an ultra-strong supporting cast to set the table for him.
And so, a player like Jamaal Charles really throws people for a loop. He's untraditional. He's not the Chiefs' full-time running back, he's not a touchdown machine, and he may not end up leading the league in rushing.
But let's put statistics aside for a moment. Here's a question I like to ask: of all the players up for MVP consideration, which players are the most irreplaceable? I'll dive into why Charles is in that mix after the jump.
For this piece, I want to focus on the top 5 MVP candidates Peter King highlighted in his most recent Monday Morning Quarterback. I have a tremendous amount of respect for King, so his list is a great place to start. In his most recent list, he talked about five players: Tom Brady, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Drew Brees.
MVPs Win Games
The first criteria is that the MVP has to be a winner. Barring a truly exceptional case, putting up a great season for a losing team doesn't jive well with voters and it shouldn't. That excludes a lot of great players from the conversation, including Arian Foster and potentially Philip Rivers.
MVPs Are Typically Quarterbacks
And rightfully so, I might add. Brady, Rodgers, Ryan, and Brees are all Quarterbacks. They hold the keys to their respective offenses, so when things go right, these are the guys who deserve the credit. However, there is usually a non-quarterback or two that slips into the conversation.
MVPs Are Full-Time Players That Score Touchdowns
This is where we need to step back for a second because Charles doesn't fit conveniently into this conventional mold.
Touchdowns are a short-sighted way to measure a player. The Chiefs aren't a conventional team. They don't prefer a style of play where they score 40 points per game. I am sure that Haley and Weis get a lot more excited about a 10-minute drive that leads to a touchdown than a touchdown drive that lasts less than one minute. As I've mentioned so many times this year, the Chiefs are at their best when they control the clock and win the time of possession game.
So if Charles' job is to extend drives, shouldn't we care a lot more about his ability to get first downs? Here is an interesting statistic: Foster gets a first down on 29% of his carries and Jones-Drew on 26%. Charles is at 30%. That's good enough to put him in the top 5 of this category and better than the two RBs widely considered to be the best in 2010. What makes that statistic so remarkable is that he's not their primary short-yardage back. Excluding goal line carries, Charles has only touched the ball on 21 short-yardage situations (1st/2nd/3rd and <3 yards). It's a lot easier to get a first down on a 3rd and 1 than it is on a 1st and 10. In fact, over 90% of Foster's first downs were converted on a 3rd and short situation. Charles, on the other hand, doesn't even break the top 20 in this statistic. Some may read into this statistic and ask why Charles isn't a short yardage back. True, but think about how truly extraordinary those statistics are when analyzed in tandem. Those stats suggest that he is consistently put in situations where running for first downs is supposed to be very difficult, and yet he's among the best in the league at converting.
Charles also leads the league in big play rushes (>10 yards) and is second in yards per carry on 1st and 10 (7.1 yards per carry).Those carries not only move the chains, they also set up very makeable second or third downs. What these statistics clearly indicate is that Charles isn't just a guy who will peel off an 80 yard run and then run for 2 yards the next 10 attempts. This is a guy who consistently eeks out big play after big play after big play. He extends drives better than any running back in the league and helps assure that even if the Chiefs punt, they can limit the opposing offense's field position. For a team that is so dependent on clock management and winning the field position game, you simply cannot short-sell the importance of that contribution.
MVPs Are Important To Their Team
No matter how much you support Cassel or have throughout the year, the reality is that the Chiefs have won games this year by using the running game to set up the pass. I'm not in the room when opposing defensive coordinators devise gameplans, but I would have to imagine that the first two questions they ask are: 1) how do we stop the Chiefs' running game? 2) how do we stop the Chiefs' running game? 3) Oh, and by the way, their passing game is getting better too.
That means eight defenders in the box consistently, especially early in the season. So how do you stop a running back like Charles who averages 6+ yards per carry? Let me ask you this. How did basketball teams defend Shaq in his prime? They doubled up on him. How did defenses cover Randy Moss in their prime? They pulled all their safeties back, even if that left wide open space in front of them. And when you double up on Shaq, there's going to be a wide open guard somewhere who gets a look at an open three-pointer. Charles' effectiveness has given Cassel and the receivers a much easier path to the hoop (so to speak). There is nothing worse than giving extra help to stop a guy and still not being able to stop him. That's what Charles brings to the table for the Chiefs. Time and time again, defenses crowd the line to stop him and time and time again, he breaks off big plays.
