The Chiefs are 3-0 but have been brushed off as flukes so far this season. This Sunday against the Colts is going to arguably be the biggest test of the season. If the Chiefs win and progress to 4-0, I think the notion that we are a fluke will be silenced. But can the Chiefs actually beat Peyton Manning and the reigning AFC champions. I think we're not without a chance and that we could very well win this one.
Our Running Game
The Chiefs sport the third best Rushing offense in the league. The Colts rush defense? They rank 29th in the league giving up an amazing 148.5 yards per game. Those numbers sounds familiar don't they? That's about what our rush defense gave up last season. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones have been great so far this season with Charles having the highest yards per carry amongst RBs. This matchup bodes very well for us.
Their Running Game
They lack a good rushing attack, then again who needs one when they have Peyton Manning as their QB. They average 75.5 yards per game, good for 29th in the league. What number does there number 1 RB, Joseph Addai, where? EGADS. Number 29. Pretty weird. Back to business though. Our run defense has only allowed 75 yards per game. Those 3 games we faced good RB's in Frank Gore and Peyton Hillis. Again, another favourable matchup for the chiefs.
Blitz or Cover
Clearly the biggest issue for the Chiefs will be keeping Peyton Manning's numbers down. So Romeo Crennel must decide; "do I pressure Manning or put more players in coverage to protect against the many receiving option Manning has". I think Crennel will go with cover as it fits our strengths. Eric Berry has made rookie mistakes but has so far kept 2 of the best TE's in check in Vernon Davis and Antonio Gates. Derrick Johnson is great in zone coverage, while Brandon Flowers and Brandon Carr are reliable CB's. Our front 3 have proven they can disrupt offensive lines and with the likely return of Tyson Jackson this group only gets better. The Colts also have some question marks on their offensive line. We know that Peyton Manning is a genius and can make the tightest of throws under pressure so blitzing him doesn't sound like such a good idea.
Our Passing Offense
The Colts rank 15th in defending the pass. That may seem bad for us, but now they are dealing with injuries to their two starting safeties. Our offensive line so far has been impressive. The collective amount of sacks between our three opponents is 29. San Diego accounts for 16, Cleveland has 8, and San Francisco has 6. Only two of those 29 sacks were against the Chiefs. The Colts have registered 7 sacks, the same as the Chiefs. If the offensive line continues to play well Matt Cassel should have time to find his receivers.
Out of the points I've raised, the Colts most favourable matchup is their passing offense. Our most favourable matchup is our rushing offense. With that in mind we need to take an early lead or we could be relying too much on Cassel to inspire a comeback which can be a bad. I believe this is going to be a close one, but that we will come out on top. Chiefs 31 Colts 24