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Chiefs Fantasy Outlook: Week Three vs Philadelphia Eagles

Predictions from Week Two can be found here. The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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At the beginning of the season I thought it would be hard to predict what the Chiefs would do week to week on the field. Little did I realize that projecting the lineup from week to week would be just as difficult.

The Charles benching was quite a blow to Chiefs fantasy football homers that dreamed of being deemed "fantasy genius" by piking up Jamal Charles in the later rounds. Hopefully this is a Haley motivational tool that will drive Jamal Charles to a 200 yard game. If you're planning on holding your breathe, please make sure someone is nearby with a defibrillator.

For the next 2 to 3 weeks, there is no way you are going to want to start a Chief not named Bowe. If you're in dire straights, you might throw Johnson on the active roster. I repeat, ONLY IN DIRE STRAIGHTS.

When I talk to my friends here in Philadelphia I constantly find myself saying "If the Chiefs do this" and "If the Eagles have this happen" or even "The Philly trainer may accidentally switch the gatorade with the after party jungle juice." Way too many ifs here for fantasy football.

But if you are a masochistic homer who simply has to play a Chief, you can find my 3 plays and a sleeper after the break.

Star-divide

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Bobby Wade

Wade showed up and was an instant hit last week. He ruined my predictions, but that's okay. Wade has Waiver Wire Wonder written all over him. He had instant rapport with Cassel. If you are in a points per reception league, and like to gamble, this is your man. The Chiefs are going through the meat of their schedule now. Haley is not going to let these guys back off down the stretch. If you need a reserve WR with potential, grab him and stash him on your bench. If he has a big game against the Eagles, he won't be there next week. Odds say he won't have a big game. Consider him a number 3 WR in a pinch with termendous upside after week 6.

Bobby Wade Prediction: 6 catches, 64 yards, 0 TD's

 

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Chiefs Defense/ST

Philadelphia has some scary WR's. All you Mizzou fans remember Jeremy Maclin? He rides the pine in the land of the Boo Birds. But the QB is Kevin Kolb. He threw 3 picks last week in a losing effort against New Orleans. Also, Westbrook rolled an ankle during the game. His replacement, LeSean McCoy, couldn't get the job done. Take these statements with a grain of salt . Westbrook is always hurt. Kolb was taking chances because the Eagles were behind by 19 points. And McCoy never got a chance to get going. Plus add in the Vick factor and who knows what will happen. If the Chiefs D has it's head on swivel there will be turnovers to be had. I still wouldn't play them unless the defense I usually started was playing Drew Brees and the Saints.

Chiefs Defense/ST Prediction: 1 Interception, 1 fumble recovery, 0 TD's, 300 total yards

 

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Dwayne Bowe

Lets round these three out on a high note. I can't say enough about what type of WR Dwayne Bowe has become. If blocking were a tracked stat in fantasy football, he would be ranked in the top 5 at his poistion after two games. Last week the Eagles showed that if you beat the blitz their secondary can be torched. Add in D-Bowe's new best friend in the form of Bobby Wade to the mix. Double-teaming Bowe just became risky. The Eagles corners are undersized and fast. If Cassel delivers the ball on time (there's that pesky "if") Bowe should out-muslce any Eagle DB that trys to cover him. He's in a position to have a solid to great day. He's a number 2 fantasy WR that will put up number 1 numbers. This is not a shock here, but I couldn't leave you with nothing but doom and gloom.

Dwayne Bowe Prediction: 7 catches, 100 yards, 1 TD

***

KC Fantasy Sleeper

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Matt Cassel

Matt Cassel is an intriguing fantasy play this week. In week one the Eagles had 5 interceptions, got one QB benched and hurt another. In week two, the Eagles were shredded for 310 yards and 3 TD's through the air. The Philly fans have no idea which Eagles defense will show up on Sunday. Cassel had his own yo-yo performance last week. Matt showed that he can get the job done though, and he now has two good WR's. If he is on target and can stay in one piece (soooo many if's) he can be a solid QB this week for your squad. Or he could be great. Or he could provide negative points. Cassel is a gamble, pure and simple. A bad one at that. Still, if your choice is between Jason Campbell, a dinged Matt Hasselbeck or Matt Cassel, then gird your loins and watch the game through a crack in your fingers.