That's the main reason Charles deserves MVP consideration. He is a player defenses load up to beat, even at the expense of lightening up their pass defense, and he beats them anyway. And not only does he beat defenses, he annihilates them. You hear a lot of talk about running backs finding a second gear--they find their holes and explode into them. All Charles has is a second gear. He doesn't have the luxury of picking a hole and bursting through it. Instead, he is a running back that has become successful at stopping and starting: Burst. Stop. Burst. Cut. Stop. Burst. He has avoided a lot of losses because of his maneuverability. I don't think many running backs would be able to replicate some of the gains Charles gets on a regular basis.
And what is the end result? A winning football team. That much is obvious. But he was also part of a rushing attack that carried the offense on its back as Matt Cassel inconsistently tried to find himself early on. And he has created a running system that sets the tone for the entire team. When the Chiefs run well, they extend drives, eat up clock, and keep the defense fresh. The entire team is better.
I wouldn't put Charles in the front of the MVP race. I would probably hand the MVP award to a quarterback like Tom Brady. But it's about time he become a part of the conversation. Few players this season have been more successful under such adverse circumstances as Charles has.
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Peter King listing MJD ahead of Jamaal is quite short sighted
Sure MJD had a nice little run, but MVP isn’t supposed to be who was hottest in November/December and as a MJD fantasy owner, I can tell you he was terrible the first month or so. Jamaal and MJD have roughly the same amount of yards and TD’s but Jamaal has 80 fewer carries.
Really doesn’t matter because Giselle Brady already has it locked up.
by craig in calgary on Dec 8, 2010 11:09 AM CST reply actions
You're right on both counts
JC has been way more consistent this year, not to mention efficient.
And Brady already has it barring a huge meltdown by NE.
I love my wife, my kids, and the Chiefs. In that order. Except on game days.
yes that did bother me...I have MJD and Charles on a fantasy team...charles has been consistent(glad I reached in all 4 drafts in the 2nd or 3rd...what a "reach")
but MJD almost buried my team early on….heck, he put me in fourth place basically because of the slow start…
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
The question is...
Will any running back win the MVP if he breaks the season rushing record when the NFL goes to 18 games per season.
The real question is when will everyone stop crowning the QB position as the most important and MVP worthy on th field?
Ever seen the movie Green Street Hooligans? That's how I feel about my Chiefs.
When Jesus comes back
,wait that’s the end of the world nvm
by ChiefWarPaint on Dec 8, 2010 11:19 AM CST up reply actions
Tim Tebow?
Smile, its the second best things you can do with your lips!
he doesnt just walk, he runs
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
Me too...
What would the Pats be without Brady? The Saints without Brees?
The QB is the most important Offensive player on the field. Period.
Chiefs will. But...will Cassel?
10 + wins in 2010. Chiefs SHOCK the NFL!!! Mark it down.
the chiefs would be pretty bad without Cassel as well
I think Rogers should get it because the packers have no running game and he still wins.
by just a guy on Dec 8, 2010 11:49 AM CST via mobile up reply actions
Probably the most important position in any team sport.
I spilled spot remover on my dog... now he's gone.
Open statements like QB is the most important offensive player
or most important overall player is useless without context. Tom Brady may be the most important player to his team, but is Brett Farvre? When the Chiefs were playing under Vermeil, arguments could have been made for either Priest Holmes or Willie Roaf being more important thant Trent Green. So on and so on.
I think Michael Lewis pretty much eviscerated this argument in The Blind Side
Also, were Trent Dilfer and Brad Johnson the most important players for their Superbowl-winning teams?
That'll happen the minute some other postion touches the ball as much as the QB
They have the most impact on the game, for better or worse. See Derek Andreson.
O'Callaghan: "What was the call?"
Cassel: "You made it work! That's all that matters! Who gives a (blank) what I called?"
Officially went from Cassel doubter to Cassel backer with that quote. Thank you Matt.
So basically if a team is successful using the Wildcat on almost every play.
That is pretty much the only way to prevent the QB from touching the ball on every offensive play.
Casey Wiegmann for MVP!
Has more touches than even Matt Cassel!
I spilled spot remover on my dog... now he's gone.
Shaun Smith gets more than his fare share of touches too!
by MissionJayhawk on Dec 8, 2010 1:23 PM CST up reply actions
Zing!!!!!!!
Winning begins with Attitude - Haley and Pioli will be winners in KC!
I'll forever be a Chiefs fan! Only God himself could take that away from me, but when I get to my great reward, I'll rejoin two bigger fans, my Mom and Dad.
I would just like to see it handed to others
You can’t tell me last year C.J didn’t deserve it over Manning.
Ever seen the movie Green Street Hooligans? That's how I feel about my Chiefs.
Manning was in the playoffs, CJ wasn't
I don’t care if someone throws for 7,000 yards, 60 TD’s and 0 picks, if the team isn’t in the playoffs, they won’t win MVP….OPOY? Yes.
by craig in calgary on Dec 8, 2010 11:36 AM CST up reply actions
TRENT DILFER FOR MVP!
