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Nick Wright: A Closer Look at Haley's 4th Down Gambles
Link
610sports.com
There's been a lot of discussion this week about whether Todd Haley is ahead of the curve or just plain crazy when it comes to going for it on 4th downs. I keep hearing that the numbers justify what he's doing, but I wanted to know for sure. So, I contacted friend of the show Bill Barnwell from Football Outsiders (www.footballoutsiders.com) and he crunched the numbers. Here is what he came up with for each scenario.