Matt Cassel Prediction: 220 yards, 2 TD's, 1 int

***

Mushin's Week 2 Predictions:

Now it's time to hang my head in shame..sort of. Roster changes wrecked last week's predictions. I will list the numbers of the replacments. If the Chiefs can have a moral victory, so can I.

-Jamaal Charles

Prediction: 35 yards rushing, 5 receptions for 40 yards, 1 TD

Acutal: Inactive

Replacement Numbers:

Dantrell Savage: 26 yards rushing, 6 receptions for 43 yards, 0 TD

-Dwayne Bowe

Prediction: 4 catches, 57 yards, 0 TD's

Actual: 5 catches, 56 yards, 1 TD

-Ryan Succop

Prediction: 2 FG's, 3 EP's

Actual: 1 FG, 1 EP

(DAMN YOU HALEY!!!)

-Mark Bradley

Prediction: 6 catches, 90 yards, 1 TD

Acutal: Active but did not see the field

Replacement Numbers:

Bobby Wade: 6 catches, 72 yards, 0 TD

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

0 recs  |  Comment 19 comments |

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For a Season sleeper...

I’d pick Ryan Succup… he is on almost all waiver wires, and will get you at least 6 points possibly more since we are having problems getting TD’s. Plus he has a massive leg.

by ravenhawk on Sep 23, 2009 9:15 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I got burned last week on him with Haley's play calling at the end of the half

Plus I’ve had him on these reports for two weeks running. If I put a kicker on for the third week I would be forced to have a temporary suspension of my fantasy football man card.

by mushin on Sep 23, 2009 9:18 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess I should go back and look at the past 2 weeks.

I dropped Jason Elam because he was injured and picked up Ryan Succup. Ryan put up similar numbers the first week. If Haley went for a field goal before halftime he would have had better numbers.

I believe we will play similarly as we did against the Ravens.

As of right now 82 % of people have Matt Cassel on their roster and 7 % are starting him. If he scores a couple TD’s, and throws 0 interceptions this week he will have been a major sleeper.

by ravenhawk on Sep 23, 2009 9:38 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think they'll play better than they did against the Ravens

Cassel has had a week under his belt, and the offense was starting to find a rhythm. Still wouldn’t play a Chief not named Bowe.

by mushin on Sep 23, 2009 9:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fantasy-Schmantasy - Last week, McFadden was the hot commodity.

He had a huge game.

No question. Otis Taylor should be in the Hall of Fame.

by hmills110 on Sep 23, 2009 10:48 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

HERETIC!!! BURN HIM!!!!!

When cash is on the line, there is no sarcasm allowed :)

by mushin on Sep 23, 2009 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just remember all the fantasy gurus saying McFadden was going to have a big day,

and it looked to me like KC’s run-D was MUCH better than SD’s.

No question. Otis Taylor should be in the Hall of Fame.

by hmills110 on Sep 23, 2009 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

McFadden is a bad play every week with Bush and Fargas

Even if Oak runs the ball there’s no gurauntee that McFadden will be the one with the lion’s share of the runs. He’ll go crazy one week and fall flat the next.

And that prediction was a result of those fantasy “gurus” looking at the 501 yards that Baltimore put on the Chiefs in the box score. Not one of them watched that game.

by mushin on Sep 23, 2009 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, am I the only homer that...

Destroys his back-up roster, filling it with Chiefs every year?

I currently have D-Bowe, Succop starting, Jamaal Charles and Bobby Wade on the bench, and I even went so far as to drop the Patriots D and pick up KC.

I can’t help it, it’s like an addiction. A very destructive addiction

by juvatbull on Sep 23, 2009 10:56 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Another Homer...

I have Matt Cassel (benched so far because of his injury). I also have been starting Succop, who beat the other guys kicker Week 1, but not so much Week 2. I picked up and started Bradley for Week 2.

I’ve had and dropped Charles and Bradley. I like your KC D pickup, should be better than the Pats anyway.

It’s the “former” Chiefs that stand out on my roster though – Tony G, Jared Allen (Vikings Defense), Lawrence Tynes is available in my league, but I want to see what Succop does.