Ever seen the movie Green Street Hooligans? That's how I feel about my Chiefs.
totally true, you cant be an MVP of team that doesnt make the playoffs since the concept is...take him off the team and will they still make it?
its like Rivers
he was in the discussion
then SD lost and fell 2 games back…if they dont make it, and he breaks passing records, it doesnt matter in terms of mvp
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
Although
If anyone threw for 7k, 60 TDs and no picks, I’m going out on a limb and saying they went to the playoffs
Nice Post and rec'd
I dig the stats you pulled because it really shows just how incredible Charles has been this year. He served notice the last half of last season and opposing defenses have had ample time to figure out how to stop him and yet they have yet to really do so this year. It’s a shame that Moeaki had the dumb play Sunday because Jamaal had a TD. Which reminds me of the TD carry he had against Seattle. Seems he and Cassel were the only two Chiefs who actually knew what the play was, he got stuffed in the backfield and yet still found a way into the end zone. He gets my vote!
Just keep matriculatin' the ball down the field, boys.
I would like to speculate that Charles will be in the MVP race NEXT year
Our rookies will be more experienced, the team will be better balanced and better off in general. There has been a lot of noise about Charles being on the MVP list this year. I think that gets him in the spotlight at the START of next season.
@RaiderHater86 on Twitter
Maybe...
Assuming the Chiefs somehow gain some respect in the last part of this season.
Chiefs will. But...will Cassel?
10 + wins in 2010. Chiefs SHOCK the NFL!!! Mark it down.
I feel people outside of KC are starting to recognize what JC is doing
if we can lock up a spot in the playoffs the nation will be on watch to see how special he is. If we accidentally mess up and win a playoff game?? Then he’ll really be under the spotlight to showcase his skills.
@RaiderHater86 on Twitter
Agree...he rumbles for a big game in first round playoff and they will start talking
And has stated, because of our two back system, he and Jones do not get much press.
nfl n gives kc a LOT of love for leading the league in rushing, thats jones/charles...I think its also that jamaal is quiet
if he was a loudmouth, say….D-Jackson type doing goofy things and missing practices…then he would get far more press….which is SAD…
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
I think hes an OPOY candidate next season...not so sure hes ever getting mvp
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
quite frankly the td's arent there...and if the numbers arent eye popping in terms of TD's, its tough to win mvp as a RB.
I love J-Charles, but it wont be this year…as stated above by many…maybe in the future…if HE had gone on the TD run Bowe went on….WITH the yardage stats…then we have the combo for MVP votes….just saying…
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
What if he averages over 6.0 YPC over 2.5 full season?
Half of last year, all of this year, all of next year.
Wouldn’t he have to get serious consideration for MVP for doing that?
@RaiderHater86 on Twitter
its like giving revis MVP last year for pass deflections...its a wonderful statistic, but alone wont win you mvp
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
KC's best chance for MVP this year is Matt Cassel
I’m not saying he should be, but if he can reach 3,500 yards, 30 TD’s and doesn’t throw anymore picks, he’ll be in the discussion if Chiefs slip into the 2 seed. Of course alot needs to happen, but that’s our best chance to have MVP discussions.
by craig in calgary on Dec 8, 2010 11:34 AM CST reply actions
yep, you are right on the money....QB league plain and simple. Plus his numbers are ridiculous
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
ill add to it that mayock mentioned that hes off the radar to everyone(evidently except the NFL with the whole award) and that hes right there with brady(up til last game)
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
oh he has no shot...just saying its the "best chance"
Team Pioli/Haley. Decade of the Chiefs.
Team Colquitt
I'm sure Charles would rather be in Super Bowl discussions than MVP ones anyways
"First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win." -Gandhi.
not relevant but
Does Brent favre’s news conference have to be on every week? Come on. I don’t think many people outside of chief fans know of jc anyway
by danmang on Dec 8, 2010 12:07 PM CST via mobile reply actions
I hope he never has to see the number of carries
It would probably require to see him considered a candidate for MVP.
I’d rather he have seasons like this one for the next 6-7 years than have a couple huge seasons (where we lean on him too much) then nada (ala 2.7).
I love my wife, my kids, and the Chiefs. In that order. Except on game days.
Certainly consideration.
He will get that, but no way he wins it.
"The best way to convince a fool that he is wrong is to let him have his way" Josh Billings
Kansas City Chiefs - 2020 Team of the Decade
Cassel, that is.
I forgot that is mostly about Charles.
I spilled spot remover on my dog... now he's gone.

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