I’m making more roster moves that Scott Pioli though!

Gotta love the Free ArrowHead Pride League

Negative Ghost Rider the pattern is full...

by cpa913 on Sep 23, 2009 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Help me out, Mushin (or anyone else)

I need to cover one RB and one RB/WR flex, here are the candidates for those two positions this week;

Larry Johnson @ Philly
Brian Westbrook vs KC
Joesph Addai @ ARZ
Steven Jackson vs GB
Roy Willimas vs CAR
Chad OchCinco vs PIT
Bernard Berrian vs SF

I’m Thinking LJ as the RB and Westbrook as the RB/WR flex but I’m reall on the fence.

Dauntlessly Matriculating

by SoCalChief on Sep 23, 2009 1:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Meant to reply

See below

Negative Ghost Rider the pattern is full...

by cpa913 on Sep 23, 2009 1:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would play

Jackson and Williams…but I usually lose, so probably shouldn’t listen to me…

by iachiefsfan on Sep 23, 2009 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Look into my Crystal Ball

That there is a conundrum.

LJ= He’s going to break out in a game. The problem is that Philly is going to throw the kitchen sink at Cassel. If KC becomes one dimensional LJ is going to be smothered. He has potential though. I’ still sit him till he has one break out game if I have a choice.

Brian Westbrook= watch the Friday practice report. He’s always dinged up. If he’s held out Friday make sure you watch the pre-game shows to see what they say about him. It’s almost impossible to bench him in a points per reception league if he sees the field. Even when he is hurt he gets the ball thrown to him on every other play.

Steven Jackson= Play him. The only thing the Rams can do is run. He put up 104 yards against Haynesworth and company. Half of that came on 58 yard run, but still. Cedric Benson gashed Green Bay for 141 yards last week. Steven Jackson is your safest play of anyone.

Roy Williams= He had one great catch against TB. I’m benching him in my league if I have another option. Until he becomes consistent, he’s not worth the heartache

Chad EightFive= I have to agree with cpa913. Even last year, with Ryan Fitzpatrick as the QB, Chad had 8 receptions for 52 yards and a TD. This year he has Palmer and is averaging 4.5 catches per game, 90 yards. He shows up when the spotlight is on. It seems crazy to every play anyone against the Pittsburgh D, but with no Polamalu this might be that case.

Bernard Berrian= Until somebody stops Peterson from running wild Berrian is going to be a non-factor. He might grab a TD every now and then, but he won’t put up significant numbers. Unless you think SF is the team to stop AP, keep him riding the pine.

All that crap for this:

1) Jackson is a must play

2a)Westbrook is your flex if he practices on Friday. He may be your play anyway if you are in a points per reception league.

2b) OchoCinco if Westbrook rests on Friday

by mushin on Sep 23, 2009 2:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

As of right now...

Westbrook would be sat with an injury. If not he starts at RB.

I’m going to go with Larry Johnson… I think that he will be given the ball 25-30 (minimum 100 yards) times this week and get a TD. GB will shut down Jackson as they have a pretty decent run defense… Addai won’t be much of a factor, but would be my second choice, but Brown will be taking away running opportunities.

Roy Williams will most likely put up more points than any of the WR’s. Just because I have a wild hair up my ass I’m going to so start Bernard Berrian. SF sucks… nothing more AP will have an amazing game and they will probably be up 21-0 by halftime and run the 2nd half. So BB needs to get one of those 3 TD’s from Farve.

by ravenhawk on Sep 23, 2009 6:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My take

LJ probably won’t have great numbers
Westbrook is banged up and will probably have worse numbers than LJ
Addai – Indy’s run game was non-existent last week
Steven Jackson at home is your best play for a RB

Roy Williams – Romo won’t throw it to him, too bad, because he could have big numbers against CAR
OchoCinco – should get 4 or 5 catches for 70-90 yards and a TD, even against PIT
Berrian only had 6 receptions for 42 yards vs Detroit

IMO start Steven Jackson and OchoCinco

Negative Ghost Rider the pattern is full...

by cpa913 on Sep 23, 2009 1:49 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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